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Details

  • Name

    Alexandre Lucas
  • Role

    Senior Researcher
  • Since

    01st July 2020
008
Publications

2024

Hybrid Energy Storage System sizing model based on load recurring pattern identification

Authors
Lucas, A; Golmaryami, S; Carvalhosa, S;

Publication
JOURNAL OF ENERGY STORAGE

Abstract
Hybrid Energy Storage Systems (HESS) have attracted attention in recent years, promising to outperform single batteries in some applications. This can be in decreasing the total cost of ownership, extending the combined lifetime, having higher versatility in providing multiple services, and reducing the physical hosting location. The sizing of hybrid systems in such a way that proves to optimally replace a single battery is a challenging task. This is particularly true if such a tool is expected to be a practical one, applicable to different inputs and which can provide a range of optimal solutions for decision makers as a support. This article provides exactly that, presenting a technology -independent sizing model for Hybrid Energy Storage Systems. The model introduces a three-step algorithm: the first block employs a clustering of time series using Dynamic Time Warping (DTW), to analyze the most recurring pattern. The second block optimizes the battery dispatch using Linear Programming (LP). Lastly, the third block identifies an optimal hybridization area for battery size configuration (H indicator), and offers practical insights for commercial technology selection. The model is applied to a real dataset from an office building to verify the tool and provides viable and non-viable hybridization sizing examples. For validation, the tool was compared to a full optimization approach and results are consistent both for the single battery sizing, as well as for confirming the hybrid combination dimensioning. The optimal solution potential (H) in the example provided is 0.13 and the algorithm takes a total of 30s to run a full year of data. The model is a Pythonbased tool, which is openly accessible on GitHub, to support and encourage further developments and use.

2024

Review of Digital Transformation in the Energy Sector: Assessing Maturity and Adoption Levels of Digital Services and Products via Fuzzy Logic

Authors
Carvalhosa, S; Lucas, A; Neumann, C; Türk, A;

Publication
IEEE ACCESS

Abstract
Digitalization has begun as a transformative force within the energy sector, reforming traditional practices and paving the way for enhanced operational efficiency and sustainability. Enabled by key technologies such as smart meters, digitalization embodies a paradigm shift in energy management. Nonetheless, it is crucial to recognize that these enabling technologies are only the catalysts and not the end goal. This paper presents a comprehensive overview of digital services and products in the energy sector, with a specific focus on emerging technologies like AI and Connected Data Spaces. The objective of this review paper is to assess the maturity and adoption levels of these digital solutions, seeking to draw insights into the factors influencing their varying levels of success. This maturity and adoption assessment was carried out by applying a Fuzzy logic approach which allowed us to compensate for the lack of detailed information in current literature. By analyzing the reasons behind high maturity-low adoption and vice-versa, this study seeks to cast light on the dynamics shaping the digital transformation of the energy sector.

2024

Hybrid Energy Storage System Dispatch Optimization for Cost and Environmental Impact Analysis

Authors
Preto, M; Lucas, A; Benedicto, P;

Publication
ENERGIES

Abstract
Incorporating renewables in the power grid presents challenges for stability, reliability, and operational efficiency. Integrating energy storage systems (ESSs) offers a solution by managing unpredictable loads, enhancing reliability, and serving the grid. Hybrid storage solutions have gained attention for specific applications, suggesting higher performance in some respects. This article compares the performance of hybrid energy storage systems (HESSs) to a single battery, evaluating their energy supply cost and environmental impact through optimization problems. The optimization model is based on a MILP incorporating the energy and degradation terms. It generates an optimized dispatch, minimizing cost or environmental impact of supplying energy to a generic load. Seven technologies are assessed, with an example applied to an industrial site combining a vanadium redox flow battery (VRFB) and lithium battery considering the demand of a local load (building). The results indicate that efficiency and degradation curves have the highest impact in the final costs and environmental functions on the various storage technologies assessed. For the simulations of the example case, a single system only outperforms the hybrid system in cases where lithium efficiency is higher than approximately 87% and vanadium is lower approximately 82%.

2022

Renewable Energy Community Pairing Methodology Using Statistical Learning Applied to Georeferenced Energy Profiles

Authors
Lucas, A; Carvalhosa, S;

Publication
ENERGIES

Abstract
Renewable energy communities (REC) are bound to play a crucial role in the energy transition, as their role, activities, and legal forms become clearer, and their dissemination becomes larger. Even though their mass grid integration, is regarded with high expectations, their diffusion, however, has not been an easy task. Its legal form and success, entail responsibilities, prospects, trust, and synergies to be explored between its members, whose collective dynamics should aim for optimal operation. In this regard, the pairing methodology of potential participants ahead of asset dimensioning seems to have been overlooked. This article presents a methodology for pairing consumers, based on their georeferenced load consumptions. A case study in an area of Porto (Asprela) was used to test the methodology. QGIS is used as a geo-representation tool and its PlanHeat plugin for district characterization support. A supervised statistical learning approach is used to identify the feature importance of an overall district energy consumption profile. With the main variables identified, the methodology applies standard K-means and Dynamic Time Warping clustering, from which, users from different clusters should be paired to explore PV as the main generation asset. To validate the assumption that this complementarity of load diagrams could decrease the total surplus of a typical PV generation, 18 pairings were tested. Results show that, even though it is not true that all pairings from different clusters lead to lower surplus, on average, this seems to be the trend. From the sample analyzed a maximum of 36% and an average of 12% less PV surplus generation is observed.

2022

Demand Response Impact Evaluation: A Review of Methods for Estimating the Customer Baseline Load

Authors
Valentini, O; Andreadou, N; Bertoldi, P; Lucas, A; Saviuc, I; Kotsakis, E;

Publication
ENERGIES

Abstract
Climate neutrality is one of the greatest challenges of our century, and a decarbonised energy system is a key step towards this goal. To this end, the electricity system is expected to become more interconnected, digitalised, and flexible by engaging consumers both through microgeneration and through demand side flexibility. A successful use of these flexibility tools depends widely on the evaluation of their effects, hence the definition of methods to assess and evaluate them is essential for their implementation. In order to enable a reliable assessment of the benefits from participating in demand response, it is necessary to define a reference value (baseline) to allow for a fair comparison. Different methodologies have been investigated, developed, and adopted for estimating the customer baseline load. The article presents a structured overview of methods for the estimating the customer baseline load, based on a review of academic literature, existing standardisation efforts, and lessons from use cases. In particular, the article describes and focuses on the different baseline methods applied in some European H2020 projects, showing the results achieved in terms of measurement accuracy and costs in real test cases. The most suitable methodology choice among the several available depends on many factors. Some of them can be the function of the Demand Response (DR) service in the system, the broader regulatory framework for DR participation in wholesale markets, or the DR providers characteristics, and this list is not exclusive. The evaluation shows that the baseline methodology choice presents a trade-off among complexity, accuracy, and cost.