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Publications

2006

Rule-based prediction of rare extreme values

Authors
Ribeiro, R; Torgo, L;

Publication
DISCOVERY SCIENCE, PROCEEDINGS

Abstract
This paper describes a rule learning method that obtains models biased towards a particular class of regression tasks. These tasks have as main distinguishing feature the fact that the main goal is to be accurate at predicting rare extreme values of the continuous target variable. Many real-world applications from scientific areas like ecology, meteorology, finance,etc., share this objective. Most existing approaches to regression problems search for the model parameters that optimize a given average error estimator (e.g. mean squared error). This means that they are biased towards achieving a good performance on the most common cases. The motivation for our work is the claim that being accurate at a small set of rare cases requires different error metrics. Moreover, given the nature and relevance of this type of applications an interpretable model is usually of key importance to domain experts, as predicting these rare events is normally associated with costly decisions. Our proposed system (R-PREV) obtains a set of interpretable regression rules derived from a set of bagged regression trees using evaluation metrics that bias the resulting models to predict accurately rare extreme values. We provide an experimental evaluation of our method confirming the advantages of our proposal in terms of accuracy in predicting rare extreme values.

2006

Predicting rare extreme values

Authors
Torgo, L; Ribeiro, R;

Publication
ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE DISCOVERY AND DATA MINING, PROCEEDINGS

Abstract
Modelling extreme data is very important in several application domains, like for instance finance, meteorology, ecology, etc.. This paper addresses the problem of predicting extreme values of a continuous variable. The main distinguishing feature of our target applications resides on the fact that these values are rare. Any prediction model is obtained by some sort of search process guided by a pre-specified evaluation criterion. In this work we argue against the use of standard criteria for evaluating regression models in the context of our target applications. We propose. a new predictive performance metric for this class of problems that our experiments show to perform better in distinguishing models that are more accurate at rare extreme values. This new evaluation metric could be used as the basis for developing better models in terms of rare extreme values prediction.

2006

Developing enterprise sponsored virtual communities: The case of a SME's knowledge community

Authors
Soares, AL; Simoes, D; Silva, M; Madureira, R;

Publication
ON THE MOVE TO MEANINGFUL INTERNET SYSTEMS 2006: OTM 2006 WORKSHOPS, PT 1, PROCEEDINGS

Abstract
This paper presents a case in the development of a knowledge community support system in the context of an industrial association group in the construction sector. This system is a result of the Know-Construct project which aims at providing association sponsored SME communities of the construction sector with a sophisticated information management platform and community building tools for knowledge sharing. The paper begins by characterizing the so-called construction industry knowledge community. The Know-Construct system concept and the its general architecture are described, focusing on the semantic resources, in particular the ontologies structure. The final part of the paper depicts the approach to the actual introduction of the system in the community. An action-research approach was planned to obtain research results regarding the social acceptance of semantic resources such as the ontologies and technical classifications used in system.

2006

Time-lapse analysis of stem-cell divisions in the Arabidopsis thaliana root meristem

Authors
Campilho, A; Garcia, B; Van der Toorn, H; Van Wijk, H; Campilho, A; Scheres, B;

Publication
PLANT JOURNAL

Abstract
In the Arabidopsis root, asymmetric stem-cell divisions produce daughters that form the different root cell types. Here we report the establishment of a confocal tracking system that allows the analysis of numbers and orientations of cell divisions in root stem cells. The system provides direct evidence that stem cells have lower division rates than cells in the proximal meristem. It also allows tracking of cell division timing, which we have used to analyse the synchronization of root cap divisions. Finally, it gives new insights into lateral root cap formation: epidermal stem-cell daughters can rotate the orientation of the division plane like the stem cell.

2006

A system for automatic counting the number of collembola individuals on Petri disk images

Authors
Marcal, ARS; Caridade, CMR;

Publication
IMAGE ANALYSIS AND RECOGNITION, PT 2

Abstract
This paper describes an image processing system developed for automatic counting the number of collembola individuals on petri disks images. The system uses image segmentation and mathematical morphology techniques to identify and count the number of collembolans. The main challenges are the specular reflections at the edges of the circular samples and the foam present in a number of samples. The specular reflections are efficiently identified and removed by performing a two-stage segmentation. The foam is considered to be noise, as it is at cases difficult to discriminate between the foam and the collembola individuals. Morphological image processing tools are used both for noise reduction and for the identification of the collembolans. A total of 38 samples (divided in 3 groups according to their noise level) were tested and the results produced from the automatic system compared to the values available from manual counting. The relative error was on average 5.0% (3.4% for good quality samples, 4.6% for medium quality and 7.5% for poor quality samples).

2006

Trajectory tracking for Omni-Directional mobile robots based on restrictions of the motor's velocities

Authors
Conceicao, AS; Moreira, AP; Costa, PJ;

Publication
IFAC Proceedings Volumes (IFAC-PapersOnline)

Abstract
In this paper, we propose an algorithm that combine the restriction on motor's velocities and the kinematic model of Omni-Directional mobile robots to improve the trajectory's following. The algorithm verifies the reference velocities of the robot and redefine them if necessary, in order to prevent possible saturation on motor's velocities. Simulation results of the algorithm applied to an omnidirectional mobile robot are presented. Copyright © 2006 IFAC.

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