Abstract
This study reviews performance criteria adequate to validate simulation models through the comparison of two quantitative data sets, concerning historical and simulated data. The criteria reviewed were organized according to its characteristics into the groups: error-based measures, information theory measures, information criteria, parametric tests, non-parametric tests, distance-based measures and combined measures. Each criterion is reviewed through its mathematic definition, its applications in literature and the identification of its advantages and drawbacks. The features assessed by each criterion are identified and discussed. This study provides a concise outline over the criteria reviewed, which can be used as a guide to help developers of simulation models into the decision on the most appropriate criteria to validate their models.

Abstract
Ralstonia solanacearum (Rs) is a quarantine phytopathogenic bacterium accountable for heavy economic losses worldwide. Monitoring and eradication programmes required for this pathogen are dependent on the availability of time-and cost-efficient detection and typing methods. However, members of the Rs species complex are characterized by a high phenotypic and genetic diversity, which requires improved diagnostics methods. The currently available full genome sequences of several Rs strains allow for the selection of novel specific DNA markers using comparative genomics tools. In this work, 17 novel markers were selected based on Rs-specific protein domains and thoroughly validated for specificity and stability, both in silico and using 'wet lab' assays. Polymerase chain reaction-and hybridization-based validation assays revealed that the DNA regions selected as markers were unevenly distributed amongst the tested strains, with nine markers present throughout the species complex. The distribution of the remaining eight markers was highly variable between the different analysed strains and enabled the attainment of strain-specific dot blot hybridization patterns, particularly informative for typing. The average probability value of each strain being positive for each of the 17 markers was calculated by an algorithm and used to obtain a dendrogram representing hierarchical clustering analysis of Rs, according to the similarity of their hybridization patterns. This method should prove to be a robust and straightforward procedure for genotyping members of the Rs species complex. Furthermore, this quantitative hybridization approach will allow the construction of informative databases to determine new Rs genotypes and infer epidemiological patterns.

Abstract
The first step in any non linear time series analysis, is to characterize signals in terms of periodicity, stationarity, linearity and predictability. In this work we aim to find if PCG (phonocardiogram) and ECG (electrocardiogram) time series are generated by a deterministic system and not from a random stochastic process. If PCG and ECG are non-linear deterministic systems and they are not very contaminated with noise, data should be confined to a finite dimensional manifold, which means there are structures hidden under the signal that could be used to increase our knowledge in forecasting future values of the time series. A non-linear process can give rise to very complex dynamic behaviours, even though the underlying process is purely deterministic and probably low-dimensional. To test this hypothesis, we have generated 99 surrogates and then we compared the fitting capability of AR (auto-regressive) models on the original and surrogate data. The results show with a 99\% of confidence level that PCG and ECG were generated by a deterministic process. We compared the fitting capability of an ECG and PCG to AR linear models, using a multi-channel approach. We make an assumption that if a signal is more linearly predictable than another one, it may adjust better to these AR linear models. The results showed that ECG is more linearly predictable (for both channels) than PCG, although a filtering step is needed for the first channel. Finally we show that the false nearest neighbour method is insufficient to identify the correct dimension of the attractor in the reconstructed state space for both PCG and ECG signals.

Abstract
Planning strategies play an important role in companies' management. In the decision-making process, one of the main important goals is sales forecasting. They are important for stocks planing, shop space maintenance, promotions, etc. Sales forecasting use historical data to make reliable projections for the future. In the retail sector, data has a hierarchical structure. Products are organized in hierarchical groups that reflect the business structure. In this work we present a case study, using real data, from a Portuguese leader retail company. We experimentally evaluate standard approaches for sales forecasting and compare against models that explore the hierarchical structure of the products. Moreover, we evaluate different methods to combine predictions for the different hierarchical levels. The results show that exploiting the hierarchical structure present in the data systematically reduces the error of the forecasts.

Abstract
We demonstrated the inscription of arc-induced long-period fiber gratings (LPFGs) in the B/Ge co-doped fiber and in the SMF28 fiber by using grating periods shorter than 150 mu m and 200 mu m, respectively. This achievement was a result of the development of a high voltage power supply that allows for a constant and stable electric current ranging from 10.5 mA up to 21 mA. The fabricated LPFGs were characterized as a function of the external refractive index from 1.333 up to 1.420 and a refractive index sensitivity of the order of 1000 nm/RIU was obtained without further optimization.

Abstract