2022
Authors
Amorim, A; Bourdarot, G; Brandner, W; Cao, Y; Clénet, Y; Davies, R; De Zeeuw, PT; Dexter, J; Drescher, A; Eckart, A; Eisenhauer, F; Fabricius, M; Förster Schreiber, NM; Garcia, PJV; Genzel, R; Gillessen, S; Gratadour, D; Hönig, S; Kishimoto, M; Lacour, S; Lutz, D; Millour, F; Netzer, H; Ott, T; Paumard, T; Perraut, K; Perrin, G; Peterson, BM; Petrucci, PO; Pfuhl, O; Prieto, MA; Rouan, D; Santos, DJD; Shangguan, J; Shimizu, T; Sternberg, A; Straubmeier, C; Sturm, E; Tacconi, LJ; Tristram, KRW; Widmann, F; Woillez, J; GRAVITY, C;
Publication
ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS
Abstract
This work focuses on active galactic nuclei (AGNs) and on the relation between the sizes of the hot dust continuum and the broad-line region (BLR). We find that the continuum size measured using optical/near-infrared interferometry (OI) is roughly twice that measured by reverberation mapping (RM). Both OI and RM continuum sizes show a tight relation with the H beta BLR size, with only an intrinsic scatter of 0.25 dex. The masses of supermassive black holes (BHs) can hence simply be derived from a dust size in combination with a broad line width and virial factor. Since the primary uncertainty of these BH masses comes from the virial factor, the accuracy of the continuum-based BH masses is close to those based on the RM measurement of the broad emission line. Moreover, the necessary continuum measurements can be obtained on a much shorter timescale than those required monitoring for RM, and they are also more time efficient than those needed to resolve the BLR with OI. The primary goal of this work is to demonstrate a measuring of the BH mass based on the dust-continuum size with our first calibration of the R-BLR-R-d relation. The current limitation and caveats are discussed in detail. Future GRAVITY observations are expected to improve the continuum-based method and have the potential of measuring BH masses for a large sample of AGNs in the low-redshift Universe.
2022
Authors
Jalali, SMJ; Ahmadian, S; Khodayar, M; Khosravi, A; Ghasemi, V; Shafie khah, M; Nahavandi, S; Catalao, JPS;
Publication
ENGINEERING WITH COMPUTERS
Abstract
High accurate wind speed forecasting plays an important role in ensuring the sustainability of wind power utilization. Although deep neural networks (DNNs) have been recently applied to wind time-series datasets, their maximum performance largely leans on their designed architecture. By the current state-of-the-art DNNs, their architectures are mainly configured in manual way, which is a time-consuming task. Thus, it is difficult and frustrating for regular users who do not have comprehensive experience in DNNs to design their optimal architectures to forecast problems of interest. This paper proposes a novel framework to optimize the hyperparameters and architecture of DNNs used for wind speed forecasting. Thus, we introduce a novel enhanced version of the grasshopper optimization algorithm called EGOA to optimize the deep long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network architecture, which optimally evolves four of its key hyperparameters. For designing the enhanced version of GOA, the chaotic theory and levy flight strategies are applied to make an efficient balance between the exploitation and exploration phases of the GOA. Moreover, the mutual information (MI) feature selection algorithm is utilized to select more correlated and effective historical wind speed time series features. The proposed model's performance is comprehensively evaluated on two datasets gathered from the wind stations located in the United States (US) for two forecasting horizons of the next 30-min and 1-h ahead. The experimental results reveal that the proposed model achieves the best forecasting performance compared to seven prominent classical and state-of-the-art forecasting algorithms.
2022
Authors
Lima, J; Kalbermatter, RB; Braun, J; Brito, T; Berger, G; Costa, P;
Publication
2022 LATIN AMERICAN ROBOTICS SYMPOSIUM (LARS), 2022 BRAZILIAN SYMPOSIUM ON ROBOTICS (SBR), AND 2022 WORKSHOP ON ROBOTICS IN EDUCATION (WRE)
Abstract
The experimental component is an essential method in Engineering education. Sometimes the availability of laboratories and components is compromised, and the COVID19 pandemic worsened the situation. Resorting to an accurate simulation seems to help this process by allowing students to develop the work, program, test, and validate it. Moreover, it lowers the development time and cost of the prototyping stages of a robotics project. As a multidisciplinary area, robotics requires simulation environments with essential characteristics, such as dynamics, connection to hardware (embedded systems), and other applications. Thus, this paper presents the Simulation environment of SimTwo, emphasizing previous publications with models of sensors, actuators, and simulation scenes. The simulator can be used for free, and the source code is available to the community. Proposed scenes and examples can inspire the development of other simulation scenes to be used in electrical and mechanical Engineering projects.
2022
Authors
Pereira, RC; Abreu, PH; Rodrigues, PP;
Publication
IEEE JOURNAL OF BIOMEDICAL AND HEALTH INFORMATICS
Abstract
Missing data can pose severe consequences in critical contexts, such as clinical research based on routinely collected healthcare data. This issue is usually handled with imputation strategies, but these tend to produce poor and biased results under the Missing Not At Random (MNAR) mechanism. A recent trend that has been showing promising results for MNAR is the use of generative models, particularly Variational Autoencoders. However, they have a limitation: the imputed values are the result of a single sample, which can be biased. To tackle it, an extension to the Variational Autoencoder that uses a partial multiple imputation procedure is introduced in this work. The proposed method was compared to 8 state-of-the-art imputation strategies, in an experimental setup with 34 datasets from the medical context, injected with the MNAR mechanism (10% to 80% rates). The results were evaluated through the Mean Absolute Error, with the new method being the overall best in 71% of the datasets, significantly outperforming the remaining ones, particularly for high missing rates. Finally, a case study of a classification task with heart failure data was also conducted, where this method induced improvements in 50% of the classifiers.
2022
Authors
Ribeiro F.J.; Lopes J.A.P.; Fernandes F.S.; Soares F.J.; Madureira A.G.;
Publication
SEST 2022 - 5th International Conference on Smart Energy Systems and Technologies
Abstract
This paper investigates the contribution of hydrogen electrolysers (HEs) as highly controllable loads in the context of the Frequency Containment Reserve (FCR), in future operation scenarios on the Iberian Peninsula (IP). The research question is whether HEs can mitigate system insecurity regarding frequency or Rate of Change of Frequency (RoCoF) in critical periods of high renewable energy penetration (i.e. low system inertia), due to the fact that these periods will coincide with high volume of green hydrogen production. The proposed simulation platform for analysis consists of a simplified dynamic model developed in MATLAB/Simulink. The results obtained illustrate how HEs can outperform conventional generators on the provision of FCR. It is seen that the reference incident of 1GW loss in the IP in a 2040 low inertia scenario does not lead to insecure values of either frequency or Rate of Change of Frequency (RoCoF). On the other hand, an instantaneous loss of inverter-based resources (IBR) generation following a short-circuit may result in RoCoF violating security thresholds. The obtained results suggest that the HEs expected to be installed in the IP in 2040 may contribute to reduce RoCoF in this case, although this mitigation may be insufficient. The existing FCR mechanism does not fully exploit the fast-ramping capability of HEs; reducing measurement acquisiton delay would not improve results.
2022
Authors
Matte, LH; Vaz, CB;
Publication
OPTIMIZATION, LEARNING ALGORITHMS AND APPLICATIONS, OL2A 2022
Abstract
This work aims to identify the critical production costs, related to raw materials and labor, of ordered inflatable-based products without standardization in order to develop a quantitative model to predict these costs accurately in the early project stage, within the budget step. In order to achieve this goal, it was necessary to understand the production processes and the raw materials, as well as to study the principal theoretical aspects related to cost estimating techniques and methods, cost estimating models, model selection, and validation. Therefore, it is intended to develop a multiple linear regression model, applied to historical quantitative data, to estimate each critical variable concerning the quantity of the main raw material and the labor times for critical processes. Six models were analyzed, in which two models are identified for each critical variable such as the linear meters value of the main raw material used in the product, the main raw material cut time involved in the product and the sew time required by the product. The models were evaluated, selected, and validated, defining the best model for each critical variable. The model parameters were obtained using a train dataset and, afterwards, the results of the selected models were validated using a test dataset. The obtained results, through the proposed methodology, were evaluated and proved to be reliable for use in the early stage of product development within the budget step.
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