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Publications

Publications by CPES

2024

Optimal power flow using a hybridization algorithm of arithmetic optimization and aquila optimizer

Authors
Ahmadipour, M; Othman, MM; Bo, R; Javadi, MS; Ridha, HM; Alrifaey, M;

Publication
Expert Syst. Appl.

Abstract
In this paper, a hybridization method based on Arithmetic optimization algorithm (AOA) and Aquila optimizer (AO) solver namely, the AO-AOA is applied to solve the Optimal Power Flow (OPF) problem to independently optimize generation fuel cost, power loss, emission, voltage deviation, and L index. The proposed AO-AOA algorithm follows two strategies to find a better optimal solution. The first strategy is to introduce an energy parameter (E) to balance the transition between the individuals’ procedure of exploration and exploitation in AO-AOA swarms. Next, a piecewise linear map is employed to reduce the energy parameter's (E) randomness. To evaluate the performance of the proposed AO-AOA algorithm, it is tested on two well-known power systems i.e., IEEE 30-bus test network, and IEEE 118-bus test system. Moreover, to validate the effectiveness of the proposed (AO-AOA), it is compared with a famous optimization technique as a competitor i.e., Teaching-learning-based optimization (TLBO), and recently published works on solving OPF problems. Furthermore, a robustness analysis was executed to determine the reliability of the AO-AOA solver. The obtained result confirms that not only the AO-AOA is efficient in optimization with significant convergence speed, but also denotes the dominance and potential of the AO-AOA in comparison with other works. © 2023 Elsevier Ltd

2024

The role of social learning on consumers’ willingness to engage in demand-side management: An agent-based modelling approach

Authors
Golmaryami, S; Nunes, ML; Ferreira, P;

Publication
Smart Energy

Abstract

2023

Estimation of Planning Investments with Scarce Data - comparing LASSO, Bayesian and CMLR

Authors
Fidalgo, JN; Macedo, PM; Rocha, HFR;

Publication
2023 19TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM

Abstract
A common problem in distribution planning is the scarcity of historic data (training examples) relative to the number of variables, meaning that most data-driven techniques cannot be applied in such situations, due to the risk of overfitting. Thus, the suitable regression techniques are restrained to efficient models, preferably with embedded regularization features. This article compares three of these techniques: LASSO, Bayesian and CMLR (Conditioned multi-linear regression - a new approach developed within the scope of a project with a distribution company). The results showed that each technique has its own advantages and limitations. The Bayesian regression has the main advantage of providing inherent confidence intervals. The LASSO is a very economic and efficient regression tool. The CMLR is versatile and provided the best performance.A common problem in distribution planning is the scarcity of historic data (training examples) relative to the number of variables, meaning that most data-driven techniques cannot be applied in such situations, due to the risk of overfitting. Thus, the suitable regression techniques are restrained to efficient models, preferably with embedded regularization features. This article compares three of these techniques: LASSO, Bayesian and CMLR (Conditioned multi-linear regression - a new approach developed within the scope of a project with a distribution company). The results showed that each technique has its own advantages and limitations. The Bayesian regression has the main advantage of providing inherent confidence intervals. The LASSO is a very economic and efficient regression tool. The CMLR is versatile and provided the best performance.

2023

Easing Predictors Selection in Electricity Price Forecasting with Deep Learning Techniques

Authors
Silva, AR; Fidalgo, JN; Andrade, JR;

Publication
2023 19TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM

Abstract
This paper explores the application of Deep Learning techniques to forecast electricity market prices. Three Deep Learning (DL) techniques are tested: Dense Neural Networks (DNN), Long Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTM) and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN); and two non-DL techniques: Multiple Linear Regression and Gradient Boosting (GB). First, this work compares the forecast skill of all techniques for electricity price forecasting. The results analysis showed that CNN consistently remained among the best performers when predicting the most unusual periods such as the Covid19 pandemic one. The second study evaluates the potential application of CNN for automatic feature extraction over a dataset composed by multiple explanatory variables of different types, overcoming part of the feature selection challenges. The results showed that CNNs can be used to reduce the need for a variable selection phase.

2023

A Data-Driven Approach to Estimate the Flexibility Maps in Multiple TSO-DSO Connections

Authors
Silva, J; Sumaili, J; Silva, B; Carvalho, L; Retorta, F; Staudt, M; Miranda, V;

Publication
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS

Abstract
This paper presents a methodology to estimate flexibility existing on TSO-DSO borderline, for the cases where multiple TSO-DSO connections exist (meshed grids). To do so, the work conducted exploits previous developments regarding flexibility representation through the adoption of active and reactive power flexibility maps and extends the concept for the cases where multiple TSO-DSO connection exists, using data-driven approach to determine the equivalent impedance between TSO nodes, preserving the anonymity regarding sensitive grid information, such as the topology. This paper also provides numerical validation followed by real-world demonstration of the methodology proposed.

2023

Economic Analysis of a Hydrogen Power Plant in the Portuguese Electricity Market

Authors
Rodrigues, LM; Soares, T; Rezende, I; Fontoura, JP; Miranda, V;

Publication
ENERGIES

Abstract
Hydrogen is regarded as a flexible energy carrier with multiple applications across several sectors. For instance, it can be used in industrial processes, transports, heating, and electrical power generation. Green hydrogen, produced from renewable sources, can have a crucial role in the pathway towards global decarbonization. However, the success of green hydrogen production ultimately depends on its economic sustainability. In this context, this work evaluates the economic performance of a hydrogen power plant participating in the electricity market and supplying multiple hydrogen consumers. The analysis includes technical and economical details of the main components of the hydrogen power plant. Its operation is simulated using six different scenarios, which admit the production of either grey or green hydrogen. The scenarios used for the analysis include data from the Iberian electricity market for the Portuguese hub. An important conclusion is that the combination of multiple services in a hydrogen power plant has a positive effect on its economic performance. However, as of today, consumers who would wish to acquire green hydrogen would have to be willing to pay higher prices to compensate for the shorter periods of operation of hydrogen power plants and for their intrinsic losses. Nonetheless, an increase in green hydrogen demand based on a greater environmental awareness can lead to the need to not only build more of these facilities, but also to integrate more services into them. This could promote the investment in hydrogen-related technologies and result in changes in capital and operating costs of key components of these plants, which are necessary to bring down production costs.

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