2024
Authors
Bairrao, D; Ramos, D; Faria, P; Vale, Z;
Publication
IFAC PAPERSONLINE
Abstract
In recent years, the energy landscape has undergone significant transformations, characterized by the integration of renewable energy sources, smart grids, and the proliferation of IoT-enabled devices. As a result, the efficient management of energy resources has become paramount, requiring advanced methodologies in load forecasting and clustering. This article presents an enhanced methodology for short-term load forecasting that focuses on load consumption profile recognition within a smart building environment. The methodology is designed to analyze and identify recurring load consumption profiles and measures of sensors, thereby enhancing load consumption profile recognition capabilities within the smart building context. The interaction between single and grouped datasets is explored to enhance the accuracy and interpretability of predictions, contributing to optimized energy consumption and providing valuable information for demand response programs. The default forecasting methods used in the methodology are artificial neural networks and k-nearest neighbors. For comparing results and evaluating the proposed approach, XGBoost is also employed. The dataset is selected from a specific database, and the clustering method, partitioning type, is applied with k-means. The results, validated with error evaluation models and statistics, reveal the advantages of the proposed approach, especially with three clusters, where the results achieved by the Artificial Neural Network are the best. The clustering process, particularly the partitioning type, demonstrates a strong capability in improving load forecasting in smart buildings and helps understand load consumption patterns and achieve energy savings. Copyright (C) 2024 The Authors. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)
2024
Authors
Ismail, MM; Al Dhaifallah, M; Rezk, H; Habib, HUR; Hamad, SA;
Publication
AIN SHAMS ENGINEERING JOURNAL
Abstract
Electric vehicles (EVs) are key to a sustainable future, but extending battery life is essential to reduce costs and environmental impact. Thus, this paper presents the development of an Adaptive Nonlinear Predictive Model (ANLPM), integrated with a Third Order Generalized Integrator (TOGI) flux observer, which enhances induced torque estimation and stator reactance in Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor (PMSM) systems. The model employs a Sequential Quadratic Programming (SQP) algorithm, ensuring numerical stability and efficiency within the Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework to handle nonlinear constraints effectively. Moreover, simulation results demonstrate that the ANLPM significantly outperforms classical Adaptive Linear Predictive Models (ALPM), Seven-Dimensional LPM (SDLPM), and Proportional-Integral (PI) control strategies. It achieves marked reductions in battery discharge current and energy consumption rates. Therefore, simulation comparisons, across different scenarios, show that ANLPM reduces battery discharge current by 3% over ALPM and 44.7% over PI, while cutting energy consumption by 12.2% and 28.2%, and decreasing parallel battery cells by 14.2% and 28%, respectively. Under high temperatures, ANLPM cuts battery consumption by 45.3% and reduces cells by 43.7% compared to SDLPM, highlighting its efficiency in managing energy and extending battery life in EVs.
2024
Authors
Costa, P; Agreira, CIF; Pestana, R; Cao, Y;
Publication
2024 IEEE VEHICLE POWER AND PROPULSION CONFERENCE, VPPC 2024
Abstract
Carbon neutralization is a European concern, which is why the maritime sector should implement strategies to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, particularly in port areas. The Port of Sines, a very important maritime hub in Portugal, is in a stage of significant expansion including new terminal constructions and renewable energy projects, which amplify its energy demands. This paper presents a new approached of a load model, consumption Integration of renewable energy sources and energy storage systems for the Port of Sines, analysing a global hourly energy consumption in two months of 2023. Using a Software Package MATLAB, the details of the consumption profiles of all ships and terminals in order to identify periods of peak demand, the information on the integration of renewable energy sources and energy storage systems, will be studied and analysed. Due to the increase in maritime traffic and the use of potential Onshore Power Supply Systems (OPS) to reduce emissions, in this study a new energy requirements will be analysed. This new model will be as a step for optimizing the port's electrical infrastructure, enhancing energy efficiency, and supporting sustainable growth. Finally, some conclusions that provide a valuable contribution to the understanding of the Portuguese Ports, aims to provide a critical study of the load model to be taken, into account when managing port energy demand and advancing environmental goals are pointed out.
2024
Authors
Costa, P; Agreira, CIF; Pestana, R; Cao, Y;
Publication
2024 IEEE 22ND MEDITERRANEAN ELECTROTECHNICAL CONFERENCE, MELECON 2024
Abstract
In a world that is in constant changing and where carbon neutrality becomes a common objective, it is necessary to implement European policies and targets to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The maritime sector is one of the most polluting in the world, becoming mandatory to implement technologies in port area to reduce their footprint. Most of the good's transportation are made by sea, the maritime industry is growing, and the biggest chair of greenhouse gas emission comes from shipping. The seaport has the role to implement solutions to reduce the emissions in port area, allowing the ships to shutdown their engines while they are moored in port. Renewable energy production alongside with shore power supply systems are becoming a common solution in ports as some of the technologies that allows to reduce ships emissions in port area. This paper presents the state of the art of onshore power supply in ports and standards related to shore power supply and data requirements for load model built and emissions calculations.
2023
Authors
Fidalgo, JN; Macedo, PM; Rocha, HFR;
Publication
2023 19TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM
Abstract
A common problem in distribution planning is the scarcity of historic data (training examples) relative to the number of variables, meaning that most data-driven techniques cannot be applied in such situations, due to the risk of overfitting. Thus, the suitable regression techniques are restrained to efficient models, preferably with embedded regularization features. This article compares three of these techniques: LASSO, Bayesian and CMLR (Conditioned multi-linear regression - a new approach developed within the scope of a project with a distribution company). The results showed that each technique has its own advantages and limitations. The Bayesian regression has the main advantage of providing inherent confidence intervals. The LASSO is a very economic and efficient regression tool. The CMLR is versatile and provided the best performance.A common problem in distribution planning is the scarcity of historic data (training examples) relative to the number of variables, meaning that most data-driven techniques cannot be applied in such situations, due to the risk of overfitting. Thus, the suitable regression techniques are restrained to efficient models, preferably with embedded regularization features. This article compares three of these techniques: LASSO, Bayesian and CMLR (Conditioned multi-linear regression - a new approach developed within the scope of a project with a distribution company). The results showed that each technique has its own advantages and limitations. The Bayesian regression has the main advantage of providing inherent confidence intervals. The LASSO is a very economic and efficient regression tool. The CMLR is versatile and provided the best performance.
2023
Authors
Silva, AR; Fidalgo, JN; Andrade, JR;
Publication
2023 19TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM
Abstract
This paper explores the application of Deep Learning techniques to forecast electricity market prices. Three Deep Learning (DL) techniques are tested: Dense Neural Networks (DNN), Long Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTM) and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN); and two non-DL techniques: Multiple Linear Regression and Gradient Boosting (GB). First, this work compares the forecast skill of all techniques for electricity price forecasting. The results analysis showed that CNN consistently remained among the best performers when predicting the most unusual periods such as the Covid19 pandemic one. The second study evaluates the potential application of CNN for automatic feature extraction over a dataset composed by multiple explanatory variables of different types, overcoming part of the feature selection challenges. The results showed that CNNs can be used to reduce the need for a variable selection phase.
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