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Publications

Publications by CPES

2025

Energy behaviour of selected agri-food business and potential savings from collective self-consumption

Authors
Cruz, F; Faria, AS; Andrade, I; Mello, J; Ribeiro, B; Garcia, A; Villar, J;

Publication
2025 21ST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM

Abstract
Agriculture and energy use are increasingly linked, especially as farms' energy needs grow. Renewable Energy Communities (RECs) help farmers, particularly in remote areas, access affordable surplus energy from other producers, while sellers gain extra revenue. This study focuses on the creation of RECs as a sustainable and economically viable solution for small and medium-sized agribusinesses to address their energy challenges. We explore the complementarities and potential benefits of RECs from the experience learned in the Tools4AgriEnergy project, using RECreation digital platform for the management of RECs. A case study is used, based on the Alqueva region in Portugal with six members that develop different agri-food sector activities. Using tariffs compliant with Portuguese regulations, results indicate that the development of self-consumption activities can achieve significant energy cost savings annually.

2025

Business Model for Energy Community Developers and Assets Investors

Authors
De Sousa, F; Bayo-Besteiro, S; Doménech, S; Silva, R; Villar, J;

Publication
2025 21ST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM

Abstract
Energy community developers are relevant actors for the deployment of energy communities as they can overcome initial investment costs and better navigate complex licensing processes. Their strategy depends on the chosen business model, typically aimed at maximizing their profit while providing tangible benefits to the potential members of the energy communities to encourage their engagement. This works describes strategies for an energy management system adapted to energy community developers whose business model consists in installing, owning and managing energy assets (such as photovoltaic panels and batteries) in its own facilities and in the facilities of those energy community members able and willing to provide them, to sell the locally produced energy for self-consumption in the energy community.

2025

The impact of contracts on hydrogen and electricity markets under a joint Cournot equilibrium

Authors
Rozas, LAH; Campos, FA; Villar, JV;

Publication
International Journal of Hydrogen Energy

Abstract
Volatility in energy prices, alongside the European Commission's decarbonization strategy, has led to reforming the European electricity market and the creation of a hydrogen strategy. Hydrogen and electricity have a symbiotic relationship: hydrogen production through electrolysis relies on electricity, while its production provides flexibility to the power system utilizing renewable energy surpluses. This research provides a joint electricity and hydrogen market model based on Cournot equilibrium, solved with an equivalent optimization problem, incorporating contracts for both goods. Results for the MIBEL show that contracts increase market competition, reduce prices, and enhance renewable energy utilization. Wholesale electricity and hydrogen prices decrease by 10 % and 8 %, respectively, while electrolytic hydrogen production rises by 10 %. Profits increase by over 20 %, with the hydrogen sector doubling its gains. The model also identifies contract prices that ensure profitability and emissions reduction. These findings highlight the potential of PPAs and HPAs to support energy transition goals. © 2025 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.

2025

Characterization tests for hybrid storage systems – Li-ion and Va-na dium Redox Flow Batteries (HyStorization)

Authors
Silva, Ricardo Emanuel; Martínez, Pedro Benedicto; Agrela, João Carlos; INESC TEC; Technical University of Denmark;

Publication

Abstract
The HyStorization project aims to advance the modelling and operational understanding of hybrid electrochemical energy storage systems, focusing on Lithium-ion (Li-ion) and Vanadium Redox Flow Batteries (VRFBs). These technologies are key enablers of flexible, reliable, and scalable grid-scale energy storage. While Li-ion batteries are well-established for high-power applications, VRFBs offer promising advantages for medium- to long-duration storage due to their durability and decoupled energy and power capacities. The primary objective is to develop linearized battery models for both technologies, derived from experimental data, that accurately capture efficiency and power limits as functions of the State of Charge (SoC). These models are intended for integration into Mixed-Integer Linear Programming (MILP) tools to optimize energy dispatch in hybrid storage systems. A comprehensive testing campaign was conducted on three BYD stationary Li-ion battery systems. Due to a malfunction in one unit, the remaining three—of similar age and usage—were treated as a single representative system. A Python-based controller was developed to automate cycling and collect high-resolution data (1-second intervals) via HTTP. The testing protocol included: • Constant power cycles for initial validation and degradation screening. • Constant current cycles for parameter extraction. Key findings include: • A slight but consistent improvement in SoC estimation accuracy using a linear model over a bucket model (~2% reduction in MAE and MSE). • Shorter resampling intervals (e.g., 1-minute vs. 15-minute) improved accuracy, but the most significant reduction in error came from refreshing the SoC with real measurements rather than relying on estimated values. • SoC limits, while useful for safety, were found to be overly restrictive and may not reflect the battery’s full operational flexibility. • Attempts to assess cyclic degradation were inconclusive due to the limited number of cycles and short observation window. The final linear model includes parameters for nominal charge/discharge voltages, inverter efficiencies, and dynamic SoC limits as functions of DC power. These were validated against real operational data and compared with manufacturer-based models. Concerning the VRFB, the project originally planned to conduct targeted tests on the VRFB to: • Evaluate energy efficiency across different SoC levels and operational ranges. • Determine maximum and minimum effective power ratings as functions of SoC. • Support the development of non-linear models that will be linearized for MILP integration. However, due to a malfunction, the VRFB could not be tested as planned. Instead, the projectrelied on previously collected characterization data, which did not fully cover the intended test scope. Despite these limitations, the available data was used to: • Analyse energy efficiency trends across selected states of charge (SoC) and operational conditions. • Estimate effective power ratings within the constraints of the existing dataset. • Support the preliminary development of non-linear models, with the aim of future linearization for MILP integration. While these efforts provided valuable insights, the absence of new experimental data limited the ability to fully capture the unique operational characteristics of VRFBs, such as their decoupled energy and power capabilities and their suitability for long-duration storage. The project is expected to deliver: • Validated, MILP-compatible models for both Li-ion and VRFB technologies. • Enhanced dispatch strategies for hybrid storage systems. • Improved integration of real-time SoC measurements to reduce estimation error. • Recommendations for longer-term testing to better assess degradation and refine model accuracy. In conclusion, the HyStorization project provides a foundational step toward more accurate, data-driven modelling of hybrid storage systems. It highlights the importance of real-time data, flexible modelling approaches, and the need for continued testing to support the evolving role of batteries in grid operations.

2025

Introduction of Legacy Protocol Converter as an Interoperability Software

Authors
Charan Dande, CS; Rakhshani, E; Gümrükcü, E; Gil, AA; Manuel, N; Carta, D; Lucas, A; Benigni, A; Monti, A;

Publication
2025 IEEE International Conference on Engineering, Technology, and Innovation (ICE/ITMC)

Abstract

2025

Synthetic Data Generation for Time Series Imputation: Comparing the Foundation Model Chronos with Established Methods

Authors
Lessa S.S.; Lucas A.;

Publication
2025 IEEE Kiel Powertech Powertech 2025

Abstract
Accurately imputing missing data is critical in time series analysis. The present work compares Foundation Model Chronos against Linear Interpolation, K-Nearest Neighbor Imputer, and Gaussian Mixture Model Imputer with three types of missing data patterns: random, short sequential chunks, and a long sequential chunk. These results confirm that for random missing values, KNN and interpolation yield the highest performance, while Chronos outperforms these on sequences. Indeed, however, for longer sequences of missing values, Chronos starts suffering from cascading errors which eventually allow the simpler imputation methods to outrank it. Another test with limited quantities of training data showed different tradeoffs for the different methods. Unlike KNN and interpolation, which smooth out the gaps, Chronos generates variable synthetic data. This can be beneficial in tasks which require control or simulation. The results highlight the strengths and weaknesses of the imputers and, therefore, offer practical insights into trade-offs between computational complexities, accuracy, and suitability for time series imputation scenarios.

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