Cookies Policy
The website need some cookies and similar means to function. If you permit us, we will use those means to collect data on your visits for aggregated statistics to improve our service. Find out More
Accept Reject
  • Menu
Publications

Publications by Tiago Manuel Campelos

2018

Day ahead electricity consumption forecasting with MOGUL learning model

Authors
Jozi, A; Pinto, T; Praça, I; Vale, Z; Soares, J;

Publication
2018 INTERNATIONAL JOINT CONFERENCE ON NEURAL NETWORKS (IJCNN)

Abstract
Due to amount of today's electricity consumption, one of the most important tasks of the energy operators is to be able to predict the consumption and be ready to control the energy generation based on the estimated consumption for the future. In this way, having a trustable forecast of the electricity consumption is essential to control the consumption and maintain the balance in energy distribution networks. This study presents a day ahead forecasting approach based on a genetic fuzzy system for fuzzy rule learning based on the MOGUL methodology (GFS.FR.MOGUL). The proposed approach is used to forecast the electricity consumption of an office building in the following 24 hours. The goal of this work is to present a more reliable profile of the electricity consumption comparing to previous works. Therefore, this paper also includes the comparison of the results of day ahead forecasting using GFS.FR.MOGUL method against other fuzzy rule based methods, as well as a set of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) approaches. This comparison shows that using the GFS.FR.MOGUL forecasting method for day-ahead electricity consumption forecasting is able to estimate a more trustable value than the other approaches.

2018

Differential Evolution Aplication in Portfolio Optimization for Electricity Markets

Authors
Faia, R; Lezama, F; Soares, J; Vale, Z; Pinto, T; Corchado, JM;

Publication
2018 INTERNATIONAL JOINT CONFERENCE ON NEURAL NETWORKS (IJCNN)

Abstract
Smart Grid technologies enable the intelligent integration and management of distributed energy resources. Also, the advanced communication and control capabilities in smart grids facilitate the active participation of aggregators at different levels in the available electricity markets. The portfolio optimization problem consists in finding the optimal bid allocation in the different available markets. In this scenario, the aggregator should be able to provide a solution within a timeframe. Therefore, the application of metaheuristic approaches is justified, since they have proven to be an effective tool to provide near-optimal solutions in acceptable execution times. Among the vast variety of metaheuristics available in the literature, Differential Evolution (DE) is arguably one of the most popular and successful evolutionary algorithms due to its simplicity and effectiveness. In this paper, the use of DE is analyzed for solving the portfolio optimization problem in electricity markets. Moreover, the performance of DE is compared with another powerful metaheuristic, the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), showing that despite both algorithms provide good results for the problem, DE overcomes PSO in terms of quality of the solutions.

2019

A Review of the Main Machine Learning Methods for Predicting Residential Energy Consumption

Authors
Gonzalez-Briones, A; Hernandez, G; Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Corchado, JM;

Publication
2019 16th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)

Abstract

2021

Consumer Flexibility Aggregation Using Partition Function Games With Non-Transferable Utility

Authors
Pinto, T; Wooldridge, M; Vale, Z;

Publication
IEEE ACCESS

Abstract
This paper explores the aggregation of electricity consumers flexibility. A novel coalitional game theory model for partition function games with non-transferable utility is proposed. This model is used to formalize a game in which electricity consumers find coalitions among themselves in order to trade their consumption flexibility in the electricity market. Utility functions are defined to enable measuring the players preferences. Two case studies are presented, including a simple illustrative case, which assesses and explains the model in detail; and a large-scale scenario based on real data, comprising more than 20,000 consumers. Results show that the proposed model is able to reach solutions that are more suitable for the consumers when compared to the solutions achieved by traditional aggregation techniques in power and energy systems, such as clustering-based methodologies. The solutions found by the proposed model consider the perspectives from all players involved in the game and thus are able to reflect the rational behaviour of the involved players, rather than imposing an aggregation solution that is only beneficial from the perspective of the aggregator.

2021

Optimal Model for Local Energy Community Scheduling Considering Peer to Peer Electricity Transactions

Authors
Faia, R; Soares, J; Pinto, T; Lezama, F; Vale, Z; Corchado, JM;

Publication
IEEE ACCESS

Abstract
The current energy strategy of the European Union puts the end-user as a key participant in electricity markets. The creation of energy communities has been encouraged by the European Union to increase the penetration of renewable energy and reduce the overall cost of the energy chain. Energy communities are mostly composed of prosumers, which may be households with small-size energy production equipment such as rooftop photovoltaic panels. The local electricity market is an emerging concept that enables the active participation of end-user in the electricity markets and is especially interesting when energy communities are in place. This paper proposes an optimization model to schedule peer-to-peer transactions via local electricity market, grid transactions in retail market, and battery management considering the photovoltaic production of households. Prosumers have the possibility of transacting energy with the retailer or with other consumers in their community. The problem is modeled using mixed-integer linear programming, containing binary and continuous variables. Four scenarios are studied, and the impact of battery storage systems and peer-to-peer transactions is analyzed. The proposed model execution time according to the number of prosumers involved (3, 5, 10, 15, or 20) in the optimization is analyzed. The results suggest that using a battery storage system in the energy community can lead to energy savings of 11-13%. Besides, combining the use of peer-to-peer transactions and energy storage systems can potentially provide energy savings of up to 25% in the overall costs of the community members.

2020

Application Ontology for Multi-Agent and Web-Services & x2019; Co-Simulation in Power and Energy Systems

Authors
Teixeira, B; Santos, G; Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Corchado, JM;

Publication
IEEE ACCESS

Abstract
Power and energy systems are very complex, and several tools are available to assist operators in their planning and operation. However, these tools do not allow a sensitive analysis of the impact of the interaction between the different sub-domains and, consequently, in obtaining more realistic and reliable results. One of the key challenges in this area is the development of decision support tools to address the problem as a whole. Tools Control Center & x2013; TOOCC & x2013; proposed and developed by the authors, enables the co-simulation of heterogeneous systems to study the electricity markets, the operation of the smart grids, and the energy management of the final consumer, among others. To this end, it uses an application ontology that supports the definition of scenarios and results comparison, while easing the interoperability among the several systems. This paper presents the application ontology developed. The paper addresses the methodology used for its development, its purpose and requirements, and its concepts, relations, facets and instances. The ontology application is illustrated through a case study, where different requirements are tested and demonstrated. It is concluded that the proposed application ontology accomplishes its goals, as it is suitable to represent the required knowledge to support the interoperability among the different considered systems.

  • 21
  • 61