Abstract
We exploit ideas of nonlinear dynamics and statistical physics in a complex nondeterministic dynamical setting using the Ruelle-Takens embedding. We present some new insights on the quality of the prediction in the laminar regime and we exhibit the data collapse of the predicted relative first difference fluctuations to the universal Bramwell-Hodsworth-Pinton distribution. Hence, the nearest neighbour method of prediction acts as a filter that does not eliminate the randomness, but exhibits its universal character.

Abstract
We study the European river Danube and the South American river Negro daily water levels. We present a fit for the Negro daily water level period and standard deviation. Unexpectedly, we discover that the river Negro and Danube are mirror rivers in the sense that the daily water levels fluctuations histograms are close to the universal non-parametric BHP and reversed BHP, respectively. Hence, the probability of a certain positive fluctuation range in the river Negro is, approximately, equal to the probability of the corresponding symmetric negative fluctuation range in the river Danube.

Abstract
We consider the alpha re-scaled Standard & Poor's 100 (SP100) daily index positive returns r(t)(alpha) and negative returns (-r(t))(alpha) that we call, after normalization, the alpha positive fluctuations and alpha negative fluctuations, respectively. We use the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistical test as a method to find the values of alpha that optimize the data collapse of the histogram of the alpha fluctuations with the truncated Bramwell-Holdsworth-Pinton (BHP) probability density function (pdf) and the truncated generalized log-normal pdf f(LN) that best approximates the truncated BHP pdf. The optimal parameters we found are alpha(+)(BHP) = 0.52, alpha(-)(BHP) = 0.48, alpha(+)(LN) = 0.52 and alpha(-)(LN) = 0.50. Using the optimal alpha's, we compute analytical approximations of the probability distributions of the normalized positive and negative SP100 index daily returns r(t). Since the BHP pdf appears in several other dissimilar phenomena, our result reveals a universal feature of the stock exchange markets.