2024
Authors
Kumar, R; Mendes-moreira, J; Chandra, J;
Publication
ACM TRANSACTIONS ON KNOWLEDGE DISCOVERY FROM DATA
Abstract
Traffic forecasting problems involve jointly modeling the non-linear spatio-temporal dependencies at different scales. While graph neural network models have been effectively used to capture the non-linear spatial dependencies, capturing the dynamic spatial dependencies between the locations remains a major challenge. The errors in capturing such dependencies propagate in modeling the temporal dependencies between the locations, thereby severely affecting the performance of long-term predictions. While transformer-based mechanisms have been recently proposed for capturing the dynamic spatial dependencies, these methods are susceptible to fluctuations in data brought on by unforeseen events like traffic congestion and accidents. To mitigate these issues we propose an improvised spatio-temporal parallel transformer (STPT) based model for traffic prediction that uses multiple adjacency graphs passed through a pair of coupled graph transformer- convolution network units, operating in parallel, to generate more noise-resilient embeddings. We conduct extensive experiments on 4 real-world traffic datasets and compare the performance of STPT with several state-of-the-art baselines, in terms of measures like RMSE, MAE, and MAPE. We find that using STPT improves the performance by around 10 - 34% as compared to the baselines. We also investigate the applicability of the model on other spatio-temporal data in other domains. We use a Covid-19 dataset to predict the number of future occurrences in different regions from a given set of historical occurrences. The results demonstrate the superiority of our model for such datasets.
2024
Authors
---, MP; Mendes-Moreira, J;
Publication
Abstract
2024
Authors
Mendes Neves, T; Meireles, L; Mendes Moreira, J;
Publication
MACHINE LEARNING
Abstract
This paper introduces the Large Events Model (LEM) for soccer, a novel deep learning framework for generating and analyzing soccer matches. The framework can simulate games from a given game state, with its primary output being the ensuing probabilities and events from multiple simulations. These can provide insights into match dynamics and underlying mechanisms. We discuss the framework's design, features, and methodologies, including model optimization, data processing, and evaluation techniques. The models within this framework are developed to predict specific aspects of soccer events, such as event type, success likelihood, and further details. In an applied context, we showcase the estimation of xP+, a metric estimating a player's contribution to the team's points earned. This work ultimately enhances the field of sports event prediction and practical applications and emphasizes the potential for this kind of method.
2024
Authors
Ferreira, PJS; Moreira, JM; Cardoso, JMP;
Publication
10th IEEE World Forum on Internet of Things, WF-IoT 2024, Ottawa, ON, Canada, November 10-13, 2024
Abstract
Self-adaptive Systems (SaS) are becoming increasingly important for adapting to dynamic environments and for optimizing performance on resource-constrained devices. A practical approach to achieving self-adaptability involves using a Pareto-Front (PF) to store the system's hyper-parameters and the outcomes of hyperparameter combinations. This paper proposes a novel method to approximate a PF, offering a configurable number of solutions that can be adapted to the device's limitations. We conducted extensive experiments across various scenarios, where all PF solutions were replaced, and real world scenarios were performed using actual measurements from a Human Activity Recognition (HAR) system. Our results show that our method consistently outperforms previous methods, mainly when the maximum number of PF solutions is in the order of hundreds. The effectiveness of our method is most apparent in real-case scenarios where it achieves, when executed in a Raspberry Pi 5, up to 87% energy consumption reduction and lower execution times than the second-best algorithm. Additionally, our method ensures a more evenly distributed solution across the PF, preventing the high concentration of solutions. © 2024 IEEE.
2024
Authors
Kumar, R; Bhanu, M; Roy, S; Mendes Moreira, J; Chandra, J;
Publication
International Symposium on Advanced Networks and Telecommunication Systems, ANTS
Abstract
Taxi demand prediction with scarce historic information is among the most encountered challenges of the present decade for the traffic network of a smart city. Lack of sufficient information results in the failure of conventional approaches in prediction for a new city. Additionally, the prevalent Deep Neural Network (DNN) Models resort to ineffectual approaches which fail to meet the required prediction performance for the network. Moreover, existing domain adaptation (DA) models could not sufficiently reap the domain-shared features well from multiple source, questioning the models' applicability. Complex structure of these DA models tends to a nominal performance gain due to inefficient resource utilization of the sources. The present paper introduces a domain adaptation deep neural network model, Bootstrap Zero-Shot (BTS-Z) learning model which focuses on capturing the latent spatio-temporal features of the whole city traffic network shared among every source city and maneuver them to predict for the target city traffic network with no prior information. The presented model proves the efficacy of the bootstrap algorithm in the prediction of demands for the unseen target over the computationally expensive MAML models. The experimental results on three real-world city taxi data on the standard benchmark metrics report a minimum of 23.41% improvement over the best performing competitive system. © 2024 IEEE.
2024
Authors
Muhammad, AR; Aguiar, A; Mendes-Moreira, J;
Publication
2024 IEEE 27TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS, ITSC
Abstract
Accurate identification of transportation mode distribution is essential for effective urban planning. Recent advancements in machine learning have spurred research on automated Transportation Mode Detection (TMD). While existing TMD methods predominantly employ standard flat classification methods, this paper introduces HiClass4MD, a novel hierarchical approach. By leveraging the misclassification errors from standard flat classifier, HiClass4MD learns the class hierarchy for transportation modes. Although hierarchical metrics initially indicated performance improvements when applied to real-world GPS trajectories dataset, a subsequent evaluation using conventional metrics revealed inconsistent results. While decision trees benefited marginally, other classifiers exhibited no significant gains or even degraded. This study highlights the complexity of applying hierarchical classification to TMD and underscores the need for further investigation into the factors influencing its effectiveness.
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