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Publications

Publications by HumanISE

2014

Realistic Multi-agent Simulation of Competitive Electricity Markets

Authors
Pinto, T; Santos, G; Vale, ZA; Praça, I; Lopes, F; Algarvio, H;

Publication
25th International Workshop on Database and Expert Systems Applications, DEXA 2014, Munich, Germany, September 1-5, 2014

Abstract

2014

Multi-agent Simulation of Bilateral Contracting in Competitive Electricity Markets

Authors
Lopes, F; Algarvio, H; Sousa, JAM; Coelho, H; Pinto, T; Santos, G; Vale, ZA; Praça, I;

Publication
25th International Workshop on Database and Expert Systems Applications, DEXA 2014, Munich, Germany, September 1-5, 2014

Abstract

2014

Reinforcement Learning Based on the Bayesian Theorem for Electricity Markets Decision Support

Authors
Sousa, TM; Pinto, T; Praça, I; Vale, ZA; Morais, H;

Publication
Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence, 11th International Conference, DCAI 2014, Salamanca, Spain, June 4-6, 2014

Abstract

2014

Data Extraction Tool to Analyse, Transform and Store Real Data from Electricity Markets

Authors
Pereira, IF; Sousa, TM; Praça, I; Freitas, A; Pinto, T; Vale, ZA; Morais, H;

Publication
Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence, 11th International Conference, DCAI 2014, Salamanca, Spain, June 4-6, 2014

Abstract

2014

Short-term wind speed forecasting using Support Vector Machines

Authors
Pinto, T; Ramos, S; Sousa, TM; Vale, ZA;

Publication
2014 IEEE Symposium on Computational Intelligence in Dynamic and Uncertain Environments, CIDUE 2014, Orlando, FL, USA, December 9-12, 2014

Abstract

2014

Adaptive learning in agents behaviour: A framework for electricity markets simulation

Authors
Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Sousa, TM; Praca, I; Santos, G; Morais, H;

Publication
INTEGRATED COMPUTER-AIDED ENGINEERING

Abstract
Electricity markets are complex environments, involving a large number of different entities, playing in a dynamic scene to obtain the best advantages and profits. MASCEM (Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets) is a multiagent electricity market simulator that models market players and simulates their operation in the market. Market players are entities with specific characteristics and objectives, making their decisions and interacting with other players. This paper presents a methodology to provide decision support to electricity market negotiating players. This model allows integrating different strategic approaches for electricity market negotiations, and choosing the most appropriate one at each time, for each different negotiation context. This methodology is integrated in ALBidS (Adaptive Learning strategic Bidding System) - a multiagent system that provides decision support to MASCEM's negotiating agents so that they can properly achieve their goals. ALBidS uses artificial intelligence methodologies and data analysis algorithms to provide effective adaptive learning capabilities to such negotiating entities. The main contribution is provided by a methodology that combines several distinct strategies to build actions proposals, so that the best can be chosen at each time, depending on the context and simulation circumstances. The choosing process includes reinforcement learning algorithms, a mechanism for negotiating contexts analysis, a mechanism for the management of the efficiency/effectiveness balance of the system, and a mechanism for competitor players' profiles definition.

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