Abstract

Abstract
Human Activity Recognition is a machine learning task for the classification of human physical activities. Applications for that task have been extensively researched in recent literature, specially due to the benefits of improving quality of life. Since wearable technologies and smartphones have become more ubiquitous, a large amount of information about a person’s life has become available. However, since each person has a unique way of performing physical activities, a Human Activity Recognition system needs to be adapted to the characteristics of a person in order to maintain or improve accuracy. Additionally, when smartphones devices are used to collect data, it is necessary to manage its limited resources, so the system can efficiently work for long periods of time. In this paper, we present a semi-supervised ensemble algorithm and an extensive study of the influence of hyperparameter configuration in classification accuracy. We also investigate how the classification accuracy is affected by the person and the activities performed. Experimental results show that it is possible to maintain classification accuracy by adjusting hyperparameters, like window size and window overlap, depending on the person and activity performed. These results motivate the development of a system able to automatically adapt hyperparameter settings for the activity performed by each person. © 2020, Springer Nature Switzerland AG.

Abstract

Abstract
In different application areas, the prediction of values that are hierarchically related is required. As an example, consider predicting the revenue per month and per year of a company where the prediction of the year should be equal to the sum of the predictions of the months of that year. The idea of reconciliation of prediction on grouped time-series has been previously proposed to provide optimal forecasts based on such data. This method in effect, models the time-series collectively rather than providing a separate model for time-series at each level. While originally, the idea of reconciliation is applicable on data of time-series nature, it is not clear if such an approach can also be applicable to regression settings where multi-attribute data is available. In this paper, we address such a problem by proposing Reconciliation for Regression (R4R), a two-step approach for prediction and reconciliation. In order to evaluate this method, we test its applicability in the context of Travel Time Prediction (TTP) of bus trips where two levels of values need to be calculated: (i) travel times of the links between consecutive bus-stops; and (ii) total trip travel time. The results show that R4R can improve the overall results in terms of both link TTP performance and reconciliation between the sum of the link TTPs and the total trip travel time. We compare the results acquired when using group-based reconciliation methods and show that the proposed reconciliation approach in a regression setting can provide better results in some cases. This method can be generalized to other domains as well. © 2020, The Author(s).

Abstract
For many reasons, including sports being one of the main forms of entertainment in the world, online gambling is growing. And in growing markets, opportunities to explore it arise. In this paper, neural network ensemble approaches, such as bagging, random subspace sampling, negative correlation learning and the simple averaging of predictions, are compared. For each one of these methods, several combinations of input parameters are evaluated. We used only the expected goals metric as predictors since it is able to have good predictive power while keeping the computational demands low. These models are compared in the soccer (also known as association football) betting context where we have access to metrics, such as rentability, to analyze the results in multiple perspectives. The results show that the optimal solution is goal-dependent, with the ensemble methods being able to increase the accuracy up to +3 % over the best single model. The biggest improvement over the single model was obtained by averaging dropout networks. © 2020, Springer Nature Switzerland AG.