Abstract

Abstract

Abstract
Ensuring reliable and high-quality electricity service is critical for consumers and Distribution System Operators (DSO). The DSO's Plan for Development and Investment in the Distribution Network (PDIDN) plays a pivotal role in enhancing network reliability and resilience while balancing technical and financial aspects. This study proposes a novel probabilistic approach for quality-of-service (QoS) estimation in distribution systems, addressing the limitations of traditional deterministic methods. Leveraging Bayesian regression, specifically the Spike and Slab technique, the model incorporates prior knowledge to improve the prediction of key QoS indicators such as SAIDI, SAIFI, and TIEPI. Using historical network data, the model demonstrates superior predictive accuracy and robustness, offering realistic confidence intervals for strategic planning. This method enables informed investments, enhances regulatory compliance, and supports renewable integration. The findings underline the potential of probabilistic modeling in advancing QoS forecasting, encouraging its application in other areas of electric network management.

Abstract
This article explores the optimization of Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) in energy markets, emphasizing their role in decarbonization by storing excess renewable energy and mitigating grid constraints. BESS enables energy transition by facilitating energy arbitrage, frequency regulation, and grid stabilization, essential for integrating variable renewable sources. Focusing on the UK energy market, the study highlights the favorable policies and investments driving BESS deployment. It examines revenue streams, including Day-Ahead and Intraday markets, ancillary services, and balancing mechanisms, particularly dynamic services like frequency regulation. Challenges such as gas market volatility and regulatory hurdles are also discussed. The proposed market optimization model simulates BESS operations, revealing consistent revenue potential influenced by market conditions and regulatory frameworks. The study underscores BESSs critical role in stabilizing grids, supporting renewables, and enhancing energy security while calling for further research on equipment degradation and broader impacts on energy systems and pricing.

Abstract
This article proposes a methodology for high loss detection in LV network, based on a very small set of commonly available data/metadata from networks connected to an MV/LV substation. The approach is based on a combination of predictors from several distinct categories, including network data, metadata, and measured smart meter data. Several independent groups of unranked real networks were simulated, and it was possible to find the top ten networks with the highest level of losses with a very satisfactory success rate (76% to 98%), depending on selected groupings folds. Due to the impracticability of analyzing all LV networks, the identification of the highest loss ones is essential for the definition of loss reduction planning since, with this list filtering, it is possible to determine with a good degree of certainty which networks require maintenance or upgrade.