2007
Autores
Catalao, JPS; Mariano, SJPS; Mendes, VMF; Ferreira, LAFM;
Publicação
ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS RESEARCH
Abstract
This paper proposes a neural network approach for forecasting short-term electricity prices. Almost until the end of last century, electricity supply was considered a public service and any price forecasting which was undertaken tended to be over the longer term, concerning future fuel prices and technical improvements. Nowadays, short-term forecasts have become increasingly important since the rise of the competitive electricity markets. In this new competitive framework, short-term price forecasting is required by producers and consumers to derive their bidding strategies to the electricity market. Accurate forecasting tools are essential for producers to maximize their profits, avowing profit losses over the misjudgement of future price movements, and for consumers to maximize their utilities. A three-layered feedforward neural network, trained by the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm, is used for forecasting next-week electricity prices. We evaluate the accuracy of the price forecasting attained with the proposed neural network approach, reporting the results from the electricity markets of mainland Spain and California.
2007
Autores
Valente, JMS;
Publicação
COMPUTERS & INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING
Abstract
In this paper, we consider the single machine earliness/tardiness scheduling problem with job-independent penalties, and no machine idle time. Several dispatching heuristics are proposed, and their performance is analysed on a wide range of instances. The heuristics include simple scheduling rules, as well as a procedure that takes advantage of the strengths of each of those rules. We also consider early/tardy dispatching procedures, and a heuristic method based on existing adjacent precedence conditions. An improvement procedure that can be used to improve the schedules generated by the heuristics is also proposed. The computational tests show that the best results are given by the early/tardy dispatching rules. These heuristics are also quite fast, and are capable of quickly solving even very large instances. The use of the improvement procedure is recommended, since it improves the solution quality, with little additional computational effort.
2007
Autores
Ferreira, FA; Pinto, AA;
Publicação
Proc. Appl. Math. Mech. - PAMM
Abstract
2007
Autores
Rodrigues, PP; Gama, J;
Publicação
PROGRESS IN ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, PROCEEDINGS
Abstract
The Online Divisive-Agglomerative Clustering (ODAC) is an incremental approach for clustering streaming time series using a hierarchical procedure over time. It constructs a tree-like hierarchy of clusters of streams, using a top-down strategy based on the correlation between streams. The system also possesses an agglomerative phase to enhance a dynamic behavior capable of structural change detection. However, the split decision used in the algorithm focus on the crisp boundary between two groups, which implies a high risk since it has to decide based on only a small subset of the entire data. In this work we propose a semi-fuzzy approach to the assignment of variables to newly created clusters, for a better trade-off between validity and performance. Experimental work supports the benefits of our approach.
2007
Autores
Pinto, AA; Ferreira, FA; Ferreira, M; Oliveira, BM;
Publicação
Proc. Appl. Math. Mech. - PAMM
Abstract
2007
Autores
Davies, MEP; Plumbley, MD;
Publicação
2007 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech, and Signal Processing, Vol IV, Pts 1-3
Abstract
Despite continued attention toward the problem of automatic beat detection in musical audio, the issue of how to evaluate beat tracking systems remains pertinent and controversial. As yet no consistent evaluation metric has been adopted by the research community. To this aim, we propose a new method for beat tracking evaluation by measuring beat accuracy in terms of the entropy of a beat error histogram. We demonstrate the ability of our approach to address several shortcomings of existing methods.
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