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Publicações

2017

Economic evaluation of predictive dispatch model in MAS-based smart home

Autores
Gazafroudi A.S.; Prieto-Castrillo F.; Pinto T.; Jozi A.; Vale Z.;

Publicação
Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing

Abstract
This paper proposes a Predictive Dispatch System (PDS) as part of a Multi-Agent system that models the Smart Home Electricity System (MASHES). The proposed PDS consists of a Decision-Making System (DMS) and a Prediction Engine (PE). The considered Smart Home Electricity System (SHES) consists of different agents, each with different tasks in the system. A Modified Stochastic Predicted Bands (MSPB) interval optimization method is used to model the uncertainty in the Home Energy Management (HEM) problem. Moreover, the proposed method to solve HEM problem is based on the Moving Window Algorithm (MWA). The performance of the proposed Home Energy Management System (HEMS) is evaluated using a JADE implementation of the MASHES.

2017

Endogenous secondary reserves requirements in long-term electricity generation models

Autores
Campos, FA; Domenech, S; Villar, J;

Publicação
International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM

Abstract
Secondary Reserve Requirements (SRR) are usually estimated based upon unit failure rates, and demand and intermittent productions forecasting errors. These requirements are very often inputs to energy and reserve generation dispatch models. However, for the long term, the fact that renewable generation investments must also be computed, affects these requirements. This paper proposes a new Unit Commitment (UC) to represent the SRR in long-term electricity generation models as a function of the renewable investment decisions. Specifically, SRRs are computed as a function of the forecasting errors of renewable productions, and of the unavailability rates of the generation units, which are also outputs of the UC. The case studies show that, when SRRs are endogenous, investments in renewable generation can be lower than expected due to the additional reserve costs these technologies involve. © 2017 IEEE.

2017

Prediction and Analysis of Hotel Ratings from Crowd-Sourced Data

Autores
Leal, F; Malheiro, B; Burguillo, JC;

Publicação
RECENT ADVANCES IN INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND TECHNOLOGIES, VOL 2

Abstract
Crowdsourcing has become an essential source of information for tourists and the tourism industry. Every day, large volumes of data are exchanged among stakeholders in the form of searches, posts, shares, reviews or ratings. This paper presents a tourist-centred analysis of crowd-sourced hotel information collected from the Expedia platform. The analysis relies on Data Mining methodologies to predict trends and patterns which are relevant to tourists and businesses. First, we propose an approach to reduce the crowd-sourced data dimensionality, using correlation and Multiple Linear Regression to identify the single most representative rating. Finally, we use this rating to model the hotel customers and predict hotel ratings, using the Alternating Least Squares algorithm. In terms of contributions, this work proposes: (i) a new crowd-sourced hotel data set; (ii) a crowd-sourced rating analysis methodology; and (iii) a model for the prediction of personalised hotel ratings.

2017

Smart city: A GECAD-BISITE energy management case study

Autores
Canizes B.; Pinto T.; Soares J.; Vale Z.; Chamoso P.; Santos D.;

Publicação
Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing

Abstract
This paper presents the demonstration of an energy resources management approach using a physical smart city model environment. Several factors from the industry, governments and society are creating the demand for smart cities. In this scope, smart grids focus on the intelligent management of energy resources in a way that the use of energy from renewable sources can be maximized, and that the final consumers can feel the positive effects of less expensive (and pollutant) energy sources, namely in their energy bills. A large amount of work is being developed in the energy resources management domain, but an effective and realistic experimentation are still missing. This work thus presents an innovative means to enable a realistic, physical, experimentation of the impacts of novel energy resource management models, without affecting consumers. This is done by using a physical smart city model, which includes several consumers, generation units, and electric vehicles.

2017

Feature extraction for the author name disambiguation problem in a bibliographic database

Autores
Silva, JMB; Silva, FMA;

Publicação
Proceedings of the Symposium on Applied Computing, SAC 2017, Marrakech, Morocco, April 3-7, 2017

Abstract
Author name disambiguation in bibliographic databases has been, and still is, a challenging research task due to the high uncertainty there is when matching a publication author with a concrete researcher. Common approaches normally either resort to clustering to group author's publications, or use a binary classifier to decide whether a given publication is written by a specific author. Both approaches benefit from authors publishing similar works (e.g. subject areas and venues), from the previous publication history of an author (the higher, the better), and validated publicationauthor associations for model creation. However, whenever such an algorithm is confronted with different works from an author, or an author without publication history, often it makes wrong identifications. In this paper, we describe a feature extraction method that aims to avoid the previous problems. Instead of generally characterizing an author, it selectively uses features that associate the author to a certain publication. We build a Random Forest model to assess the quality of our set of features. Its goal is to predict whether a given author is the true author of a certain publication. We use a bibliographic database named Authenticus with more than 250, 000 validated author-publication associations to test model quality. Our model achieved a top result of 95.37% accuracy in predicting matches and 91.92% in a real test scenario. Furthermore, in the last case the model was able to correctly predict 61.86% of the cases where authors had no previous publication history. Copyright 2017 ACM.

2017

Maize participatory breeding in Portugal: Comparison of farmer's and breeder's on-farm selection

Autores
Mendes Moreira, P; Satovic, Z; Mendes Moreira, J; Santos, JP; Nina Santos, JPN; Pego, S; Vaz Patto, MCV;

Publicação
PLANT BREEDING

Abstract
VASO is a Portuguese participatory maize breeding project (1984), where several maize landraces such as Pigarro have been selected both by a farmer's (phenotypic recurrent selection) and a breeder's approach (S2 lines recurrent selection). The objectives of this study were to determine the phenotypic and genotypic responses to participatory selection using these two different approaches, to clarify to which extent both selection methods preserve genetic diversity, and conclude what is the preferred method to apply in sustainable farming systems. The results, obtained via ANOVA, regression analyses and molecular markers, indicate that for both selection methods, genetic diversity was not significantly reduced, even with the most intensive breeder's selection. Although there were some common outputs, such as the determinated versus indeterminated ears, cob and ear weight ratio per ear and rachis 2, specific phenotypic traits evolved in opposite directions between the two selection approaches. Yield increase was only detected during farmer selection, indicating its interest on PPB. Candidate genes were identified for a few of the traits under selection as potential functional markers in participatory plant breeding.

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