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Publicações

2021

Service operation vessels for offshore wind farm maintenance: Optimal stock levels

Autores
Neves Moreira, F; Veldman, J; Teunter, RH;

Publicação
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

Abstract
Service operation vessels are becoming the dominant mode for the maintenance of most offshore wind farms. To minimize turbine downtime, it is essential to bring the right components to the wind farm, while budget and volume constraints prohibit having excess inventories on board. This setting can be interpreted as a repair kit problem, which seeks to define a set of components that may be necessary for on-site maintenance operations in a given time period during which emergency resupply is costly. Current repair kit problem approaches however, do not cater sufficiently for some of the characteristics of offshore wind farm maintenance, including weather-dependent deterioration and the possibility to perform emergency resupplies. We propose mixed-integer programming models both to determine (tactical model) and validate (operational model) repair kits when maintenance operations are performed under different weather conditions. The models are flexible enough to be used with real world data considering multiple turbines composed of different deteriorating components, service operation vessels characteristics (speed and volumetric capacity), different weather conditions, and emergency resupplies. An important feature of this approach is its ability to consider detailed maintenance and vessel routing operations to test and validate repair kits in realistic wind farm environments. We provide valuable insights on the composition of repair kits and on relevant business indicators for a set of different scenarios. The practical implications are that repair kits should be adapted depending on weather forecasts and that considerable downtime reductions can be achieved by allowing emergency resupplies. © 2021 The Author(s)

2021

Forecast-Based Consensus Control for DC Microgrids Using Distributed Long Short-Term Memory Deep Learning Models

Autores
Alavi, SA; Mehran, K; Vahidinasab, V; Catalao, JPS;

Publicação
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SMART GRID

Abstract
In a microgrid, renewable energy sources (RES) exhibit stochastic behavior, which affects the microgrid continuous operation. Normally, energy storage systems (ESSs) are installed on the main branches of the microgrids to compensate for the load-supply mismatch. However, their state of charge (SoC) level needs to be balanced to guarantee the continuous operation of the microgrid in case of RES unavailability. This paper proposes a distributed forecast-based consensus control strategy for DC microgrids that balances the SoC levels of ESSs. By using the load-supply forecast of each branch, the microgrid operational continuity is increased while the voltage is stabilized. These objectives are achieved by prioritized (dis)charging of ESSs based on the RES availability and load forecast. Each branch controller integrates a load forecasting unit based on long short-term memory (LSTM) deep neural network that adaptively adjusts the (dis)charging rate of the ESSs to increase the microgrid endurability in the event of temporary generation insufficiencies. Furthermore, due to the large training data requirements of the LSTM models, distributed extended Kalman filter algorithm is used to improve the learning convergence time. The performance of the proposed strategy is evaluated on an experimental 380V DC microgrid hardware-in-the-loop test-bench and the results confirm the achievement of the controller objectives.

2021

Novel Hybrid Stochastic-Robust Optimal Trading Strategy for a Demand Response Aggregator in the Wholesale Electricity Market

Autores
Vahid Ghavidel, M; Javadi, MS; Santos, SF; Gough, M; Mohammadi Ivatloo, B; Shafie Khah, M; Catalao, JPS;

Publicação
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INDUSTRY APPLICATIONS

Abstract
The close interaction between the electricity market and the end-users can assist the demand response (DR) aggregator in handling and managing various uncertain parameters simultaneously to reduce their effect on the aggregator's operation. As the DR aggregator's main responsibility is to aggregate the obtained DR from individual consumers and trade it into the wholesale market. Another responsibility of the aggregator is proposing the DR programs (DRPs) to the end-users. This article proposes a model to handle these uncertainties through the development of a novel hybrid stochastic-robust optimization approach that incorporates the uncertainties around wholesale market prices and the participation rate of consumers. The behavior of the consumers engaging in DRPs is addressed through stochastic programming. Additionally, the volatility of the electricity market prices is modeled through a robust optimization method. Two DRPs are considered in this model to include both time-based and incentive-based DRPs, i.e., time-of-use and incentive-based DR program to study three sectors of consumers, namely industrial, commercial, and residential consumers. An energy storage system is also assumed to be operated by the aggregator to maximize its profit. The proposed mixed-integer linear hybrid stochastic-robust model improves the evaluation of DR aggregator's scheduling for the probable worst-case scenario. Finally, to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach, the model is thoroughly simulated in a real case study.

2021

Exploring Dataset Manipulation via Machine Learning for Botnet Traffic

Autores
Abrantes, R; Mestre, P; Cunha, A;

Publicação
Procedia Computer Science

Abstract
Botnets are responsible for some of the major malicious traffic on the Internet: DDoS attacks, Mail SPAM, brute force attacks, portscans, and others. Its dangerousness is due to the coordinated amount of infected hosts focusing on a single target. More contributions are in need, considering that (A) ML has been used for cyberattacks identification with better accuracy than standard NIDS equipments, (B) Botnet attacks are one of the most dangerous threats on the Internet. (C) the difficulties in getting representative datasets on some Botnets, and (D) Botnet traffic can be misunderstood by its infrastructure protocol. In this paper, we focus on the identification of Botnet traffic, preventing the communication from the Botmaster to the infected hosts and consequently the Botnet cyberattacks. CICFlowMeter and Machine Learning algorithms were used to analyse Botnet2014 public dataset on four different scenarios: all Botnet traffic on a single class, each class per Botnet traffic and the influence of the IPs address fields Botnet traffic detection. The results shows that Random Forest (RF) and Decision Tree (CART) archived similar accuracies on Botnet traffic classification. Important to say that CART obtained similar results with 10-20% of machine time. The metrics shown that the analysis per specific Botnet has higher accuracy than Any Botnet Traffic analysis. Also, the analysis with the IP addresses and L4 Ports scenario has higher accuracy but lower F1-Score that the equivalent without IP addresses or L4 Ports. At last, Feature Importance results confirms the literature, that Botnet traffic is not a single uniform protocol, but a collection of very different ways of communications between the botmaster and the infected hosts.

2021

Estimating the COVID-19 Prevalence in Spain With Indirect Reporting via Open Surveys

Autores
Garcia Agundez, A; Ojo, O; Hernandez Roig, HA; Baquero, C; Frey, D; Georgiou, C; Goessens, M; Lillo, RE; Menezes, R; Nicolaou, N; Ortega, A; Stavrakis, E; Anta, AF;

Publicação
FRONTIERS IN PUBLIC HEALTH

Abstract
During the initial phases of the COVID-19 pandemic, accurate tracking has proven unfeasible. Initial estimation methods pointed toward case numbers that were much higher than officially reported. In the CoronaSurveys project, we have been addressing this issue using open online surveys with indirect reporting. We compare our estimates with the results of a serology study for Spain, obtaining high correlations (R squared 0.89). In our view, these results strongly support the idea of using open surveys with indirect reporting as a method to broadly sense the progress of a pandemic.

2021

A cost-effective oxygen probe manufactured by simple fabrication processes

Autores
Penso, C; Rocha, J; Martins, M; Sousa, P; Pinto, V; Minas, G; Silva, MM; Goncalves, L;

Publicação
OCEANS 2021: San Diego – Porto

Abstract

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