2012
Autores
Ferreira, CA; Gama, J; Costa, VS; Miranda, V; Botterud, A;
Publicação
Discovery Science - 15th International Conference, DS 2012, Lyon, France, October 29-31, 2012. Proceedings
Abstract
The motivation for this work is the study and prediction of wind ramp events occurring in a large-scale wind farm located in the US Midwest. In this paper we introduce the SHRED framework, a stream-based model that continuously learns a discrete HMM model from wind power and wind speed measurements. We use a supervised learning algorithm to learn HMM parameters from discretized data, where ramp events are HMM states and discretized wind speed data are HMM observations. The discretization of the historical data is obtained by running the SAX algorithm over the first order variations in the original signal. SHRED updates the HMM using the most recent historical data and includes a forgetting mechanism to model natural time dependence in wind patterns. To forecast ramp events we use recent wind speed forecasts and the Viterbi algorithm, that incrementally finds the most probable ramp event to occur. We compare SHRED framework against Persistence baseline in predicting ramp events occurring in short-time horizons, ranging from 30 minutes to 90 minutes. SHRED consistently exhibits more accurate and cost-effective results than the baseline. © 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.
2012
Autores
Horta, IM; Camanho, AS; Moreira da Costa, JM;
Publicação
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTION ECONOMICS
Abstract
The purpose of the paper is to examine trends in the performance of the Portuguese construction industry, and identify the factors that promote excellence and innovation in the sector. From a methodological perspective, this study enhances the construction of composite indicators using the principles of the "benefit of the doubt" weighting. This involves the use of Data Envelopment Analysis to estimate weights for aggregating the key performance indicators of the construction companies. The paper also proposes a new DEA-based method to assess innovation within an industry, identifying the innovative companies and the extent of innovation. The determinants of good performance and innovation are examined using regression techniques and the statistical significance of the results is ensured by the use of bootstrapping. The study reveals that the Portuguese construction industry experienced a remarkable performance improvement during the 1990s, but this growth trend in performance slowed down in recent years. It is concluded that company performance is strongly affected by the national economic context, and that small specialized companies and large contractors tend to achieve the best performance levels.
2012
Autores
Martins, H; Marques, MB; Jorge, P; Cordeiro, CMB; Frazao, O;
Publicação
MICRO-STRUCTURED AND SPECIALTY OPTICAL FIBRES
Abstract
An intensity curvature sensor using a Photonic Crystal Fiber (PCF) with three coupled cores is proposed. The three cores were aligned and there was an air hole between each two consecutive cores. The fiber had a low air filling fraction, which means that the cores remain coupled in the wavelength region studied. Due to this coupling interference is obtained in the fiber output even if just a single core is illuminated. A configuration using transmission interrogation, which used a section fiber with 0.08 m of PCF as the sensing head, and a configuration using reflection interrogation, which used a section fiber with 0.13 m of PCF as the sensing head, were characterized and compared for curvature sensing. When the fiber is bended along the plane of the cores, one of the lateral cores will be stretched and the other compressed. This changes the coupling between the three cores, changing the optical power intensity. The sensibility of the sensing head was strongly dependent on the direction of bending, having its maximum when the bending direction was along the plane of the cores. A maximum curvature sensitivity of 1.8 dB. m was demonstrated between 0 m and 2.8 m.
2012
Autores
Tork, HF;
Publicação
CEUR Workshop Proceedings
Abstract
Top-k spatial preference queries has a wide range of applications in service recommendation and decision support systems. In this work we first introduce three state of the art algorithms and apply them on a real data set which includes geographic coordinates and quality data of over 355 hotels, 276 point of interests and 563 restaurants in Lisbon, Portugal extracted from well-known TripAdvisor2. This is the first time that mentioned algorithms are evaluated on a real data set. We also use some optimization tasks for the estimation of algorithms parameters. Finally we rank the hotels using the best obtained ranking model. Result reveals that influence score with a particular radius is able to rank spatial objects very near to the real rankings.
2012
Autores
Fernandes, JM; van Hattum Janssen, N; Ribeiro, AN; Fonte, V; Santos, LP; Sousa, P;
Publicação
European Journal of Engineering Education
Abstract
Many of the current approaches used in teaching and learning in engineering education are not the most appropriate to prepare students for the challenges they will face in their professional careers. The active involvement of students in their learning process facilitates the development of the technical and professional competencies they need as professionals. This article describes the organisation and impact of a mini-conference and project work - the creation of a software product and its introduction in the market - aimed at the development of professional competencies in general and writing skills in particular. The course was evaluated by assessing the students' perception of the development of a number of professional competencies through a questionnaire completed by 125 students from two consecutive year groups. The results indicate that the project work and the mini-conference had a positive impact on students' perceptions of the development of professional competencies. © 2012 Copyright SEFI.
2012
Autores
Castro, L; Aguiar, P;
Publicação
JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL NEUROSCIENCE
Abstract
Phase precession is one of the most well known examples within the temporal coding hypothesis. Here we present a biophysical spiking model for phase precession in hippocampal CA1 which focuses on the interaction between place cells and local inhibitory interneurons. The model's functional block is composed of a place cell (PC) connected with a local inhibitory cell (IC) which is modulated by the population theta rhythm. Both cells receive excitatory inputs from the entorhinal cortex (EC). These inputs are both theta modulated and space modulated. The dynamics of the two neuron types are described by integrate-and-fire models with conductance synapses, and the EC inputs are described using non-homogeneous Poisson processes. Phase precession in our model is caused by increased drive to specific PC/IC pairs when the animal is in their place field. The excitation increases the IC's firing rate, and this modulates the PC's firing rate such that both cells precess relative to theta. Our model implies that phase coding in place cells may not be independent from rate coding. The absence of restrictive connectivity constraints in this model predicts the generation of phase precession in any network with similar architecture and subject to a clocking rhythm, independently of the involvement in spatial tasks.
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