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Publicações

2019

Urban Mobility Digitalization: Towards Mobility as a Service (MaaS)

Autores
Barreto, L; Amaral, A; Baltazar, S;

Publicação
9th International Conference on Intelligent Systems 2018: Theory, Research and Innovation in Applications, IS 2018 - Proceedings

Abstract
Population in the cities grows every day posing new challenges that need to be properly addressed throughout the planning and design of sustainable and smart cities - cities of the future. Mobility is an important issue considering social inclusion and the sustainable development of such cities. Thus, future mobility will have an increased importance when having to plan and design the cities of tomorrow. A key component of any future mobility and its metabolism is what is known as Mobility as a Service (MaaS), representing emerging opportunities from any type or mode of transportation in future cities. Through an empirical and explorative research methodology, this paper presents the main APP's/platforms characteristics, regarding the European territory, towards an integrated and sustainable mobility. Concluding, we present some features and trends that should be considered in the development of future MaaS systems, allowing a more convenient provision of versatile and attractive mobility services. © 2018 IEEE.

2019

Modeling a Large-Scale Battery Energy Storage System for Power Grid Application Analysis

Autores
Rancilio, G; Lucas, A; Kotsakis, E; Fulli, G; Merlo, M; Delfanti, M; Masera, M;

Publicação
Energies

Abstract
The interest in modeling the operation of large-scale battery energy storage systems (BESS) for analyzing power grid applications is rising. This is due to the increasing storage capacity installed in power systems for providing ancillary services and supporting nonprogrammable renewable energy sources (RES). BESS numerical models suitable for grid-connected applications must offer a trade-off, keeping a high accuracy even with limited computational effort. Moreover, they are asked to be viable in modeling for real-life equipment, and not just accurate in the simulation of the electrochemical section. The aim of this study is to develop a numerical model for the analysis of the grid-connected BESS operation; the main goal of the proposal is to have a test protocol based on standard equipment and just based on charge/discharge tests, i.e., a procedure viable for a BESS owner without theoretical skills in electrochemistry or lab procedures, and not requiring the ability to disassemble the BESS in order to test each individual component. The BESS model developed is characterized by an experimental campaign. The test procedure itself is framed in the context of this study and adopted for the experimental campaign on a commercial large-scale BESS. Once the model is characterized by the experimental parameters, it undergoes the verification and validation process by testing its accuracy in simulating the provision of frequency regulation. A case study is presented for the sake of presenting a potential application of the model. The procedure developed and validated is replicable in any other facility, due to the low complexity of the proposed experimental set. This could help stakeholders to accurately simulate several layouts of network services.

2019

Scalar field effects on the orbit of S2 star

Autores
Amorim, A; Bauboeck, M; Benisty, M; Berger, JP; Clenet, Y; du Forest, VC; de Zeeuw, T; Dexter, J; Duvert, G; Eckart, A; Eisenhauer, F; Ferreira, MC; Gao, F; Garcia, PJV; Gendron, E; Genzel, R; Gillessen, S; Gordo, P; Habibi, M; Horrobin, M; Jimenez Rosales, A; Jocou, L; Kervella, P; Lacour, S; Le Bouquin, JB; Lena, P; Ott, T; Poessel, M; Paumard, T; Perraut, K; Perrin, G; Pfuhl, O; Coira, GR; Rousset, G; Straub, O; Straubmeier, C; Sturm, E; Vincent, F; von Fellenberg, S; Waisberg, I; Widmann, F;

Publicação
MONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY

Abstract
Precise measurements of the S-stars orbiting SgrA* have set strong constraints on the nature of the compact object at the centre of the Milky Way. The presence of a black hole in that region is well established, but its neighbouring environment is still an open debate. In that respect, the existence of dark matter in that central region may be detectable due to its strong signatures on the orbits of stars: the main effect is a Newtonian precession which will affect the overall pericentre shift of S2, the latter being a target measurement of the GRAVITY instrument. The exact nature of this dark matter (e.g. stellar dark remnants or diffuse dark matter) is unknown. This article assumes it to be a scalar field of toroidal distribution, associated with ultralight dark matter particles, surrounding the Kerr black hole. Such a field is a form of 'hair' expected in the context of superradiance, a mechanism that extracts rotational energy from the black hole. Orbital signatures for the S2 star are computed and shown to be detectable by GRAVITY. The scalar field can be constrained because the variation of orbital elements depends both on the relative mass of the scalar field to the black hole and on the field mass coupling parameter.

2019

Trading Small Prosumers Flexibility in the Energy and Tertiary Reserve Markets

Autores
Iria, JP; Soares, FJ; Matos, MA;

Publicação
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SMART GRID

Abstract
This paper addresses the participation of an aggregator of small prosumersin the energy and tertiary reserve markets. A two-stage stochastic optimization model is proposed to exploit the load and generation flexibility of the prosumers. The aim is to define energy and tertiary reserve bids to minimize the net cost of the aggregator buying and selling energy in the day-ahead and real-time markets, as well as to maximize the revenue of selling tertiary reserve during the real-time stage. Scenario-based stochastic programming is used to deal with the uncertainties of photovoltaic power generation, electricity demand, outdoor temperature, end-users' behavior, and preferences. A case study of 1000 small prosumers from MIBEL is used to compare the proposed strategy to two other strategies. The numerical results show that the proposed strategy reduces the bidding net cost of the aggregator by 48% when compared to an inflexible strategy typically used by retailers.

2019

Assessing the Performance of Hierarchical Forecasting Methods on the Retail Sector

Autores
Oliveira, JM; Ramos, P;

Publicação
ENTROPY

Abstract
Retailers need demand forecasts at different levels of aggregation in order to support a variety of decisions along the supply chain. To ensure aligned decision-making across the hierarchy, it is essential that forecasts at the most disaggregated level add up to forecasts at the aggregate levels above. It is not clear if these aggregate forecasts should be generated independently or by using an hierarchical forecasting method that ensures coherent decision-making at the different levels but does not guarantee, at least, the same accuracy. To give guidelines on this issue, our empirical study investigates the relative performance of independent and reconciled forecasting approaches, using real data from a Portuguese retailer. We consider two alternative forecasting model families for generating the base forecasts; namely, state space models and ARIMA. Appropriate models from both families are chosen for each time-series by minimising the bias-corrected Akaike information criteria. The results show significant improvements in forecast accuracy, providing valuable information to support management decisions. It is clear that reconciled forecasts using the Minimum Trace Shrinkage estimator (MinT-Shrink) generally improve on the accuracy of the ARIMA base forecasts for all levels and for the complete hierarchy, across all forecast horizons. The accuracy gains generally increase with the horizon, varying between 1.7% and 3.7% for the complete hierarchy. It is also evident that the gains in forecast accuracy are more substantial at the higher levels of aggregation, which means that the information about the individual dynamics of the series, which was lost due to aggregation, is brought back again from the lower levels of aggregation to the higher levels by the reconciliation process, substantially improving the forecast accuracy over the base forecasts.

2019

Preface

Autores
Jorge, AM; Campos, R; Jatowt, A; Bhatia, S;

Publicação
CEUR Workshop Proceedings

Abstract

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