Abstract
We compute the analytic expression of the probability distributions F(AEX,+) and F(AEX,-) of the normalized positive and negative AEX (Netherlands) index daily returns r(t). Furthermore, we define the alpha re-scaled AEX daily index positive returns r(t)(alpha) and negative returns (-r(t))(alpha), which we call, after normalization, the alpha positive fluctuations and alpha negative fluctuations. We use the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistical test as a method to find the values of alpha that optimize the data collapse of the histogram of the alpha fluctuations with the Bramwell-Holdsworth-Pinton (BHP) probability density function. The optimal parameters that we found are alpha(+) = 0.46 and alpha(-) = 0.43. Since the BHP probability density function appears in several other dissimilar phenomena, our result reveals a universal feature of stock exchange markets.

Abstract
We give an elementary proof of existence and uniqueness of Gibbs states for Holder weight systems on subshifts of finite type. This uses a notion of duality for such subshifts. The approach of Paterson [2] is used to construct a measure with a prescribed Jacobian and the duality is used to produce an invariant measure from this.

Abstract

Abstract

Abstract
We exploit ideas of nonlinear dynamics and statistical physics in a complex nondeterministic dynamical setting using the Ruelle-Takens embedding. We present some new insights on the quality of the prediction in the laminar regime and we exhibit the data collapse of the predicted relative first difference fluctuations to the universal Bramwell-Hodsworth-Pinton distribution. Hence, the nearest neighbour method of prediction acts as a filter that does not eliminate the randomness, but exhibits its universal character.

Abstract
We study the European river Danube and the South American river Negro daily water levels. We present a fit for the Negro daily water level period and standard deviation. Unexpectedly, we discover that the river Negro and Danube are mirror rivers in the sense that the daily water levels fluctuations histograms are close to the universal non-parametric BHP and reversed BHP, respectively. Hence, the probability of a certain positive fluctuation range in the river Negro is, approximately, equal to the probability of the corresponding symmetric negative fluctuation range in the river Danube.