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Publicações

Publicações por HumanISE

2019

Electricity consumption forecasting in office buildings: An artificial intelligence approach

Autores
Jozi, A; Pinto, T; Marreiros, G; Vale, Z;

Publicação
2019 IEEE Milan PowerTech, PowerTech 2019

Abstract
The rising needs for increased energy efficiency and better use of renewable energy sources bring out the necessity for improved energy management and forecasting models. Electricity consumption, in particular, is subject to large variations due to the effect of multiple variables, such as the temperature, luminosity or humidity, and of course, consumers' habits. Current forecasting models are not able to deal adequately with the influence and correlation between the multiple involved variables. Hence, novel, adaptive forecasting models are needed. This paper presents a novel approach based on multiple artificial intelligence-based forecasting algorithms. The considered algorithms are artificial neural networks, support vector machines hybrid fuzzy inference systems, Wang and Mendel's fuzzy rule learning method and a genetic fuzzy system for fuzzy rule learning based on the MOGUL methodology. These algorithms are used to forecast the electricity consumption of a real office building, using multiple input variables and consumption disaggregation. © 2019 IEEE.

2019

Day-ahead electricity market price forecasting using artificial neural network with spearman data correlation

Autores
Nascimento, J; Pinto, T; Vale, Z;

Publicação
2019 IEEE Milan PowerTech, PowerTech 2019

Abstract
Electricity markets are complex environments with very dynamic characteristics. The large-scale penetration of renewable energy sources has brought an increased uncertainty to generation, which is consequently, reflected in electricity market prices. In this way, novel advanced forecasting methods that are able to predict electricity market prices taking into account the new variables that influence prices variation are required. This paper proposes a new model for day-ahead electricity market prices forecasting based on the application of an artificial neural network. The main novelty of this paper relates to the pre-processing phase, in which the relevant data referring to the different variables that have a direct influence on market prices such as generation, temperature, consumption, among others, is analysed. The association between these variables is performed using spearman correlation, from which results the identification of which data has a larger influence on the market prices variation. This pre-analysis is then used to adapt the training process of the artificial neural network, leading to improved forecasting results, by using the most relevant data in an appropriate way. © 2019 IEEE.

2019

A Residential House Comparative Case Study Using Market Available Smart Plugs and EnAPlugs with Shared Knowledge

Autores
Gomes, L; Sousa, F; Pinto, T; Vale, Z;

Publicação
ENERGIES

Abstract
Smart home devices currently available on the market can be used for remote monitoring and control. Energy management systems can take advantage of this and deploy solutions that can be implemented in our homes. One of the big enablers is smart plugs that allow the control of electrical resources while providing a retrofitting solution, hence avoiding the need for replacing the electrical devices. However, current so-called smart plugs lack the ability to understand the environment they are in, or the electrical appliance/resource they are controlling. This paper applies environment awareness smart plugs (EnAPlugs) able to provide enough data for energy management systems or act on its own, via a multi-agent approach. A case study is presented, which shows the application of the proposed approach in a house where 17 EnAPlugs are deployed. Results show the ability to shared knowledge and perform individual resource optimizations. This paper evidences that by integrating artificial intelligence on devices, energy advantages can be observed and used in favor of users, providing comfort and savings.

2019

Context aware Q-Learning-based model for decision support in the negotiation of energy contracts

Autores
Rodriguez Fernandez, J; Pinto, T; Silva, F; Praca, I; Vale, Z; Corchado, JM;

Publicação
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL POWER & ENERGY SYSTEMS

Abstract
Automated negotiation plays a crucial role in the decision support for bilateral energy transactions. In fact, an adequate analysis of past actions of opposing negotiators can improve the decision-making process of market players, allowing them to choose the most appropriate parties to negotiate with in order to increase their outcomes. This paper proposes a new model to estimate the expected prices that can be achieved in bilateral contracts under a specific context, enabling adequate risk management in the negotiation process. The proposed approach is based on an adaptation of the Q-Learning reinforcement learning algorithm to choose the best scenario (set of forecast contract prices) from a set of possible scenarios that are determined using several forecasting and estimation methods. The learning process assesses the probability of occurrence of each scenario, by comparing each expected scenario with the real scenario. The final chosen scenario is the one that presents the higher expected utility value. Besides, the learning method can determine which is the best scenario for each context, since the behaviour of players can change according to the negotiation environment. Consequently, these conditions influence the final contract price of negotiations. This approach allows the supported player to be prepared for the negotiation scenario that is the most probable to represent a reliable approximation of the actual negotiation environment.

2019

Arrowhead Framework services for condition monitoring and maintenance based on the open source approach

Autores
Campos, J; Sharma, P; Albano, M; Jantunen, E; Baglee, D; Ferreira, LL;

Publicação
2019 6TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON CONTROL, DECISION AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES (CODIT 2019)

Abstract
The emergence of new Information and Communication Technologies, such as the Internet of Things and big data and data analytics provides opportunities as well as challenges for the domain of interest, and this paper discusses their importance in condition monitoring and maintenance. In addition, the Open system architecture for condition-based maintenance (OSA-CBM), and the Predictive Health Monitoring methods are gone through. Thereafter, the paper uses bearing fault data from a simulation model with the aim to produce vibration signals where different parameters of the model can be controlled. In connection to the former mentioned a prototype was developed and tested for purposes of simulated rolling element bearing fault systems signals with appropriate fault diagnostic and analytics. The prototype was developed taking into consideration recommended standards (e.g., the OSA-CBM). In addition, the authors discuss the possibilities to incorporate the developed prototype into the Arrowhead framework, which would bring possibilities to: analyze various equipment geographically dispersed, especially in this case its rolling element bearing; support servitization of Predictive Health Monitoring methods and large-scale interoperability; and, to facilitate the appearance of novel actors in the area and thus competition.

2019

Improving and modeling the performance of a Publish-Subscribe message broker

Autores
Rocha, R; Maia, C; Ferreira, LL; Varga, P;

Publicação
45TH ANNUAL CONFERENCE OF THE IEEE INDUSTRIAL ELECTRONICS SOCIETY (IECON 2019)

Abstract
The Event Handler - a publish-subscribe broker implemented over REST/HTTP(S) - is an auxiliary system of the Arrowhead framework for IoT applications. During this work we found that the existing implementation of the Event Handler suffers from serious performance issues. This paper describes the reengineering effort that ultimately enabled it to reach much more acceptable levels of performance, by using appropriate software configurations and design patterns. Additionally, we also illustrate how this enhanced version of the Event Handler can be modeled using Petri nets, to depict the performance impact of different thread pool configurations and CPU core availability. The main objective of this modeling process is to enable the estimation of the system's performance to guarantee the required quality of service.

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