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Publicações

Publicações por HumanISE

2020

Trust Model for a Multi-agent Based Simulation of Local Energy Markets

Autores
Andrade, R; Pinto, T; Praça, I;

Publicação
PAAMS (Workshops)

Abstract
This paper explores the concept of the Local Energy Market and, in particular, the need for Trust in the negotiations necessary for this type of market. A multi-agent system is implemented to simulate the Local Energy Market, and a Trust model is proposed to evaluate the proposals sent by the participants, based on forecasting mechanisms that try to predict the expected behavior of the participant. A case study is carried out with several participants who submit false negotiation proposals to assess the ability of the proposed Trust model to correctly evaluate these participants. The results obtained demonstrate that such an approach has the potential to meet the needs of the local market.

2020

Energy Consumption Forecasting Using Ensemble Learning Algorithms

Autores
Silva, J; Praça, I; Pinto, T; Vale, Z;

Publicação
DISTRIBUTED COMPUTING AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, 16TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE, SPECIAL SESSIONS

Abstract
The increase of renewable energy sources of intermittent nature has brought several new challenges for power and energy systems. In order to deal with the variability from the generation side, there is the need to balance it by managing consumption appropriately. Forecasting energy consumption becomes, therefore, more relevant than ever. This paper presents and compares three different ensemble learning methods, namely random forests, gradient boosted regression trees and Adaboost. Hour-ahead electricity load forecasts are presented for the building N of GECAD at ISEP campus. The performance of the forecasting models is assessed, and results show that the Adaboost model is superior to the other considered models for the one-hour ahead forecasts. The results of this study compared to previous works indicates that ensemble learning methods are a viable choice for short-term load forecast.

2020

Adaptive Learning in Electricity Market Negotiations Based on Determinism Theory

Autores
Pinto, T;

Publicação
IEEE INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS

Abstract
This research proposes a novel methodology for adaptive learning in electricity markets negotiations, based on the principles of the determinism theory. The determinism theory states that all events are predetermined due to the cause-effect rule. At the same time, it is unmanageable to consider all causes to a certain effect, making it impossible to predict future events. However, in a controlled simulation environment, it is possible to access and analyze all involved variables; thus, making the application of this theory promising in such environments. This research applies the principles of the determinism theory to a new learning methodology, which optimizes players' actions, considering the predicted behavior of all involved players, with the objective of maximizing market gains. A case-based reasoning approach is used, providing adaptive context-aware decision support. Results show that the proposed approach is able to achieve better market results than all reference market strategies.

2020

Adaptive Learning in Multiagent Systems for Automated Energy Contacts Negotiation

Autores
Pinto, T; Vale, Z;

Publicação
ECAI 2020: 24TH EUROPEAN CONFERENCE ON ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

Abstract
This paper presents the Adaptive Decision Support for Electricity Markets Negotiations (AiD-EM) system. AiD-EM is a multi-agent system that provides decision support to market players by incorporating multiple sub-(agent-based) systems, directed to the decision support of specific problems. These subsystems make use of different artificial intelligence methodologies, such as machine learning and evolutionary computation, to enable players adaptation in the planning phase and in actual negotiations in auction-based markets and bilateral negotiations.

2020

MARTINE: Multi-Agent based Real-Time INfrastructure for Energy

Autores
Pinto, T; Gomes, L; Faria, P; Sousa, F; Vale, ZA;

Publicação
AAMAS

Abstract
This paper presents the Multi-Agent based Real-Time INfrastructure for Energy (MARTINE). MARTINE is a simulation and emulation infrastructure for the study of power and energy systems using a combination of artificial intelligence approaches. MARTINE combines real buildings with sensoring and actuation capabilities with real-time simulation, emulation of physical resources and the intelligent decision support to players actions. The infrastructure is managed and operated by means of several multi-agent systems, which connect to physical resources but also represent additional simulated players that are not present physically in the simulation and emulation environment.

2020

Contextual Q-Learning

Autores
Pinto, T; Vale, ZA;

Publicação
ECAI

Abstract
This paper highlights a new learning model that introduces a contextual dimension to the well-known Q-Learning algorithm. Through the identification of different contexts, the learning process is adapted accordingly, thus converging to enhanced results. The proposed learning model includes a simulated annealing (SA) process that accelerates the convergence process. The model is integrated in a multi-agent decision support system for electricity market players negotiations, enabling the experimentation of results using real electricity market data. © 2020 The authors and IOS Press.

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