Abstract
Portugal's electricity generation relies heavily on renewable sources, which accounted for over half of the country's production in recent years. The Portuguese government has set ambitious renewable energy targets for 2030. The R3EA project (https://r3ea.web.ua.pt/pt/projeto) evaluates the impact of new investments in solar and wind energy capacity in the Centro Region of Portugal, focusing on the costs and benefits of externalities. This study examines Portugal's electricity market outcomes in terms of prices, generation mix, and emissions for different wind and solar capacities, using the National Energy and Climate Plans (NECP) of Portugal and Spain as the reference scenario. The electricity markets of both countries are modelled together, reflecting the integrated Iberian market with significant interconnections. The NECP scenario results in lower market prices and emissions, but less significantly than scenarios with lower demand and higher renewable energy share. In all scenarios, increasing renewable energy sources drives market prices down from over 200/MWh in 2022 to under 100/MWh during peak hours in 2030. Demand is the main driver of emissions, as higher demand leads to more reliance on fossil fuel plants. Lower demand scenarios in 2030 show 20 % fewer CO2 emissions per TWh than higher demand ones.

Abstract
The recent updates of the National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) for Portugal and Spain have some significant changes compared to the previous 2019 versions, especially for the Portuguese side where a greater demand and renewable generation capacity are foreseen. This work assesses the impact of these new plans on the Iberian electricity market (MIBEL) main outcomes using CEVESA market model. Simulation results allow the analysis of the expected generation mix and prices, CO2 emissions, system cost, system adequacy, interconnections capacity usage, H2 demand impact and its contribution to provide balancing flexibility, under different simulation scenarios.

Abstract
The mobility sector is expected to significantly impact the power system by deploying battery electric vehicles (BEV) and fuel cell vehicles (FCEV). This work improves CEVESA, a market model for the long-term planning and operation of the Iberian Electricity Market, by modelling FCEV as an alternative to BEV and internal combustion vehicles (ICEV), and its impact on the H-2 demand and storage. The mobility and H-2 economy models interact with the power system through the electricity needs and price. CEVESA is then applied to estimate potential expansion paths of ICEV, BEV and FCEV mobility alternatives considering the total system costs and the EU decarbonization strategy. The findings suggest that if FCEVs technology matures, it could rival BEVs, offering greater system flexibility via electrolyzers and extended driving ranges for users.

Abstract
This research examines the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukraine-Russia conflict on Portugal and Spain's national energy and climate plans. Both countries have updated their plans in response to these events, emphasizing energy efficiency, renewable energy investment, and circular economy principles. Portugal focused on addressing energy poverty and digitalization, while Spain accelerated its energy transition to align with the European Green Deal. Additionally, the Ukraine-Russia conflict prompted measures to enhance energy security and NECPs in both countries. Through a semi-systematic literature review spanning 2020-2023, our study analyzes how these global events shaped national energy and climate plans. The case studies of Portugal and Spain highlight the importance of flexibility and resilience in crafting sustainable energy strategies during such a complex crisis.

Abstract
In the context of the R3EA project, funded by the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT), we analyse a set of selected future power system scenarios to assess the impact, on the Iberian electricity market (MIBEL), of installing wind and solar generation capacity in Portugal's Centro Region. We use the long-term MIBEL operation and planning model CEVESA. The scenarios are designed based on the current economic situation and the last National Energy and Climate Plan drafts for Portugal and Spain, by distributing the expected new wind and solar generation capacity differently among Portugal regions, also considering the flexible demand for producing electrolytic hydrogen. Market prices, capture prices and production per technology are analysed to assess this impact. Results show that regional investments have no significant impact on the MIBEL variables analysed.