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Publicações

Publicações por Tiago André Soares

2025

Sizing Distributed Energy Resources for Energy Communities

Autores
Moran, JP; Faria, AS; Soares, T; Villar, J; Pinto, T; Petruzzi, GE; Bovera, F; Macedo, LH;

Publicação
2025 21ST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM

Abstract
Renewable energy resources are crucial for addressing global economic and environmental challenges. Energy communities, which unite consumers to pursue shared energy goals, present a promising solution for reducing energy costs and enhancing sustainability. This study analyzes the optimal sizing and operation of energy community resources, formulating the problem as mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) models. Two tools are employed: one for daily operation, calculating energy setpoints for community assets such as battery energy storage systems (BESS) and electric vehicles (EVs), and another for sizing photovoltaic (PV) panels and BESS capacities to minimize costs while optimizing local energy trades. Due to the high computational demands of MILP, three optimization methods are compared: deterministic, hybrid particle swarm optimization (PSO), and evolutionary PSO (EPSO). The hybrid PSO method handles binary and continuous variables efficiently, while EPSO introduces diversity to improve solution quality in complex scenarios. These metaheuristic approaches address the trade-off between solution accuracy and computational effort, providing reliable tools for decision-makers in energy communities.

2025

Electricity demand forecasting in green ports: Modelling and future research directions

Autores
Carrillo Galvez, A; do Carmo, F; Soares, T; Mourao, Z; Ponomarev, I; Araújo, J; Bandeira, E;

Publicação
TRANSPORT POLICY

Abstract
Recently, there has been growing attention on the decarbonisation of maritime transport, particularly regarding the landside operations at ports. This has spurred the development and implementation of strategies and policies aimed at enhancing the environmental performance of port activities. Among these strategies, the electrification of port infrastructure is emerging as a potential industry standard for the future. However, there remains a significant gap in understanding the patterns of electricity consumption in ports and how to forecast them accurately. To address this gap, this paper provides a review of the current literature on electricity demand in ports, examining practical applications, methodologies employed, and their key limitations. The findings indicate that, despite its importance in supporting the electrification process, electricity demand forecasting in ports has not received substantial attention in either industry or academic research, and there are no clearly established policies to support port authorities in obtaining the necessary data. Finally, the paper outlines potential directions for future research and how port authorities or local government agencies can contribute to these efforts.

2025

Integrating Cross-Sector Flexible Assets in Flexibility Bidding Curves for Energy Communities

Autores
Rodrigues, L; Mello, J; Silva, R; Faria, S; Cruz, F; Paulos, J; Soares, T; Villar, J;

Publicação
2025 21ST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM

Abstract
Distributed energy resources (DERs) offer untapped potential to meet the flexibility needs of power systems with a high share of non-dispatchable renewable generation, and local flexibility markets (LFMs) can be effective mechanisms for procuring it. In LFMs, energy communities (ECs) can aggregate and offer flexibility from their members' DERs to other parties. However, since flexibility prices are only known after markets clear, flexibility bidding curves can be used to deal with this price uncertainty. Building on previous work by the authors, this paper employs a two-stage methodology to calculate flexibility bids for an EC participating in an LFM, including not only batteries and photovoltaic panels, but also cross-sector (CS) flexible assets like thermal loads and electric vehicles (EVs) to assess their impact. In Stage 1, the EC manager minimizes the energy bill without flexibility to define its baseline. In Stage 2, it computes the optimal flexibility to be offered for each flexibility price to build the flexibility bidding curve. Case examples allow to assess the impact of CS flexible assets on the final flexibility offered.

2025

Planning Energy Communities with Flexibility Provision and Energy and Cross-Sector Flexible Assets

Autores
Rodrigues, L; Silva, R; Macedo, P; Faria, S; Cruz, F; Paulos, J; Mello, J; Soares, T; Villar, J;

Publicação
2025 21ST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM

Abstract
Planning Energy communities (ECs) requires engaging members, designing business models and governance rules, and sizing distributed energy resources (DERs) for a cost-effective investment. Meanwhile, the growing share of non-dispatchable renewable generation demands more flexible energy systems. Local flexibility markets (LFMs) are emerging as effective mechanisms to procure this flexibility, granting ECs a new revenue stream. Since sizing with flexibility becomes a highly complex problem, we propose a 2-stage methodology for estimating DERs size in an EC with collective self-consumption, flexibility provision and cross-sector (CS) assets such as thermal loads and electric vehicles (EVs). The first stage computes the optimal DER capacities to be installed for each member without flexibility provision. The second stage departs from the first stage capacities to assess how to modify the initial capacities to profit from providing flexibility. The impact of data clustering and flexibility provision are assessed through a case study.

2025

Improving community-based electricity markets regulation: A holistic multi-objective optimization framework

Autores
Costa, VBF; Soares, T; Bitencourt, L; Dias, BH; Deccache, E; Silva, BMA; Bonatto, B; , WF; Faria, AS;

Publicação
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

Abstract
Community-based electricity markets, which are defined as groups of members that share common interests in renewable distributed generation, allow prosumers to embrace more active roles by opening up several opportunities for trading electricity. At the same time, such markets may favor conventional consumers by allowing them to choose cheaper electricity providers. Due to trends in power sector modernization, community-based electricity markets are of great research interest, and there are already some associated models. However, there is a research gap in searching for integrated and holistic approaches that go beyond economic aspects, consider social and environmental aspects, and assume the balanced co-existence of community-based and conventional markets. This work fills this critical research gap by adapting/applying the optimized tariff model, Bass diffusion model, life cycle assessment, and multi-objective optimization to the context of community-based markets. Results indicate that favoring conventional markets in the short term and community-based markets in the medium term is beneficial. Moreover, regulated tariffs should increase slightly in the short/medium-term to accommodate DG growth. Additionally, community-based markets can decrease electricity expenses by around 13.6 % considering the market participants. Thus, such markets can be significantly beneficial in mitigating energy poverty.

2024

Socioeconomic impact of Brazilian electricity market liberalization: Forecasting and optimized tariff analysis

Autores
Silva, PF; da Costa, VBF; Dias, BH; Soares, TA; Bonatto, BD; Balestrassi, PP;

Publicação
ENERGY

Abstract
-This article integrates forecasting methods with an optimized tariff model to assess the effectiveness of the schedule proposed by the Brazilian Association of Energy Traders, as outlined in the technical note NT n degrees 10/ 2022-SRM/ANEEL. This note discusses the regulatory measures to fully open the free energy market to all captive consumers by 2026. Several models, including Winters, SARIMA, ARIMA, and trend analysis were compared to determine the most suitable method for each input variable in the TAROT model, aiming to enhance forecasting accuracy. The results show that the new schedule proposed in the technical note successfully maintains the balance between the economic surplus of concessionaires and the socioeconomic welfare. Despite both approaches declining during the migration period of low-voltage consumers, their surpluses remain positive. However, there are negative effects on tariffs, impacting all consumer groups remaining in the regulated market, both high-voltage and low-voltage consumers. A key conclusion is that further regulatory changes are essential to mitigate additional increases in energy tariffs, aligning the proposed schedule with the reduction of legacy contracts.

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