2015
Autores
Monteiro, C; Fernandez Jimenez, LA; Ramirez Rosado, IJ;
Publicação
ENERGIES
Abstract
This paper presents the analysis of the importance of a set of explanatory (input) variables for the day-ahead price forecast in the Iberian Electricity Market (MIBEL). The available input variables include extensive hourly time series records of weather forecasts, previous prices, and regional aggregation of power generations and power demands. The paper presents the comparisons of the forecasting results achieved with a model which includes all these available input variables (EMPF model) with respect to those obtained by other forecasting models containing a reduced set of input variables. These comparisons identify the most important variables for forecasting purposes. In addition, a novel Reference Explanatory Model for Price Estimations (REMPE) that achieves hourly price estimations by using actual power generations and power demands of such day is described in the paper, which offers the lowest limit for the forecasting error of the EMPF model. All the models have been implemented using the same technique (artificial neural networks) and have been satisfactorily applied to the real-world case study of the Iberian Electricity Market (MIBEL). The relative importance of each explanatory variable is identified for the day-ahead price forecasts in the MIBEL. The comparisons also allow outlining guidelines of the value of the different types of input information.
2015
Autores
Moreira, CL; Gouveia, JR; Silva, B;
Publicação
PROCEEDINGS 2015 9TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON CAMPATIBILITY AND POWER ELECTRONICS (CPE)
Abstract
This paper addresses the provision of frequency control services with multi-terminal HVDC grids interconnecting several asynchronous AC control areas and integrating offshore wind farms. Regarding the operational performance of the multi-terminal HVDC grid, it is discussed and proposed a communication-free regulation scheme that allows these type of infrastructures to actively participate in primary frequency regulation services and provision of inertial emulation capabilities among the non-synchronous areas. Additionally, the proposed control scheme is extended such that offshore wind generators can also actively provide inertia and primary frequency control to the mainland AC grid. The main rational of the proposed control scheme relies of a cascading control mechanism based on the modulation of active power as a function of the frequency in the HVDC converter stations connected to mainland AC grids and on the control of the frequency in the HVDC converters associated to offshore wind farms. The DC grid voltage variations resulting from this principle is used as a natural communication channel to develop the control loops to be used in all the converter stations. The effectiveness of the proposed strategy is illustrated in the case of two non-synchronous areas linked by a multi-terminal HVDC system connecting two offshore wind farms.
2015
Autores
Pereira Barbeiro, PNP; Moreira, C; Keko, H; Teixeira, H; Rosado, N; Moreira, J; Rodrigues, R;
Publicação
IET GENERATION TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION
Abstract
This study presents a methodology for siting and sizing static synchronous compensator (STATCOM) devices in the Portuguese transmission system in order to improve system security following severe grid faults. Security issues arise since the Portuguese transmission system incorporates significant levels of wind generation without fault ride through and reactive current injection capabilities during grid faults. As the transmission system operator (TSO) is responsible for assuring system security, the goal of the study is to take advantage of the proved STATCOM ability for injecting reactive current in order to mitigate the disconnection of large amounts of wind farms in case of severe grid faults. The proposed methodology was developed and tested in coordination with the Portuguese TSO and it is based on the formulation of an optimisation problem in order to minimise the installed STATCOM power while ensuring its compliance with the current grid code requirements, namely in what concerns to the system stability and security. Given the discrete and complex nature of the problem, a hybrid approach, combining both a heuristic method and an evolutionary particle swarm optimisation (EPSO) algorithm was developed. Results show the effectiveness of the proposed methodology as well as its robustness regarding the validity of the obtained solutions while facing the most severe operational scenarios.
2015
Autores
Wimmler, C; Hejazi, G; Fernandes, EdO; Moreira, C; Connors, S;
Publicação
Journal of Clean Energy Technologies - JOCET
Abstract
2015
Autores
Wimmler, C; Hejazi, G; De Oliveira Fernandes, E; Moreira, C; Connors, S;
Publicação
Renewable Energies Offshore - 1st International Conference on Renewable Energies Offshore, RENEW 2014
Abstract
In the decades to come spatial limitation poses a major challenge for islands, especially where tourism dominates and many heritage and natural conservation sites exist. Simultaneously, alternatives to lower energy import dependency are sought. Since onshore technologies are confronted by spatial limitation, the focus might shift towards integrating offshore technologies. Although most of those technologies lack market maturity, the benefit to be installed (far) off the coast is immense. Yet, it is a challenge to select the most appropriate technology for any given site location. Thereby, it is not pre-dominantly a matter of economic and environmental concerns, rather than an assessment of site conditions and resource characteristics. A set of indicators for, both, conditions and characteristics has been established that allows pre-selecting and comparing the suitability of various offshore technologies. Hence, energy planners will be able to select from the most appropriate technologies when planning for a sustainable future. © 2015 Taylor & Francis Group, London.
2015
Autores
Filipe, JM; Bessa, RJ; Sumaili, J; Tomé, R; Sousa, JN;
Publicação
2015 18TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INTELLIGENT SYSTEM APPLICATION TO POWER SYSTEMS (ISAP)
Abstract
Photovoltaic (PV) solar power capacity is growing in several countries, either concentrated in medium/large size solar parks or distributed by the medium and low voltage grid. Solar power forecasting is a key input for supporting grid management, participation in the electricity market and maintenance planning. This paper proposes a new forecasting system that is a hybrid of different models, such as electrical and statistical models, as well as different Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) sources. The time horizon is 48 hours ahead. The proposed model was operationalized and tested in a real PV installation located in North Portugal with 16 kW.
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