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Publicações

Publicações por LIAAD

2025

CSCN: an efficient snapshot ensemble learning based sparse transformer model for long-range spatial-temporal traffic flow prediction

Autores
Kumar, R; Moreira, JM; Chandra, J;

Publicação
DATA MINING AND KNOWLEDGE DISCOVERY

Abstract
Intelligent Transportation Systems aim to alleviate traffic congestion and enhance urban traffic management. Transformer-based methods have shown promise in traffic prediction due to their capability to handle long-range dependencies. However, they disregard local context during parallel processing and can be computationally expensive for large traffic networks. On the other hand, they miss the hierarchical information hidden in regions of large traffic networks. To address these issues, we introduce CSCN, a novel framework that clusters traffic sensors based on data similarity, employs clustered multi-head self-attention for efficient hierarchical pattern learning, and utilizes causal convolutional attention for capturing local temporal trends. In addition to these advancements, we integrate snapshot ensemble learning into CSCN, allowing for the exploitation of diverse snapshots obtained during training to enrich predictive performance. Evaluations of real-world data highlight CSCN's superiority in traffic flow prediction, showcasing its potential for enhancing transportation systems with improved accuracy and efficiency.

2025

Characterising Class Imbalance in Transportation Mode Detection: An Experimental Study

Autores
Muhammad, AR; Aguiar, A; Mendes Moreira, J;

Publicação
INTELLIGENT DATA ENGINEERING AND AUTOMATED LEARNING - IDEAL 2024, PT II

Abstract
This study investigates the impact of class imbalance and its potential interplay with other factors on machine learning models for transportation mode classification, utilising two real-world GPS trajectory datasets. A Random Forest model serves as the baseline, demonstrating strong performance on the relatively balanced dataset but experiencing significant degradation on the imbalanced one. To mitigate this effect, we explore various state-of-the-art class imbalance learning techniques, finding only marginal improvements. Resampling the fairly balanced dataset to replicate the imbalanced distribution suggests that factors beyond class imbalance are at play. We hypothesise and provide preliminary evidence for class overlap as a potential contributing factor, underscoring the need for further investigation into the broader range of classification difficulty factors. Our findings highlight the importance of balanced class distributions and a deeper understanding of factors such as class overlap in developing robust and generalisable models for transportation mode detection.

2025

Spatio-Temporal Predictive Modeling Techniques for Different Domains: a Survey

Autores
Kumar, R; Bhanu, M; Mendes moreira, J; Chandra, J;

Publicação
ACM COMPUTING SURVEYS

Abstract
Spatio-temporal prediction tasks play a crucial role in facilitating informed decision-making through anticipatory insights. By accurately predicting future outcomes, the ability to strategize, preemptively address risks, and minimize their potential impact is enhanced. The precision in forecasting spatial and temporal patterns holds significant potential for optimizing resource allocation, land utilization, and infrastructure development. While existing review and survey papers predominantly focus on specific forecasting domains such as intelligent transportation, urban planning, pandemics, disease prediction, climate and weather forecasting, environmental data prediction, and agricultural yield projection, limited attention has been devoted to comprehensive surveys encompassing multiple objects concurrently. This article addresses this gap by comprehensively analyzing techniques employed in traffic, pandemics, disease forecasting, climate and weather prediction, agricultural yield estimation, and environmental data prediction. Furthermore, it elucidates challenges inherent in spatio-temporal forecasting and outlines potential avenues for future research exploration.

2025

Sampling approaches to reduce very frequent seasonal time series

Autores
Baldo, A; Ferreira, PJS; Mendes Moreira, J;

Publicação
EXPERT SYSTEMS

Abstract
With technological advancements, much data is being captured by sensors, smartphones, wearable devices, and so forth. These vast datasets are stored in data centres and utilized to forge data-driven models for the condition monitoring of infrastructures and systems through future data mining tasks. However, these datasets often surpass the processing capabilities of traditional information systems and methodologies due to their significant size. Additionally, not all samples within these datasets contribute valuable information during the model training phase, leading to inefficiencies. The processing and training of Machine Learning algorithms become time-consuming, and storing all the data demands excessive space, contributing to the Big Data challenge. In this paper, we propose two novel techniques to reduce large time-series datasets into more compact versions without undermining the predictive performance of the resulting models. These methods also aim to decrease the time required for training the models and the storage space needed for the condensed datasets. We evaluated our techniques on five public datasets, employing three Machine Learning algorithms: Holt-Winters, SARIMA, and LSTM. The outcomes indicate that for most of the datasets examined, our techniques maintain, and in several instances enhance, the forecasting accuracy of the models. Moreover, we significantly reduced the time required to train the Machine Learning algorithms employed.

2025

KDBI special issue: Explainability feature selection framework application for LSTM multivariate time-series forecast self optimization

Autores
Rodrigues, EM; Baghoussi, Y; Mendes Moreira, J;

Publicação
EXPERT SYSTEMS

Abstract
Deep learning models are widely used in multivariate time series forecasting, yet, they have high computational costs. One way to reduce this cost is by reducing data dimensionality, which involves removing unimportant or low importance information with the proper method. This work presents a study on an explainability feature selection framework composed of four methods (IMV-LSTM Tensor, LIME-LSTM, Average SHAP-LSTM, and Instance SHAP-LSTM) aimed at using the LSTM black-box model complexity to its favour, with the end goal of improving the error metrics and reducing the computational cost on a forecast task. To test the framework, three datasets with a total of 101 multivariate time series were used, with the explainability methods outperforming the baseline methods in most of the data, be it in error metrics or computation time for the LSTM model training.

2025

Airborne Wind Energy Farms: Layout Optimization Combining NSGA-II and BRKGA

Autores
da Costa, RC; Roque, LAC; Paiva, LT; Fernandes, MCRM; Fontes, DBMM; Fontes, FACC;

Publicação
DYNAMICS OF INFORMATION SYSTEMS, DIS 2024

Abstract
We address the layout optimization problem of deciding the number, the location, and the operational space of a set of Airborne Wind Energy (AWE) units, which overall constitute an AWE farm. The layout optimization problem in conventional wind farms, with standard wind turbines, is a well-studied subject; however, in the case of AWE, there are several new characteristics and challenges. While in the case of conventional wind farms, the main concern is to guarantee a reduced aerodynamical wake effect from other units, in AWE the main concern is to avoid collision among units. The optimization problem addressed is the following: given a specific land dimension and local wind characteristics, we solve a bi-objective problem of maximizing power production while minimizing the number of units, by deciding the number of producing units, their locations, as well as their flight envelopes. The solution method uses a combination of metaheuristic methods, including elements from the Non-Dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm-II (NSGA-II) and the Biased Random Key Genetic Algorithm (BRKGA). The results produce a custom Pareto set adapted to the wind local characteristics, allowing for a more accurate estimation of the key objectives, better estimate of the annual power output of the AWE farm, and make better-informed decisions regarding the optimal number of units to deploy in the farm.

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