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Publicações

Publicações por CPES

2025

The impact of contracts on hydrogen and electricity markets under a joint Cournot equilibrium

Autores
Rozas, LAH; Campos, FA; Villar, J;

Publicação
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HYDROGEN ENERGY

Abstract
Volatility in energy prices, alongside the European Commission's decarbonization strategy, has led to reforming the European electricity market and the creation of a hydrogen strategy. Hydrogen and electricity have a symbiotic relationship: hydrogen production through electrolysis relies on electricity, while its production provides flexibility to the power system utilizing renewable energy surpluses. This research provides a joint electricity and hydrogen market model based on Cournot equilibrium, solved with an equivalent optimization problem, incorporating contracts for both goods. Results for the MIBEL show that contracts increase market competition, reduce prices, and enhance renewable energy utilization. Wholesale electricity and hydrogen prices decrease by 10 % and 8 %, respectively, while electrolytic hydrogen production rises by 10 %. Profits increase by over 20 %, with the hydrogen sector doubling its gains. The model also identifies contract prices that ensure profitability and emissions reduction. These findings highlight the potential of PPAs and HPAs to support energy transition goals.

2025

Analysis of the New Portuguese and Spanish NECPs using CEVESA market model

Autores
de Oliveira, AR; Martínez, SD; Collado, JV; Bessa, TF; Saraiva, JT; Campos, FA; de Morais, RG; Dávila-Isidoro, B;

Publicação
2025 21ST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM

Abstract
The recent updates of the National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) for Portugal and Spain have some significant changes compared to the previous 2019 versions, especially for the Portuguese side where a greater demand and renewable generation capacity are foreseen. This work assesses the impact of these new plans on the Iberian electricity market (MIBEL) main outcomes using CEVESA market model. Simulation results allow the analysis of the expected generation mix and prices, CO2 emissions, system cost, system adequacy, interconnections capacity usage, H2 demand impact and its contribution to provide balancing flexibility, under different simulation scenarios.

2025

Assesing the Role of Fuel Cell Vehicles in the Iberia Energy Transition

Autores
Mahou, J; Castañón, R; Campos, FA; Oliveira, A; Villar, J;

Publicação
2025 21ST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM

Abstract
The mobility sector is expected to significantly impact the power system by deploying battery electric vehicles (BEV) and fuel cell vehicles (FCEV). This work improves CEVESA, a market model for the long-term planning and operation of the Iberian Electricity Market, by modelling FCEV as an alternative to BEV and internal combustion vehicles (ICEV), and its impact on the H-2 demand and storage. The mobility and H-2 economy models interact with the power system through the electricity needs and price. CEVESA is then applied to estimate potential expansion paths of ICEV, BEV and FCEV mobility alternatives considering the total system costs and the EU decarbonization strategy. The findings suggest that if FCEVs technology matures, it could rival BEVs, offering greater system flexibility via electrolyzers and extended driving ranges for users.

2025

Real-time bidding in a Walrasian Local Energy Market

Autores
Mello, J; Villar, J; Saraiva, JT;

Publicação
2025 21ST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM

Abstract
This paper presents a Local Energy Market (LEM) model based on Walrasian Auctions for near real-time energy trading among peers in an Energy Community. The market operates with minimal information exchange, where peers only indicate trade decisions and quantities. The auctioneer updates prices iteratively to balance supply and demand. Two core algorithms support the LEM: (1) the Auctioneer Price Decision Algorithm, which adjusts prices based on past imbalances, and (2) a real-time bidding optimization algorithm, which optimizes peers' energy dispatch and local energy trading decisions based on expected demand, generation, storage, and opportunity costs of external trading. This work details the design and implementation of the bidding optimization algorithm and evaluates its performance through simulations. The results compare the LEM to a centralized pool-based market and individual optimizations, assessing its efficiency and imbalance control. The findings support the development of innovative and decentralized energy markets and smart grid applications.

2025

Strategies for Fair Distribution of Collective Benefits in Renewable Energy Communities

Autores
Cavalcante, L; Lucas, A; Villar, J; Martínez, SD;

Publicação
2025 21ST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM

Abstract
The rapid rise of Renewable Energy Communities (REC) offers unique opportunities for decentralizing and decarbonizing energy systems but also brings challenges in designing fair mechanisms for distributing the benefits of collective self-consumption. This paper evaluates three approaches for benefit-sharing based on the Shapley value, direct marginal contributions, and system marginal cost. A case study compares these methodologies in terms of practicality, fairness, and impact on financial returns. Additionally, this paper proves that settling local transactions using system marginal costs ensures that all REC participants incur equal or lower costs compared to operating independently.

2025

Business Models for Energy Community with Vulnerable Consumers

Autores
Santos, T; Silva, R; Mello, J; Villar, J;

Publicação
2025 21ST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM

Abstract
Renewable energy communities (REC) can involve final consumers into the energy system incentivizing investments in decentralized renewable energy sources and shaping their energy behaviour to improve the local balance of consumption and generation. However, RECs can also help alleviate energy poverty, which occurs when low incomes and inefficient buildings and appliances result in disproportionately high energy costs for households, by lowering energy expenses through the sharing of surplus electricity at reduced prices with vulnerable members. This work explores REC business models with the specific focus on incorporating and empowering vulnerable consumers. Based on the literature review, we propose indexes to assess the vulnerability and non-vulnerability of REC members. From these indexes, we propose two business models based on two different strategies for the operation and settlement of a REC with flexible assets and vulnerable members.

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