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Publicações

Publicações por CESE

2016

The construction process of the synthetic risk model for military shipbuilding projects in Brazil

Autores
Fernandes, JD; Crispim, J;

Publicação
INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ENTERPRISE INFORMATION SYSTEMS/INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON PROJECT MANAGEMENT/INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON HEALTH AND SOCIAL CARE INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND TECHNOLOGIES, CENTERIS/PROJMAN / HCIST 2016

Abstract
The scarcity of federal resources allocated to the Ministry of Defense causes the need for Brazilian Armed Forces to implement strategies that may allow achieving "more with less". For the Navy of Brazil, this strategy includes the need to improve and implement risk management tools and techniques in large defense projects. In this sense, the present study aims at contributing to this process through the design and validation of a synthetic risk model for military shipbuilding, containing the main risk events, causes and associated effects that may affect the success of these projects, in terms of costs and deadlines. This model will help in the prediction and control of these variables and their possible effects, enabling the anticipation of responses and the reduction of uncertainty. (C) 2016 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.

2016

BRAZILIAN NAVY RISK MANAGEMENT IMPROVEMENT: A PROPOSAL OF A RISK MODEL FOR MILITARY SHIPBUILDING PROJECTS

Autores
Fernandes, JD; Crispim, J;

Publicação
PROCEEDINGS OF THE 3RD INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON PROJECT EVALUATION (ICOPEV 2016)

Abstract
This paper describes the process of formulation and validation of a synthetic risk network model for the Brazilian military shipbuilding industry. This model is composed of risk events and their potential causes that will be the basis of the process of identification and analysis of future risks on similar projects. This process involved an extensive literature review to collect and list an initial catalogue of risks, causes and related effects, followed by an analysis to summarise and schematically group the risks. Then, the Delphi method with a panel of experts from the Brazilian Navy was used to analyse and assess the proposed model.

2016

Optimization of integrated scheduling of handling and storage operations at automated container terminals

Autores
Homayouni, SM; Tang, SH;

Publicação
WMU JOURNAL OF MARITIME AFFAIRS

Abstract
Increasing demand for containerization compels container terminals to improve their performance. Uncoordinated scheduling of operations is one of the main factors accounting for poor performance at automated container terminals (ACTs). To increase land utilization efficiency and lower operational times, a new storage system called the split-platform automated storage/retrieval system (SP-AS/RS) has been introduced for temporary storage of containers. This paper describes a multi-objective mixed-integer programming (MIP) model that is based on a combination of multiple interacting sub-tasks. It is aimed at optimizing the integrated scheduling of handling and storage operations in ACTs. The MIP model objective function is to minimize delays in the loading/unloading tasks of the cranes and the travel time of vehicles and platforms in the SP-AS/RS. At the same time, a simulated annealing algorithm (SAA) that provides near-optimal solutions for the problem in a reasonable computation time is appraised. The results of this study show that the objective function of the MIP model is, on average, 58 % lower than that of the non-integrated scheduling method. On the other hand, the best objective function values obtained by the SAA indicate only a 3.7 % disadvantage in comparison with optimal values determined by the MIP model, demonstrating that the SAA is able to provide near-optimal solutions for the integrated scheduling of handling and storage operations.

2016

ETANOL DE PRIMEIRA OU DE SEGUNDA GERAÇÃO? UMA COMPARAÇÃO ENTRE OS CICLOS PRODUTIVOS

Autores
SENNA, PP; ANSANELLI, SLdM;

Publicação
Blucher Engineering Proceedings

Abstract

2016

A Method for Assessing Parameter Impact on Control-Flow Discovery Algorithms

Autores
Ribeiro, J; Carmona, J;

Publicação
TRANSACTIONS ON PETRI NETS AND OTHER MODELS OF CONCURRENCY XI

Abstract
Given a log L, a control-flow discovery algorithm f, and a quality metric m, this paper faces the following problem: what are the parameters in f that mostly influence its application in terms of m when applied to L? This paper proposes a method to face this problem, based on sensitivity analysis, a theory which has been successfully applied in other areas. Clearly, a satisfactory solution to this problem will be crucial to bridge the gap between process discovery algorithms and final users. Additionally, recommendation techniques and meta-techniques like determining the representational bias of an algorithm may benefit from solutions to the problem considered in this paper. The method has been evaluated over a set of logs and two different miners: the inductive miner and the flexible heuristic miner, and the experimental results witness the applicability of the general framework described in this paper.

2016

Barriers and Drivers for Innovation in Times of Crisis

Autores
Cândido, AC; Wielevick, PF; Zimmermann, RA;

Publicação
Revista de Negócios

Abstract
The economic crisis which started in 2008 has demonstrated more clearly the importance of conjuncture aspects for organizational results evidencing associated opportunities and vulnerabilities. In such a context, if on one hand innovation is affected by investment reduction by most enterprises, on the other it has shown to be one of the “antidotes” against the crisis and appears as fertile soil for investments, in the organizational as well as in the territorial context. Enterprises and countries which maintained or even raised efforts toward innovation have demonstrated a higher resilience in times of difficulty. This study aims at identifying opportunities and threats to the innovation performance of firms by means of the study of the crisis effects upon external facilitators and barriers. Besides the literature review, case studies developed in Portuguese and Brazilian enterprises are used for the analysis of the practical effects of the identified aspects in two distinct realities in what concerns the economic crisis. The results show that although Portugal has suffered the crisis effects, in a general way, more than Brazil, when we look to innovation performance, Portugal has shown better results than Brazil during and after the crisis. This study contributes to enterprise and academic purposes since it classifies factors which influence innovation positive or negatively in times of crisis.

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