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Publicações

Publicações por José Paulos

2025

Integrating Cross-Sector Flexible Assets in Flexibility Bidding Curves for Energy Communities

Autores
Rodrigues, L; Mello, J; Silva, R; Faria, S; Cruz, F; Paulos, J; Soares, T; Villar, J;

Publicação
2025 21ST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM

Abstract
Distributed energy resources (DERs) offer untapped potential to meet the flexibility needs of power systems with a high share of non-dispatchable renewable generation, and local flexibility markets (LFMs) can be effective mechanisms for procuring it. In LFMs, energy communities (ECs) can aggregate and offer flexibility from their members' DERs to other parties. However, since flexibility prices are only known after markets clear, flexibility bidding curves can be used to deal with this price uncertainty. Building on previous work by the authors, this paper employs a two-stage methodology to calculate flexibility bids for an EC participating in an LFM, including not only batteries and photovoltaic panels, but also cross-sector (CS) flexible assets like thermal loads and electric vehicles (EVs) to assess their impact. In Stage 1, the EC manager minimizes the energy bill without flexibility to define its baseline. In Stage 2, it computes the optimal flexibility to be offered for each flexibility price to build the flexibility bidding curve. Case examples allow to assess the impact of CS flexible assets on the final flexibility offered.

2025

Planning Energy Communities with Flexibility Provision and Energy and Cross-Sector Flexible Assets

Autores
Rodrigues, L; Silva, R; Macedo, P; Faria, S; Cruz, F; Paulos, J; Mello, J; Soares, T; Villar, J;

Publicação
2025 21ST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM

Abstract
Planning Energy communities (ECs) requires engaging members, designing business models and governance rules, and sizing distributed energy resources (DERs) for a cost-effective investment. Meanwhile, the growing share of non-dispatchable renewable generation demands more flexible energy systems. Local flexibility markets (LFMs) are emerging as effective mechanisms to procure this flexibility, granting ECs a new revenue stream. Since sizing with flexibility becomes a highly complex problem, we propose a 2-stage methodology for estimating DERs size in an EC with collective self-consumption, flexibility provision and cross-sector (CS) assets such as thermal loads and electric vehicles (EVs). The first stage computes the optimal DER capacities to be installed for each member without flexibility provision. The second stage departs from the first stage capacities to assess how to modify the initial capacities to profit from providing flexibility. The impact of data clustering and flexibility provision are assessed through a case study.

2024

A New Approach for Long-Term Demand Forecasting

Autores
Paulos, JP; Azevedo, F; Fidalgo, JNM;

Publicação

Abstract

2024

Long-Term Load Forecasting with Advanced Feature Engineering and Weather Uncertainty Integration

Autores
Paulos, JP; Azevedo, F; Fidalgo, JNM;

Publicação

Abstract

2025

Generation of Power Network Operating Scenarios for an AI-friendly Digital Environment

Autores
Paulos J.; Silva P.R.; Bessa R.J.; Marot A.; Dejaegher J.; Donnot B.;

Publicação
2025 IEEE Kiel Powertech Powertech 2025

Abstract
With the growing need for AI-driven solutions in power grid management, this work addresses the challenge of creating realistic synthetic operating scenarios essential for developing, testing, and validating AI-based decision-making systems. It uses spatial-temporal noise functions, predefined patterns, and optimal power flow to model renewable energy and conventional power plant generation, load, and losses. Quantitative and visual key performance indicators are proposed to evaluate the quality of the generated operating scenarios, and the validation highlights the framework's ability to emulate diverse and practical operating scenarios, bridging gaps in AI-driven power system research and real-world applications.

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