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Publicações

Publicações por Paulo Moura Oliveira

2010

A long-term risk management tool for electricity markets using swarm intelligence

Autores
Azevedo, F; Vale, ZA; Oliveira, PBM; Khodr, HM;

Publicação
ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS RESEARCH

Abstract
This paper addresses the optimal involvement in derivatives electricity markets of a power producer to hedge against the pool price volatility. To achieve this aim, a swarm intelligence meta-heuristic optimization technique for long-term risk management tool is proposed. This tool investigates the long-term opportunities for risk hedging available for electric power producers through the use of contracts with physical (spot and forward contracts) and financial (options contracts) settlement. The producer risk preference is formulated as a utility function (U) expressing the trade-off between the expectation and the variance of the return. Variance of return and the expectation are based on a forecasted scenario interval determined by a long-term price range forecasting model. This model also makes use of particle swarm optimization (PSO) to find the best parameters allow to achieve better forecasting results. On the other hand, the price estimation depends on load forecasting. This work also presents a regressive long-term load forecast model that make use of PSO to find the best parameters as well as in price estimation. The PSO technique performance has been evaluated by comparison with a Genetic Algorithm (GA) based approach. A case study is presented and the results are discussed taking into account the real price and load historical data from mainland Spanish electricity market demonstrating the effectiveness of the methodology handling this type of problems. Finally, conclusions are dully drawn. Crown Copyright

2024

Allocation of national renewable expansion and sectoral demand reduction targets to municipal level

Autores
Schneider, S; Parada, E; Sengl, D; Baptista, J; Oliveira, PM;

Publicação
FRONTIERS IN SUSTAINABLE CITIES

Abstract
Despite the ubiquitous term climate neutral cities, there is a distinct lack of quantifiable and meaningful municipal decarbonization goals in terms of the targeted energy balance and composition that collectively connect to national scenarios. In this paper we present a simple but useful allocation approach to derive municipal targets for energy demand reduction and renewable expansion based on national energy transition strategies in combination with local potential estimators. The allocation uses local and regional potential estimates for demand reduction and the expansion of renewables and differentiates resulting municipal needs of action accordingly. The resulting targets are visualized and opened as a decision support system (DSS) on a web-platform to facilitate the discussion on effort sharing and potential realization in the decarbonization of society. With the proposed framework, different national scenarios, and their implications for municipal needs for action can be compared and their implications made explicit.

2013

Progress in Artificial Intelligence

Autores
Paulo Moura Oliveira; Paulo Novais; Luís Paulo Reis;

Publicação

Abstract

2024

Comparative Analysis of Windows for Speech Emotion Recognition Using CNN

Autores
Teixeira, FL; Soares, SP; Abreu, JLP; Oliveira, PM; Teixeira, JP;

Publicação
OPTIMIZATION, LEARNING ALGORITHMS AND APPLICATIONS, PT I, OL2A 2023

Abstract
The paper presents the comparison of accuracy in the Speech Emotion Recognition task using the Hamming and Hanning windows for framing the speech and determining the spectrogram to be used as input of a convolutional neural network. The detection of between 4 and 10 emotional states was tested for both windows. The results show significant differences in accuracy between the two window types and provide valuable insights for the development of more efficient emotional state detection systems. The best accuracy between 4 and 10 emotions was 64.1% (4 emotions), 57.8% (5 emotions), 59.8% (6 emotions), 48.4% (7 emotions), 47.8% (8 emotions), 51.4% (9 emotions), and 45.9% (10 emotions). These accuracy is at the state-of-the art level.

2019

Progress in Artificial Intelligence

Autores
Paulo Moura Oliveira; Paulo Novais; Luís Paulo Reis;

Publicação

Abstract

2022

Prediction of Ventricular Tachyarrhythmia Using Deep Learning

Autores
Barbosa, D; Solteiro Pires, EJ; Leite, A; Moura Oliveira, PBd;

Publicação
Wireless Mobile Communication and Healthcare - 11th EAI International Conference, MobiHealth 2022, Virtual Event, November 30 - December 2, 2022, Proceedings

Abstract
Ventricular tachyarrhythmia (VTA), mainly ventricular tachycardia (VT) and ventricular fibrillation (VF) are the major causes of sudden cardiac death in the world. This work uses deep learning, more precisely, LSTM and biLSTM networks to predict VTA events. The Spontaneous Ventricular Tachyarrhythmia Database from PhysioNET was chosen, which contains 78 patients, 135 VTA signals, and 135 control rhythms. After the pre-processing of these signals and feature extraction, the classifiers were able to predict whether a patient was going to suffer a VTA event or not. A better result using a biLSTM was obtained, with a 5-fold-cross-validation, reaching an accuracy of 96.30%, 94.07% of precision, 98.45% of sensibility, and 96.17% of F1-Score. © 2023, ICST Institute for Computer Sciences, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering.

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