2025
Autores
Caetano, R; Oliveira, JM; Ramos, P;
Publicação
MATHEMATICS
Abstract
Accurate demand forecasting is essential for retail operations as it directly impacts supply chain efficiency, inventory management, and financial performance. However, forecasting retail time series presents significant challenges due to their irregular patterns, hierarchical structures, and strong dependence on external factors such as promotions, pricing strategies, and socio-economic conditions. This study evaluates the effectiveness of Transformer-based architectures, specifically Vanilla Transformer, Informer, Autoformer, ETSformer, NSTransformer, and Reformer, for probabilistic time series forecasting in retail. A key focus is the integration of explanatory variables, such as calendar-related indicators, selling prices, and socio-economic factors, which play a crucial role in capturing demand fluctuations. This study assesses how incorporating these variables enhances forecast accuracy, addressing a research gap in the comprehensive evaluation of explanatory variables within multiple Transformer-based models. Empirical results, based on the M5 dataset, show that incorporating explanatory variables generally improves forecasting performance. Models leveraging these variables achieve up to 12.4% reduction in Normalized Root Mean Squared Error (NRMSE) and 2.9% improvement in Mean Absolute Scaled Error (MASE) compared to models that rely solely on past sales. Furthermore, probabilistic forecasting enhances decision making by quantifying uncertainty, providing more reliable demand predictions for risk management. These findings underscore the effectiveness of Transformer-based models in retail forecasting and emphasize the importance of integrating domain-specific explanatory variables to achieve more accurate, context-aware predictions in dynamic retail environments.
2025
Autores
Costa, V; Oliveira, JM; Ramos, P;
Publicação
Abstract
2025
Autores
Souadda, LI; Halitim, AR; Benilles, B; Oliveira, JM; Ramos, P;
Publicação
Abstract
2025
Autores
Souadda, LI; Halitim, AR; Benilles, B; Oliveira, JM; Ramos, P;
Publicação
Forecasting
Abstract
2025
Autores
Nunes, JD; Montezuma, D; Oliveira, D; Pereira, T; Cardoso, JS;
Publicação
MEDICAL IMAGE ANALYSIS
Abstract
Nuclear-derived morphological features and biomarkers provide relevant insights regarding the tumour microenvironment, while also allowing diagnosis and prognosis in specific cancer types. However, manually annotating nuclei from the gigapixel Haematoxylin and Eosin (H&E)-stained Whole Slide Images (WSIs) is a laborious and costly task, meaning automated algorithms for cell nuclei instance segmentation and classification could alleviate the workload of pathologists and clinical researchers and at the same time facilitate the automatic extraction of clinically interpretable features for artificial intelligence (AI) tools. But due to high intra- and inter-class variability of nuclei morphological and chromatic features, as well as H&Estains susceptibility to artefacts, state-of-the-art algorithms cannot correctly detect and classify instances with the necessary performance. In this work, we hypothesize context and attention inductive biases in artificial neural networks (ANNs) could increase the performance and generalization of algorithms for cell nuclei instance segmentation and classification. To understand the advantages, use-cases, and limitations of context and attention-based mechanisms in instance segmentation and classification, we start by reviewing works in computer vision and medical imaging. We then conduct a thorough survey on context and attention methods for cell nuclei instance segmentation and classification from H&E-stained microscopy imaging, while providing a comprehensive discussion of the challenges being tackled with context and attention. Besides, we illustrate some limitations of current approaches and present ideas for future research. As a case study, we extend both a general (Mask-RCNN) and a customized (HoVer-Net) instance segmentation and classification methods with context- and attention-based mechanisms and perform a comparative analysis on a multicentre dataset for colon nuclei identification and counting. Although pathologists rely on context at multiple levels while paying attention to specific Regions of Interest (RoIs) when analysing and annotating WSIs, our findings suggest translating that domain knowledge into algorithm design is no trivial task, but to fully exploit these mechanisms in ANNs, the scientific understanding of these methods should first be addressed.
2025
Autores
Caldeira, E; Cardoso, JS; Sequeira, AF; Neto, PC;
Publicação
COMPUTER VISION-ECCV 2024 WORKSHOPS, PT XV
Abstract
As in school, one teacher to cover all subjects is insufficient to distill equally robust information to a student. Hence, each subject is taught by a highly specialised teacher. Following a similar philosophy, we propose a multiple specialized teacher framework to distill knowledge to a student network. In our approach, directed at face recognition use cases, we train four teachers on one specific ethnicity, leading to four highly specialized and biased teachers. Our strategy learns a project of these four teachers into a common space and distill that information to a student network. Our results highlighted increased performance and reduced bias for all our experiments. In addition, we further show that having biased/specialized teachers is crucial by showing that our approach achieves better results than when knowledge is distilled from four teachers trained on balanced datasets. Our approach represents a step forward to the understanding of the importance of ethnicity-specific features.
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