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Publicações

Publicações por Jean Sumaili

2016

Operation scheduling of prosumer with renewable energy sources and storage devices

Autores
Souza, SM; Gil, M; Sumaili, J; Madureira, AG; Pecas Lopes, JAP;

Publicação
2016 13TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET (EEM)

Abstract
The reduction or elimination of incentives for the installation of decentralized generation directly at the customers' premises, favoring self-consumption, can bring significant changes for distribution network operation. According to the new Portuguese law, injection of energy into the distribution grid is discouraged since prosumers receive only 90% of the energy cost in the Iberian Energy Market. In order to lower energy bills, the possibility of storing excess energy is being considered as a possible solution. In this paper, an optimization framework is proposed to model the operation of consumers with renewable-based Distributed Generation (DG) and storage capacity and assess their aggregated effect at the level of the MV grid using a multi-temporal Optimal Power Flow (OPF). The proposed algorithm is then tested in a real Portuguese MV network to evaluate its performance. Finally, a financial viability analysis is performed considering the installation of small PV generators and storage devices at the residential level.

2015

Statistical Tuning of DEEPSO Soft Constraints in the Security Constrained Optimal Power Flow Problem

Autores
Carvalho, LM; Loureiro, F; Sumaili, J; Keko, H; Miranda, V; Marcelino, CG; Wanner, EF;

Publicação
2015 18TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INTELLIGENT SYSTEM APPLICATION TO POWER SYSTEMS (ISAP)

Abstract
The optimal solution provided by metaheuristics can be viewed as a random variable, whose behavior depends on the value of the algorithm's strategic parameters and on the type of penalty function used to enforce the problem's soft constraints. This paper reports the use of parametric and non-parametric statistics to compare three different penalty functions implemented to solve the Security Constrained Optimal Power Flow (SCOPF) problem using the new enhanced metaheuristic Differential Evolutionary Particle Swarm Optimization (DEEPSO). To obtain the best performance for the three types of penalty functions, the strategic parameters of DEEPSO are optimized by using an iterative algorithm based on the two-way analysis of variance (ANOVA). The results show that the modeling of soft constraints significantly influences the best achievable performance of the optimization algorithm.

2013

Application of probabilistic wind power forecasting in electricity markets

Autores
Zhou, Z; Botterud, A; Wang, J; Bessa, RJ; Keko, H; Sumaili, J; Miranda, V;

Publicação
WIND ENERGY

Abstract
This paper discusses the potential use of probabilistic wind power forecasting in electricity markets, with focus on the scheduling and dispatch decisions of the system operator. We apply probabilistic kernel density forecasting with a quantile-copula estimator to forecast the probability density function, from which forecasting quantiles and scenarios with temporal dependency of errors are derived. We show how the probabilistic forecasts can be used to schedule energy and operating reserves to accommodate the wind power forecast uncertainty. We simulate the operation of a two-settlement electricity market with clearing of day-ahead and real-time markets for energy and operating reserves. At the day-ahead stage, a deterministic point forecast is input to the commitment and dispatch procedure. Then a probabilistic forecast is used to adjust the commitment status of fast-starting units closer to real time, on the basis of either dynamic operating reserves or stochastic unit commitment. Finally, the real-time dispatch is based on the realized availability of wind power. To evaluate the model in a large-scale real-world setting, we take the power system in Illinois as a test case and compare different scheduling strategies. The results show better performance for dynamic compared with fixed operating reserve requirements. Furthermore, although there are differences in the detailed dispatch results, dynamic operating reserves and stochastic unit commitment give similar results in terms of cost. Overall, we find that probabilistic forecasts can contribute to improve the performance of the power system, both in terms of cost and reliability. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

2017

Assessing the Impact of Demand Flexibility on Distribution Network Operation

Autores
Tavares, BD; Sumaili, J; Soares, FJ; Madureira, AG; Ferreira, R;

Publicação
2017 IEEE MANCHESTER POWERTECH

Abstract
This paper presents a study about the influence of Distributed Energy Resources' (DER) flexibility on the operation of a Medium Voltage (MV) network, in a Smart Grid (SG) environment. An AC multi-temporal Optimal Power Flow (OPF) tool was developed and used to simulate the impact of the DER flexibility (including storage devices, EVs, controllable loads and micro-generation) in distribution network operation. Some simulations are presented, demonstrating the impact that DER flexibility can have on solving operation problems namely in terms of branch loading and voltage limits.

2013

Demand Dispatch and Probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting in Unit Commitment and Economic Dispatch: A Case Study of Illinois

Autores
Botterud, A; Zhou, Z; Wang, JH; Sumaili, J; Keko, H; Mendes, J; Bessa, RJ; Miranda, V;

Publicação
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SUSTAINABLE ENERGY

Abstract
In this paper, we analyze how demand dispatch combined with the use of probabilistic wind power forecasting can help accommodate large shares of wind power in electricity market operations. We model the operation of day-ahead and real-time electricity markets, which the system operator clears by centralized unit commitment and economic dispatch. We use probabilistic wind power forecasting to estimate dynamic operating reserve requirements, based on the level of uncertainty in the forecast. At the same time, we represent price responsive demand as a dispatchable resource, which adds flexibility in the system operation. In a case study of the power system in Illinois, we find that both demand dispatch and probabilistic wind power forecasting can contribute to efficient operation of electricity markets with large shares of wind power.

2014

Impact assessment of a massive integration of electric vehicles through the fuzzy power flow analysis

Autores
Heleno, M; Meirinhos, J; Sumaili, J; Da Rosa, MA; Matos, MA;

Publicação
IET Conference Publications

Abstract
This paper aims at studying the impact of the Electric Vehicles (EV) charging demand and its uncertainty in the adequacy of the transmission grid using the Linearized approach of the Symmetric Fuzzy Power Flow analysis. The fuzzy modelling of the uncertainties caused by the presence of EV in the system is discussed. Two types of charging scenarios are considered: dumb charging and smart charging. Finally, a fuzzy power flow analysis considering the uncertainties associated to the EV load is applied to a test system as well as to the peak load scenario of Portuguese system in 2030, discussing the possibility of congestion occurrence and nodes voltages out of the tolerance limits.

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