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Publicações

Publicações por HumanISE

2015

Multi-agent simulation of competitive electricity markets: Autonomous systems cooperation for European market modeling

Autores
Santos, G; Pinto, T; Morais, H; Sousa, TM; Pereira, IF; Fernandes, R; Praca, I; Vale, Z;

Publicação
ENERGY CONVERSION AND MANAGEMENT

Abstract
The electricity market restructuring, and its worldwide evolution into regional and even continental scales, along with the increasing necessity for an adequate integration of renewable energy sources, is resulting in a rising complexity in power systems operation. Several power system simulators have been developed in recent years with the purpose of helping operators, regulators, and involved players to understand and deal with this complex and constantly changing environment. The main contribution of this paper is given by the integration of several electricity market and power system models, respecting to the reality of different countries. This integration is done through the development of an upper ontology which integrates the essential concepts necessary to interpret all the available information. The continuous development of Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets platform provides the means for the exemplification of the usefulness of this ontology. A case study using the proposed multi-agent platform is presented, considering a scenario based on real data that simulates the European Electricity Market environment, and comparing its performance using different market mechanisms. The main goal is to demonstrate the advantages that the integration of various market models and simulation platforms have for the study of the electricity markets' evolution.

2015

Negotiation context analysis in electricity markets

Autores
Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Sousa, TM; Praca, I;

Publicação
ENERGY

Abstract
Contextualization is critical in every decision making process. Adequate responses to problems depend not only on the variables with direct influence on the outcomes, but also on a correct contextualization of the problem regarding the surrounding environment. Electricity markets are dynamic environments with increasing complexity, potentiated by the last decades' restructuring process. Dealing with the growing complexity and competitiveness in this sector brought the need for using decision support tools. A solid example is MASCEM (Multi-Agent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets), whose players' decisions are supported by another multiagent system - ALBidS (Adaptive Learning strategic Bidding System). ALBidS uses artificial intelligence techniques to endow market players with adaptive learning capabilities that allow them to achieve the best possible results in market negotiations. This paper studies the influence of context awareness in the decision making process of agents acting in electricity markets. A context analysis mechanism is proposed, considering important characteristics of each negotiation period, so that negotiating agents can adapt their acting strategies to different contexts. The main conclusion is that context-dependant responses improve the decision making process. Suiting actions to different contexts allows adapting the behaviour of negotiating entities to different circumstances, resulting in profitable outcomes.

2015

Data mining approach to support the generation of Realistic Scenarios for multi-agent simulation of electricity markets

Autores
Teixeira, B; Silva, F; Pinto, T; Praca, I; Santos, G; Vale, Z;

Publicação
IEEE SSCI 2014 - 2014 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence - IA 2014: 2014 IEEE Symposium on Intelligent Agents, Proceedings

Abstract
This paper presents the Realistic Scenarios Generator (RealScen), a tool that processes data from real electricity markets to generate realistic scenarios that enable the modeling of electricity market players' characteristics and strategic behavior. The proposed tool provides significant advantages to the decision making process in an electricity market environment, especially when coupled with a multi-agent electricity markets simulator. The generation of realistic scenarios is performed using mechanisms for intelligent data analysis, which are based on artificial intelligence and data mining algorithms. These techniques allow the study of realistic scenarios, adapted to the existing markets, and improve the representation of market entities as software agents, enabling a detailed modeling of their profiles and strategies. This work contributes significantly to the understanding of the interactions between the entities acting in electricity markets by increasing the capability and realism of market simulations. © 2014 IEEE.

2015

Distributed intelligent management of microgrids using a multi-agent simulation platform

Autores
Gomes, L; Pinto, T; Faria, P; Vale, Z;

Publicação
IEEE SSCI 2014 - 2014 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence - IA 2014: 2014 IEEE Symposium on Intelligent Agents, Proceedings

Abstract
Multi-agent approaches have been widely used to model complex systems of distributed nature with a large amount of interactions between the involved entities. Power systems are a reference case, mainly due to the increasing use of distributed energy sources, largely based on renewable sources, which have potentiated huge changes in the power systems' sector. Dealing with such a large scale integration of intermittent generation sources led to the emergence of several new players, as well as the development of new paradigms, such as the microgrid concept, and the evolution of demand response programs, which potentiate the active participation of consumers. This paper presents a multi-agent based simulation platform which models a microgrid environment, considering several different types of simulated players. These players interact with real physical installations, creating a realistic simulation environment with results that can be observed directly in the reality. A case study is presented considering players' responses to a demand response event, resulting in an intelligent increase of consumption in order to face the wind generation surplus. © 2014 IEEE.

2015

Short-term wind speed forecasting using Support Vector Machines

Autores
Pinto, T; Ramos, S; Sousa, TM; Vale, Z;

Publicação
IEEE SSCI 2014: 2014 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence - CIDUE 2014: 2014 IEEE Symposium on Computational Intelligence in Dynamic and Uncertain Environments, Proceedings

Abstract
Wind speed forecasting has been becoming an important field of research to support the electricity industry mainly due to the increasing use of distributed energy sources, largely based on renewable sources. This type of electricity generation is highly dependent on the weather conditions variability, particularly the variability of the wind speed. Therefore, accurate wind power forecasting models are required to the operation and planning of wind plants and power systems. A Support Vector Machines (SVM) model for short-term wind speed is proposed and its performance is evaluated and compared with several artificial neural network (ANN) based approaches. A case study based on a real database regarding 3 years for predicting wind speed at 5 minutes intervals is presented. © 2014 IEEE.

2015

Holistic Analysis for Fork-Join Distributed Tasks supported by the FTT-SE Protocol

Autores
Garibay Martinez, R; Nelissen, G; Ferreira, LL; Pedreiras, P; Pinho, LM;

Publicação
2015 IEEE WORLD CONFERENCE ON FACTORY COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS (WFCS)

Abstract
This paper presents a holistic timing analysis for fixed-priority fork-join Parallel/Distributed tasks (P/D tasks) over a Flexible Time Triggered - Switched Ethernet (FTT-SE) network. The holistic approach considers both time-triggered and event-triggered tasks/messages.

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