João António Almeida

Abstract
Maritime transport faces increasing decarbonisation requirements, placing new demands on port energy systems. Yet most existing studies analyse isolated components or short time horizons, limiting their usefulness for long-term planning. This work develops a holistic, least-cost optimisation model of the Port of Sines energy system using OSeMOSYS, integrating electricity and fuel consumption across port operations and fuel-management processes from 2020 to 2050.The study evaluates alternative technology pathways and policy measures, including carbon taxation, national emission-reduction targets, and the adoption of an innovative ocean-going vessel fleet. Results show that electrification, driven by onshore power supply and renewable expansion, is the most cost-effective decarbonisation route, while its performance depends on local generation capacity and the carbon intensity of the electricity mix. Policy mechanisms and fleet innovation further influence the timing and depth of emissions reductions. Overall, the model provides a replicable framework to support strategic port decarbonisation planning.