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Publications

2018

New probabilistic price forecasting models: Application to the Iberian electricity market

Authors
Monteiro, C; Ramirez Rosado, IJ; Alfredo Fernandez Jimenez, LA; Ribeiro, M;

Publication
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL POWER & ENERGY SYSTEMS

Abstract
This article presents original Probabilistic Price Forecasting Models, for day-ahead hourly price forecasts in electricity markets, based on a Nadaraya-Watson Kernel Density Estimator approach. A Gaussian Kernel Density Estimator function is used for each input variable, which allows to calculate the parameters of the probability density function (PDF) of a Beta distribution for the hourly price variable. Thus, valuable information is obtained from PDFs such as point forecasts, variance values, quantiles, probabilities of prices, and time series representations of forecast uncertainty. A Reliability Indicator is also introduced to give a measure of "reliability" of forecasts. The Probabilistic Price Forecasting Models were satisfactorily applied to the real-world case study of the Iberian Electricity Market. Input variables of these models include recent prices, power demands and power generations in the previous day, power demands in the previous week, forecasts of demand, wind power generation and weather for the day-ahead, and chronological data. The best model, corresponding to the best combination of input variables that achieves the lowest MAE, obtains one of the highest Reliability Indicator values. A systematic analysis of MAE values of the Probabilistic Price Forecasting Models for different combinations of input variables showed that as more types of input variables were considered in these models, MAE values improved and Reliability Indicator values usually increased.

2018

A Personal Robot as an Improvement to the Customers’ In- Store Experience

Authors
Santos, J; Campos, D; Duarte, F; Pereira, F; Domingues, I; Santos, J; Leão, J; Xavier, J; Matos, Ld; Camarneiro, M; Penas, M; Miranda, M; Morais, R; Silva, R; Esteves, T;

Publication
Service Robots

Abstract

2018

Field Test of a Single Attached Point FBG Pressure Sensor in a Thermoelectric Plant Engine

Authors
Rosolem, JB; Penze, RS; Floridia, C; Cano, WFR; Dini, DC; Costa, EF; Peres, R; Bassan, FR; Teixeira, RAV; Vasconcelos, D;

Publication
26th International Conference on Optical Fiber Sensors

Abstract

2018

Sifting Through Chaos: Extracting Information from Unstructured Legal Opinions

Authors
Oliveira, BM; Guimaraes, RV; Antunes, L; Rodrigues, PP;

Publication
BUILDING CONTINENTS OF KNOWLEDGE IN OCEANS OF DATA: THE FUTURE OF CO-CREATED EHEALTH

Abstract
Abiding to the law is, in some cases, a delicate balance between the rights of different players. Re-using health records is such a case. While the law grants reuse rights to public administration documents, in which health records produced in public health institutions are included, it also grants privacy to personal records. To safeguard a correct usage of data, public hospitals in Portugal employ jurists that are responsible for allowing or withholding access rights to health records. To help decision making, these jurists can consult the legal opinions issued by the national committee on public administration documents usage. While these legal opinions are of undeniable value, due to their doctrine contribution, they are only available in a format best suited from printing, forcing individual consultation of each document, with no option, whatsoever of clustered search, filtering or indexing, which are standard operations nowadays in a document management system. When having to decide on tens of data requests a day, it becomes unfeasible to consult the hundreds of legal opinions already available. With the objective to create a modern document management system, we devised an open, platform agnostic system that extracts and compiles the legal opinions, ex-tracts its contents and produces metadata, allowing for a fast searching and filtering of said legal opinions.

2018

GymApp: a Real Time Physical Activity Trainner on Wearable Devices

Authors
Viana, P; Ferreira, T; Castro, L; Soares, M; Pinto, JP; Andrade, T; Carvalho, P;

Publication
2018 11TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON HUMAN SYSTEM INTERACTION (HSI)

Abstract
Technological advances are pushing into the mass market innovative wearable devices featuring increasing processing and sensing capacity, non-intrusiveness and ubiquitous use. Sensors built-in those devices, enable acquiring different types of data and by taking advantage of the available processing power, it is possible to run intelligent applications that process the sensed data to offer added -value to the user in multiple domains. Although not new to the modern society, it is unquestionable that the present exercise boom is rapidly spreading across all age groups. However, in a great majority of cases, people perform their physical activity on their own, either due to time or budget constraints and may easily get discouraged if they do not see results or perform exercises inadequately. This paper presents an application, running on a wearable device, aiming at operating as a personal trainer that validates a set of proposed exercises in a sports' session. The developed solution uses inertial sensors of an Android Wear smartwatch and, based on a set of pattern recognition algorithms, detects the rate of success in the execution of a planned workout. The fact that all processing can be executed on the device is a differentiator factor to other existing solutions.

2018

Extracting Adverse Drug Effects from User Experiences: A Baseline

Authors
Abrantes, D; Cordeiro, J;

Publication
Proceedings - IEEE Symposium on Computer-Based Medical Systems

Abstract
It has been proved that pharmacovigilance benefits from the analysis and extraction of user generated data from blogs, medical forums or other social networks, regarding adverse effect mentions or complaints that occur from taking certain drugs. Data mining, machine learning, pattern recognition, content summarization and natural language processing techniques are often used in this field with promising results. However, there are still several difficulties concerning the extraction, as the highly domain-specific vocabulary presents a few challenges. This is mainly because patients like to use idiomatic or vernacular expressions along with descriptive symptom explanations, which tend to deviate from grammatical rules or expected terms. To address this issue, we propose a well-curated baseline. We believe that building a specific lexicon, identifying common linguistic patterns and observing certain phrasal structures is key to first understanding how a user generates contents online. From there, we can later develop sets of tailored rules that will allow data classification/extraction systems to potentially improve their efficiency at these tasks. © 2018 IEEE.

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