2026
Autores
António, F; Cavique, L;
Publicação
PROGRESS IN ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, EPIA 2025, PT I
Abstract
Sales forecasting in the presence of Missing Data poses significant challenges, particularly for short time series where limited observations amplify the impact of incomplete records. This study analyzes a real-world transactional dataset (2021-2024) to predict quantities and prices for 2025. We classify missingness patterns and mechanisms (MCAR, MAR, MNAR) to inform the selection of imputation strategies. We evaluate techniques including MICE, Mean, KNN, and Linear Regression under simulated missingness rates, with KNN emerging as the most robust for the MAR mechanism. Regarding very short-term series predictions, the naive forecast Max2 (maximum of the last two observed values) outperformed moving averages. The results highlight the importance of mechanismaware imputation and domain-tailored forecasting in sparse datasets. This work presents a practical framework for businesses to effectively utilize incomplete sales data.
2026
Autores
Rocha, V; Silva, D; Moreira, FC; Monteiro, CS; Ferreira, TD; Silva, NA;
Publicação
NEW JOURNAL OF PHYSICS
Abstract
The development of computing paradigms alternative to von Neumann architectures has recently fueled significant progress in novel all-optical processing solutions. In this work, we investigate how the coherence properties can be exploited for computing by expanding information onto a higher-dimensional space in the photonic extreme learning machine framework. A theoretical framework is provided based on the transmission matrix formalism, mapping the input plane onto the output camera plane, resulting in the establishment of the connection with complex extreme learning machines and derivation of upper bounds for the hidden space dimensionality as well as the form of the activation functions. Experiments using free-space propagation through a diffusive medium, performed in low-dimensional input space regimes, validate the model and the proposed estimator for the dimensionality. Overall, the framework presented and the findings enclosed have the potential to foster further research in a multitude of directions, from the development of robust general-purpose all-optical hardware to a full-stack integration with optical sensing devices toward edge computing solutions.
2026
Autores
Teixeira, B; Pinto, T; Vale, Z;
Publicação
EXPLAINABLE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, XAI 2025, PT II
Abstract
Accurate energy generation forecasting is essential for effective energy management. However, it remains a complex task due to the influence of dynamic factors such as meteorological conditions, seasonal variations, and evolving grid operations. Ensuring model reliability over time requires continuous assessment to detect performance degradation. Traditional retraining strategies, including periodic updates and statistical drift detection techniques, often struggle to balance model accuracy with computational efficiency. This study introduces a novel approach that leverages SHapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) to dynamically detect concept drift by analyzing variations in feature importance. The methodology establishes a baseline SHAP distribution and identifies deviations that indicate drift, prompting model retraining when necessary. A comparative evaluation is conducted against conventional methods, including scheduled retraining, Adaptive Windowing (ADWIN), and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis examines the impact of key configuration parameters on detection accuracy and computational cost. The results demonstrate that SHAP-based drift detection improves forecasting accuracy, achieving a 26.67% to 35.29% reduction in Mean Squared Error, while maintaining an adaptive retraining strategy. These findings underscore the potential of SHAP as an interpretable and efficient approach for managing concept drift in energy forecasting applications.
2026
Autores
Sarmas, E; Lucas, A; Acosta, A; Ponci, F; Rodriguez, P; Marinakis, V;
Publicação
ENGINEERING APPLICATIONS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
Abstract
The application of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the energy sector offers new opportunities for developing flexible, efficient, and sustainable infrastructures. Nevertheless, real-world deployment is still constrained by the lack of large-scale, integrated environments that can evaluate advanced algorithms under realistic operating conditions while ensuring regulatory compliance. This paper presents EnerTEF (which stands for Energy Testing and Experimentation Facility), a federated platform for testing and experimentation in the energy sector designed to address this gap. We introduce a unified TEF architecture that enables full-stack evaluation of intelligent systems, including predictive modeling, optimization, learning under data distribution shifts and federated learning across geographically distributed sites. The framework integrates high-fidelity digital twins, a privacy-preserving data exchange framework and regulatory sandboxing to support transparent, explainable and robust AI development. EnerTEF demonstrates how such a framework can be deployed in critical energy domains through three real-world scenarios including short-term hydropower generation forecasting, coordination between distribution network operators and distributed energy resources and real-time optimization of self-consumption for municipal buildings. Results show that EnerTEF effectively enables the development of novel AI models, improves cross-context generalizability and supports innovation for complex energy infrastructures, ultimately creating a practical, scalable path for addressing different energy-related problems and heterogeneous data.
2026
Autores
da Fonseca, MJS; Lopes, SV; Garcia, JE; Andrade, JG; Sousa, BB;
Publicação
EMERGING TRENDS IN INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND TECHNOLOGIES, WORLDCIST 2025, VOL 5
Abstract
The study aimed to explore how communication can influence young individuals to become blood donors. It sought to answer a key question: how do communication strategies impact the recruitment of donors within this age group? The research was structured around four primary objectives. First, it evaluated young people's knowledge about blood donation through a content analysis of 14 campaigns. Second, it examined the communication strategies implemented by the Portuguese Institute of Blood and Transplantation (IPST) via an exploratory interview with an expert from the organization. Third, it investigated the motivations and barriers affecting young people's willingness to donate, using a survey conducted with 390 participants, which revealed that more than half of respondents were not blood donors. Finally, it identified the most effective communication strategies and actions to promote blood donation. The findings suggest that future campaigns should prioritize precise segmentation based on behavioral criteria and adopt integrated marketing communication more broadly. This approach is expected to enhance the effectiveness of initiatives aimed at increasing donor recruitment among young people.
2026
Autores
Monteiro, P; Peixoto, B; Gonçalves, G; Coelho, H; Barbosa, L; Melo, M; Bessa, M;
Publicação
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HUMAN-COMPUTER INTERACTION
Abstract
Handheld controllers are standard in immersive virtual reality (iVR), but the rise of natural hand-based interactions exposes the limitations of hand gestures, especially for point-and-click tasks with graphical user interfaces (GUI). This shows the need to explore alternative hands-free selection methods. Unlike most studies focusing on the selection task itself, this work evaluates the impact of such methods on multiple dimensions when selections occur alongside another primary task. The tested methods were: head gaze + dwell, leaning, and voice; eye gaze + dwell, leaning, blinking, and voice; and voice-only. Controllers served as the baseline. Methods were further analyzed by pointing and confirming mechanisms. Four dimensions were analyzed: (1) iVR experience, (2) user satisfaction, (3) usability, and (4) efficiency and effectiveness. With 72 participants, results show hands-free methods provide comparable experiences to controllers, suggesting selection methods have a lower impact on the user experience when users focus on a primary task.
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