2025
Authors
dos Santos, MR; Cerqueira, V; Soares, C;
Publication
Progress in Artificial Intelligence - 24th EPIA Conference on Artificial Intelligence, EPIA 2025, Faro, Portugal, October 1-3, 2025, Proceedings, Part I
Abstract
Effective selection of forecasting algorithms for time series data is a challenge in machine learning, impacting both predictive accuracy and efficiency. Metalearning, using features extracted from time series, offers a strategic approach to optimize algorithm selection. The utility of this approach depends on the amount of information the features contain about the behavior of the algorithms. Although there are several methods for systematic time series feature extraction, they have never been compared. This paper empirically analyzes the performance of each feature extraction method for algorithm selection and its impact on forecasting accuracy. Our study reveals that TSFRESH, TSFEATURES, and TSFEL exhibit comparable performance at algorithm selection accuracy, adeptly capturing time series characteristics essential for accurate algorithm selection. In contrast, Catch22 is found to be less effective for this purpose. In particular, TSFEL is identified as the most efficient method, balancing dimensionality and predictive performance. These findings provide insights for enhancing forecasting accuracy and efficiency through judicious selection of meta-feature extractors. © 2025 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
The access to the final selection minute is only available to applicants.
Please check the confirmation e-mail of your application to obtain the access code.