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Publications

Publications by Mário Amorim Lopes

2023

Artificial intelligence and the future in health policy, planning and management

Authors
Lopes, MA; Martins, H; Correia, T;

Publication
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HEALTH PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT

Abstract
[No abstract available]

2023

Predicting the future: introducing business analytics to endoscopy units

Authors
Pinho, R; Veloso, R; Estevinho, MM; Rodrigues, T; Almada Lobo, B; Amorim Lopes, M; Freitas, T;

Publication
REVISTA ESPANOLA DE ENFERMEDADES DIGESTIVAS

Abstract
Background and aims: currently, most endoscopy software only provides limited statistics of past procedures, while none allows patterns to be extrapolated. To overcome this need, the authors applied business analytic models to pre-dict future demand and the need for endoscopists in a ter-tiary hospital Endoscopy Unit. Methods: a query to the endoscopy database was per-formed to retrieve demand from 2015 to 2021. The graphi-cal inspection allowed inferring of trends and seasonality, perceiving the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, and se-lecting the best forecasting models. Considering COVID-19's impact in the second quarter of 2020, data for esoph-agogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) and colonoscopy was estimated using linear regression of historical data. The actual demand in the first two quarters of 2022 was used to validate the models. Results: during the study period, 53,886 procedures were requested. The best forecasting models were: a) simple sea-sonal exponential smoothing for EGD, colonoscopy and percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy (PEG); b) double ex-ponential smoothing for capsule endoscopy and deep en-teroscopy; and c) simple exponential smoothing for endo-scopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) and endoscopic ultrasound (EUS). The mean average percent-age error ranged from 6.1 % (EGD) to 33.5 % (deep en - teroscopy). Overall, 8,788 procedures were predicted for 2022. The actual demand in the first two quarters of 2022 was within the predicted range. Considering the usual time allocation for each technique, 3.2 full-time equivalent en-doscopists (40 hours-dedication to endoscopy) will be re-quired to perform all procedures in 2022. Conclusions: the incorporation of business analytics into the endoscopy software and clinical practice may enhance resource allocation, improving patient-focused deci-sion-making and healthcare quality.

2023

A Biomedical Entity Extraction Pipeline for Oncology Health Records in Portuguese

Authors
Sousa, H; Pasquali, A; Jorge, A; Santos, CS; Lopes, MA;

Publication
38TH ANNUAL ACM SYMPOSIUM ON APPLIED COMPUTING, SAC 2023

Abstract
Textual health records of cancer patients are usually protracted and highly unstructured, making it very time-consuming for health professionals to get a complete overview of the patient's therapeutic course. As such limitations can lead to suboptimal and/or inefficient treatment procedures, healthcare providers would greatly benefit from a system that effectively summarizes the information of those records. With the advent of deep neural models, this objective has been partially attained for English clinical texts, however, the research community still lacks an effective solution for languages with limited resources. In this paper, we present the approach we developed to extract procedures, drugs, and diseases from oncology health records written in European Portuguese. This project was conducted in collaboration with the Portuguese Institute for Oncology which, besides holding over 10 years of duly protected medical records, also provided oncologist expertise throughout the development of the project. Since there is no annotated corpus for biomedical entity extraction in Portuguese, we also present the strategy we followed in annotating the corpus for the development of the models. The final models, which combined a neural architecture with entity linking, achieved..1 scores of 88.6, 95.0, and 55.8 per cent in the mention extraction of procedures, drugs, and diseases, respectively.

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