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Publications

Publications by Pedro Amorim

2022

Minimizing Food Waste in Grocery Store Operations: Literature Review and Research Agenda

Authors
Riesenegger, L; Santos, MJ; Ostermeier, M; Martins, S; Amorim, P; Hübner, A;

Publication
SSRN Electronic Journal

Abstract

2025

Analytics for smarter planning of retail operations

Authors
Amorim, P; Eng Larsson, F; Hübner, A;

Publication
International Journal of Production Economics

Abstract
This special issue showcases state-of-the-art research at the intersection of analytics and retail operations. As the retail landscape becomes increasingly complex – driven by omnichannel strategies, evolving customer expectations, and a surge in data availability – analytics has emerged as a critical enabler of operational efficiency, customer experience, responsiveness, and sustainability and ethics. Collectively, these contributions demonstrate how advanced analytics can support retailers in navigating uncertainty, personalizing services, and scaling up innovation across formats and channels. The articles featured in this issue address a diverse set of decision domains, including warehousing, inventory and assortment planning, and distribution and last-mile delivery. Methodologically, they span descriptive, prescriptive, and hybrid approaches, leveraging tools such as machine learning, stochastic modeling, and dynamic optimization. By grounding models in real-world data and focusing on practical implementation, the issue provides actionable insights for both scholars and practitioners. It also highlights emerging opportunities for future research on behavioral integration, human-machine collaboration, and the ethical dimensions of retail analytics. © 2025 Elsevier B.V.

2025

Navigating online order fulfillment failures: Impacts on future customer behavior and the role of retailer mitigation

Authors
Amorim, P; Eng-Larsson, F; Rooderkerk, RP;

Publication
JOURNAL OF RETAILING

Abstract
In online grocery retail, out-of-stocks can cause order fulfillment failures. Store-based fulfillment models have heightened this challenge. Here, online customers often receive orders not fulfilled as expected, with products being substituted, partially fulfilled, or reimbursed. When order fulfillment fails, the customer may change future ordering behavior by delaying the next order or by spending less in the online channel. Using data from the online operation of a leading omnichannel grocery retailer, we evaluate the magnitude of impact on the next order when the prior one is not fulfilled as expected. We also explore the role of retailer efforts in mitigating this impact. We find that failures significantly delay the time to the next order by 7.22% on average, with delays becoming more pronounced for non-perishable products. Spending reductions are especially evident when promoted items fail to ship. Mitigation efforts, substitutions in particular, often exacerbate delays and compound the dissatisfaction. Although substitutions help recover lost sales, they negatively impact future customer behavior. This suggests that selective stockout prevention, coupled with improved substitution practices, should be prioritized to optimize economic and customer outcomes.

2024

How Generative AI Can Support Advanced Analytics Practice

Authors
Amorim, P; Alves, J;

Publication
MIT SLOAN MANAGEMENT REVIEW

Abstract
[No abstract available]

2025

Fleet sizing with price-sensitive customers in Attended Home Delivery

Authors
Fernandes, D; Neves-Moreira, F; Amorim, P;

Publication
TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART E-LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORTATION REVIEW

Abstract
Retailers offering Attended Home Delivery (AHD) struggle with thin profit margins due to high delivery costs and constrained routing flexibility. AHD requires retailers and customers to agree on specific time windows, limiting operational efficiency and increasing fleet requirements, particularly when customer preferences tend to cluster around peak times. While retailers have some ability to influence customer choices through pricing and availability strategies, failing to account for fleet costs and delivery constraints can lead to inefficient operations and reduced profitability. This study introduces an integrated approach to fleet sizing and time-window pricing for price-sensitive customers. We propose a Mixed Integer Programming (MIP) model that maximizes profit by balancing revenue and delivery costs, leveraging a nonparametric rank-based choice model to capture customer behavior while explicitly considering routing constraints and fleet ownership expenses over multiple periods. Using computational experiments on small-sized instances inspired by real-world data, we evaluate the impact of explicitly modeling routing costs, compare different pricing strategies, examine the effects of multi-period fleet planning, and assess sensitivity to varying customer and cost conditions. Results show that explicitly modeling routing constraints reduces profit loss by 29% compared to traditional cost approximations but increases computational complexity. To address this, we develop a Fix & Optimize (F&O) matheuristic approximate solution method that enables the application of our model to larger instances. Our findings emphasize the need for retailers to integrate demand management and fleet planning to optimize operational profitability.

2025

Symbolic Pricing Policies for Attended Home Delivery - the Case of an Online Retailer

Authors
Lunet, M; Fernandes, D; Neves-Moreira, F; Amorim, P;

Publication
PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2025 GENETIC AND EVOLUTIONARY COMPUTATION CONFERENCE, GECCO 2025

Abstract
To get products delivered, clients and retailers agree on a delivery time window. We collaborated with an online retailer to develop a real-world application aimed at dynamically determining the delivery fee for each time window while ensuring the explainability of the pricing policy. This sequential decision-making problem arises as new customers continuously arrive. The objective is to maximize the final profit, given by the sum of baskets and delivery fees, discounted by the transportation and fleet costs. As multiple customers share the same delivery route, the costs are distributed among them, complicating the calculation of the marginal cost of each customer. Our study employs Genetic Programming (GP) to create explainable and easy-to-compute pricing policies to determine the delivery fees. These policies, expressed as mathematical formulas, rank price panels combinations of time slots and corresponding fees to identify optimal prices for each customer. The inputs to the GP algorithm capture the current state of the system, including factors such as capacity, customer location, and basket value. The resulting expressions offer operational managers a transparent pricing policy that allows them to maximize total profit.

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