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Publications

Publications by CPES

2021

A Data-Driven Approach to Forecasting Heating and Cooling Energy Demand in an Office Building as an Alternative to Multi-Zone Dynamic Simulation

Authors
Godinho, X; Bernardo, H; de Sousa, JC; Oliveira, FT;

Publication
APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL

Abstract
Nowadays, as more data is now available from an increasing number of installed sensors, load forecasting applied to buildings is being increasingly explored. The amount and quality of resulting information can provide inputs for smarter decisions when managing and operating office buildings. In this article, the authors use two data-driven methods (artificial neural networks and support vector machines) to predict the heating and cooling energy demand in an office building located in Lisbon, Portugal. In the present case-study, these methods prove to be an accurate and appealing alternative to the use of accurate but time-consuming multi-zone dynamic simulation tools, which strongly depend on several parameters to be inserted and user expertise to calibrate the model. Artificial neural networks and support vector machines were developed and parametrized using historical data and different sets of exogenous variables to encounter the best performance combinations for both the heating and cooling periods of a year. In the case of support vector regression, a variation introduced simulated annealing to guide the search for different combinations of hyperparameters. After a feature selection stage for each individual method, the results for the different methods were compared, based on error metrics and distributions. The outputs of the study include the most suitable methodology for each season, and also the features (historical load records, but also exogenous features such as outdoor temperature, relative humidity or occupancy profile) that led to the most accurate models. Results clearly show there is a potential for faster, yet accurate machine-learning based forecasting methods to replace well-established, very accurate but time-consuming multi-zone dynamic simulation tools to forecast building energy consumption.

2021

Hardware-In-the-Loop Simulation to Test Advanced Automation Devices in Power Distribution Networks

Authors
Reiz, C; Leite, JB;

Publication
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER DELIVERY

Abstract
The sustainable development of power distribution systems must evolve into smart grids, where advanced automation with fast communication channels is essential. The analysis of their behavior uses the Hardware-In-the-Loop simulation for studying normal and critical operating conditions. In this work, we propose a hybrid technique for transient simulation in distribution systems by combining the high sample rate of the time domain models for voltage profile and electrical current monitoring with the processing speed of algorithms that operate the quasi-stationary, or permanent, phasor models. The proposed simulation platform is also based on the state of the art of standardized communication protocols of the power system. Its evaluation is performed using the comparison with specialized commercial software to assess the transient simulation. The time overcurrent protection function and the verification of messages exchanged between the simulator and the tested device highlights the applicability of the proposed methodology.

2021

Impact analysis of distributed generation on protection devices coordination in power distribution systems

Authors
Reiz C.; Leite J.B.;

Publication
2021 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference - Latin America, ISGT Latin America 2021

Abstract
Integration of distributed generation in power distribution networks provides many advantages and challenges to electric power system. Among challenges are the increase in levels of short-circuit currents and changes of power flow direction. These characteristics can interfere in the interruption capacity of protection devices, which are responsible for maintaining the integrity of distribution networks. Therefore, it is essential to understand the effects of distributed generation on protection systems to determine strategies that aim to solve the challenges imposed by this technology. The present work, first, proposes the mathematical formulation to coordinate overcurrent relays and fuse links, considering permanent and temporary faults. The solution is obtained through a dedicated genetic algorithm. Subsequently, this solution method is analyzed under different levels of penetration of distributed generators, allowing to identify points most susceptible to loss of coordination.

2021

Stochastic Planning and Operational Constraint Assessment of System-Customer Power Supply Risks in Electricity Distribution Networks

Authors
Kisuule, M; Hernando-Gil, I; Serugunda, J; Namaganda-Kiyimba, J; Ndawula, MB;

Publication
Sustainability

Abstract
Electricity-distribution network operators face several operational constraints in the provision of safe and reliable power given that investments for network area reinforcement must be commensurate with improvements in network reliability. This paper provides an integrated approach for assessing the impact of different operational constraints on distribution-network reliability by incorporating component lifetime models, time-varying component failure rates, as well as the monetary cost of customer interruptions in an all-inclusive probabilistic methodology that applies a time-sequential Monte Carlo simulation. A test distribution network based on the Roy Billinton test system was modelled to investigate the system performance when overloading limits are exceeded as well as when preventive maintenance is performed. Standard reliability indices measuring the frequency and duration of interruptions and the energy not supplied were complemented with a novel monetary reliability index. The comprehensive assessment includes not only average indices but also their probability distributions to adequately describe the risk of customer interruptions. Results demonstrate the effectiveness of this holistic approach, as the impacts of operational decisions are assessed from both reliability and monetary perspectives. This informs network planning decisions through optimum investments and consideration of customer outage costs.

2021

Economic-Effective Multi-Energy Management Considering Voltage Regulation Networked With Energy Hubs

Authors
Zhao, P; Gu, C; Cao, Z; Hu, Z; Zhang, X; Chen, X; Hernando-Gil, I; Ding, Y;

Publication
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems

Abstract

2021

Distributionally Robust Hydrogen Optimization With Ensured Security and Multi-Energy Couplings

Authors
Zhao, P; Gu, C; Hu, Z; Xie, D; Hernando-Gil, I; Shen, Y;

Publication
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems

Abstract

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