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Publications

Publications by CPES

2006

Training a FIS with EPSO under an entropy criterion for wind power prediction

Authors
Miranda, V; Cerqueira, C; Monteiro, C;

Publication
2006 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, Vols 1 and 2

Abstract
This paper summarizes efforts in understanding the possible application of Information Theoretic Learning Principles to Power Systems. It presents the application of Renyi's Entropy combined with Parzen windows as a measure of information content of the error distribution in model parameter estimation in supervised learning. It illustrates the concept with an application to the prediction of power generated in a wind park, made by Takagi-Sugeno Fuzzy Inference Systems, whose parameters are discovered with an EPSO-Evolutionary Particle Swarm Optimization algorithm.

2006

Better prediction models for renewables by training with entropy concepts

Authors
Miranda, V; Cerqueira, C; Monteiro, C;

Publication
2006 POWER ENGINEERING SOCIETY GENERAL MEETING, VOLS 1-9

Abstract
Prediction models for generation from renewables are needed in the context of a power system with a diversified portfolio. The presentation will discuss a new criterion and procedure to develop prediction models based on Renyils Entropy combined with Parzen windows (an approach named Information Theoretic Learning) that is applied to wind prediction and suggested as a better training paradigm for fuzzy or neural systems.

2006

Wind power, distributed generation: New challenges, new solutions

Authors
Miranda, V;

Publication
Turkish Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences

Abstract
This paper discusses some issues related with the growing importance of wind power and in modern power systems and some challenges raised by the emergence of distributed generation, and how computational intelligence and other modern techniques have been able to provide valuable results in solving the new problems. It presents some solutions obtained with a number of computational intelligence techniques and their application to real cases. © TÜBITAK.

2006

Optimal phase balancing in distribution system using mixed-integer linear programming

Authors
Khodr, HM; Zerpa, IJ; De Oliveira De Jesus, PM; Matos, MA;

Publication
2006 IEEE/PES TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION CONFERENCE & EXPOSITION: LATIN AMERICA, VOLS 1-3

Abstract
Unbalanced feeders produce problems and risky situations since they can trip protection devices, reduce the efficiency and damage some appliances. Therefore achieve the balance of the networks will mean an improvement of the electric service and reduction expenses. The proposed program is a tool for balancing the electric networks; swapping loads among phases of the main lines, to assure that the loads average among the phases of the main lines not do not in large magnitudes. It is assumed that all loads have the same power factor and voltage drops are not considered. As a fundamental contribution of this work, an additional restriction is added to the mathematical model that avoids the introduction of additional phases.

2006

Application of Markov chain models for short-term generation assets valuation

Authors
Yu, W; Sheble, GB; Matos, MA;

Publication
PROBABILITY IN THE ENGINEERING AND INFORMATIONAL SCIENCES

Abstract
This paper valuates generation assets within deregulated electricity markets. A new framework for modeling electricity markets with a Markov chain model is proposed. The Markov chain model captures the fundamental economic forces underlying the electricity markets such as demand on electricity and supplied online generation capacity. Based on this new model, a real option analysis is adopted to valuate generation assets. The Markov chain model is combined with a binomial tree to approximate the stochastic movement of prices on both electric energy and ancillary services, which are driven by the market forces. A detailed example is presented. This method is shown to provide optimal operation policies and market values of generation assets. This method also provides means to analyze the impacts of demand growth patterns, competition strategies of competitors, and other key economic forces.

2006

Economic analysis of microgrids including reliability aspects

Authors
Moises Costa, P; Matos, MA;

Publication
2006 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, Vols 1 and 2

Abstract
Recently, the new concept of microgrid (mu G) has been emerging on distribution networks as a way to ease the integration of micro generation in LV networks and increase reliability. A mu G is an association of a low voltage distribution network, small modular generation systems (micro-generators), loads and storage devices having some local coordinated functions. This entity can operate in two different modes: interconnected or emergency. In the first mode, the microgrid is connected with the distribution network, importing or exporting electricity and/or ancillary services. When in emergency mode, the microgrid operates isolated from the distribution network and uses local resources, changing from power control to frequency control and, if necessary, shedding load. A micro grid will only be established if its promoters achieve sufficient advantages that justify the incurred costs, namely the investment, operation and maintenance costs. The main purpose of this paper is to identify all the relevant costs and benefits and build a decision model for the situation, taking into account the regulatory framework, which is essential for the definition of some of the benefits. The paper also shows how to include in the evaluation the risk associated to the uncertainties in data and parameters. An illustrative example is included that shows a possible situation of equilibrium between global costs and benefits.

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