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Publications

Publications by CPES

2017

Long Term Impacts of RES-E Promotion in the Brazilian Power System

Authors
Pires Coelho, MDP; Saraiva, JT; Pereira, AJC;

Publication
2017 IEEE MANCHESTER POWERTECH

Abstract
This paper analyzes the impact on market prices of the policies that have been adopted in Brazil to foster electricity from renewable energy sources (RES-E), namely wind power. In recent years the Brazilian Government implemented a series of policies that enabled a strong growth of RES-E. Recently more than 14 GW of wind and solar power were contracted. However, as most of the assets are concentrated in specific regions, these policies will induce price differences among areas of the country. In this scope, this paper describes a System Dynamics based model of the Brazilian generation system to evaluate the impact on prices from the deployment of these new sources. The paper describes simulations using realistic data for the Brazilian power system and the results suggest that the difference of prices in the country tend to increase since the Northeast region of the country concentrates most of the wind parks.

2017

Transmission System Planning Considering Solar Distributed Generation Penetration

Authors
Gomes, PV; Saraiva, JT;

Publication
2017 14TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET (EEM 17)

Abstract
In recent years, power systems have been watching important advancements related with Plug-in-Electrical Vehicles (PEVs), Demand Side Management (DSM), Distributed Generation (DG), Microgrid and Smart Grid installations that directly affect distribution networks while impacting indirectly on Transmission studies. These changes will lead to an extra flexibility on the transmission-distribution boundary and to a significant modification of the load patterns, that are an essential input to planning studies. In this scope, this paper describes a multiyear Transmission Expansion Planning (TEP) solved by Evolutionary Particle Swarm Optimization (EPSO) and incorporating the impact of solar DG penetration. The primary substation load profiles and the solar generation profiles are taken into account on the planning problem. The numerical simulations were conducted using the IEEE 24 bus reliability test system in which the planning horizon is 3 years and the load growth is 2.5 % per year. If demand and solar DG peaks are coincident, then the liquid demand seen by the transmission network gets reduced enabling a reduction of investment costs. In the tested cases, these peaks were not coincident so that the optimal expansion plan remains unchanged even though the injected power from DG is large. This stresses the fact that solar DG may not on an isolated way contribute to alleviate the demand seen by transmission networks but should be associated with storage devices or demand side management programs.

2017

Multiyear Transmission Expansion Planning Under Hydrological Uncertainty

Authors
Vilaca Gomes, PV; Saraiva, JT;

Publication
2017 IEEE MANCHESTER POWERTECH

Abstract
Hydrothermal systems should be characterized by a transmission-intensive nature in order to deal with climatic phenomena which, for example, can determine dry conditions in one region while there are large rainfalls in another one. Thus, the grid must be robust to deal with the different export/import patterns among regions and accommodate several economic dispatches. This paper describes a multiyear probabilistic Transmission Expansion Planning, TEP, model that uses Evolutionary Particle Swarm Optimization (EPSO) to deal with the uncertainties present in hydrothermal systems. The numerical simulations were conducted using the IEEE 24 bus reliability test system in which the planning horizon is 10 years and the load growth is 2,5% per year. The results highlight the importance of adopting expansion strategies to reduce the risk and consider the inflow variations in this type of systems.

2017

Hydro Scheduling Optimization Considering the Impact on Market Prices and Head Drop Using the linprog Function of MATLAB (R)

Authors
Silva e Castro, MSE; Sousa, JC; Saraiva, JT;

Publication
2017 IEEE MANCHESTER POWERTECH

Abstract
This paper describes an enhanced model for the Short Term Hydro Scheduling Problem, HSP, that includes the impact of operation decisions on the market prices and the possibility of adjusting the tailwater level and the generation and pumping efficiencies as a function of the flow. The solution approach uses an iterative procedure that solves in each iteration a linearized HSP problem using the linprog function of the MATLAB (R) Optimization Toolbox and that updates the value of the head to be used in the next iteration. The paper also includes results from a realistic Case Study based on the cascade of 9 hydro stations (4 of them with pumping) installed in the Portuguese section of the Douro River.

2017

Simulation of the Iberian Electricity Market Using an Agent Based Model and Considering Hydro Stations

Authors
Sousa, JC; Saraiva, JT;

Publication
2017 14TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET (EEM 17)

Abstract
In the last decades power systems witnessed the implementation of an organizational and operational restructuring that lead to the introduction of competitive mechanisms in some activities of the value chain. This is the case of generation and retailing with the development of wholesale and retail markets. These developments together with a renewed emphasis on the adoption of more sustainable solutions while maintaining adequate security of supply levels contributed to increase the interest of generation companies for models enabling the optimization of the use of generation assets or for models and tools to help them to prepare and test bidding strategies to the day-ahead markets. Having in mind the increased complexity of the operation of power systems, Agent-Based Models, ABM, are been used to complement the traditional optimization and equilibrium models, taking advantage of the interaction between agents acting in a simulation environment. In this scope, this paper describes an ABM model that uses Q-learning to provide knowledge for the agents to behave in an optimal way. This model is designed to mimic the main features of the common electricity market between Portugal and Spain, the MIBEL. Apart from describing the developed model, this paper also includes preliminary results from its application to the MIBEL case.

2017

Analyzing the influence of Climate Change in Brazilian Electricity Markets

Authors
Pires Coelho, MDP; Sariava, JT; Coelho Pereira, AJC;

Publication
2017 14TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET (EEM 17)

Abstract
The Brazilian Power System is mostly supplied by hydro-generation. In this context there is a strong connection between rain-fall regimes and the Electricity Prices in the short term market. This work describes the main features, developments and functioning of a System Dynamics model that simulates the four Brazilian short term electricity submarkets. Based on studies reporting the change in rainfall regimes in Brazil due to Climate Change, we analyze the impacts of these changes in each specific region and in the electricity markets as a whole. The results provide good insights on the impacts of Global Warming in the Brazilian Power System, indicating for instance that the Southeast/Center-West Electricity Submarket is the one that will be most affected by the global issue in terms of rise in the electricity prices.

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