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Publications

Publications by CPES

2019

Proactive management of distribution grids with chance-constrained linearized AC OPF

Authors
Soares, T; Bessa, RJ;

Publication
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL POWER & ENERGY SYSTEMS

Abstract
Distribution system operators (DSO) are currently moving towards active distribution grid management. One goal is the development of tools for operational planning of flexibility from distributed energy resources (DER) in order to solve potential (predicted) congestion and voltage problems. This work proposes an innovative flexibility management function based on stochastic and chance-constrained optimization that copes with forecast uncertainty from renewable energy sources (RES). Furthermore, the model allows the decision-maker to integrate its attitude towards risk by considering a trade-off between operating costs and system reliability. RES forecast uncertainty is modeled through spatial-temporal trajectories or ensembles. An AC-OPF linearization that approximates the actual behavior of the system is included, ensuring complete convexity of the problem. McCormick and big-M relaxation methods are compared to reformulate the chance-constrained optimization problem. The discussion and comparison of the proposed models is carried out through a case study based on actual generation data, where operating costs, system reliability and computer performance are evaluated.

2019

Explanatory and Causal Analysis of the MIBEL Electricity Market Spot Price

Authors
Goncalves, C; Ribeiro, M; Viana, J; Fernandes, R; Villar, J; Bessa, R; Correia, G; Sousa, J; Mendes, V; Nunes, AC;

Publication
2019 IEEE MILAN POWERTECH

Abstract
This paper analyzes the electricity prices of the MIBEL electricity spot market with respect to a set of possible explanatory variables. Understanding the main drivers of the electricity price is a key aspect in understanding price formation and in developing forecasting models, which are essential for the selling and buying strategies of market agents. For this analysis, different techniques have been applied in this work, including standard and lasso regression models, causal analysis based on bayesian networks and classification trees. Results from the different approaches are coherent and show strong dependency of the electricity prices with the Portuguese imported coal for lower non-dispatchable net demands, which has been progressively replaced by gas for larger non-dispatchable net demands. Hydro reservoirs and hydro production are also main explanatory variables of the electricity price for all non-dispatchable net demand levels.

2019

Load Forecasting Benchmark for Smart Meter Data

Authors
Viana, J; Bessa, RJ; Sousa, J;

Publication
2019 IEEE MILAN POWERTECH

Abstract
Actual integration of high-tech devices brings opportunities for better monitoring, management and control of low voltage networks. In this new paradigm, efficient tools should cope with the great amount of dispersed and considerably distinct data to support smarter decisions in almost real time. Besides the use of tools to enable an optimal network reconfiguration and integration of dispersed and renewable generation, the impact evaluation of integrating storage systems, accurate load forecasting methods must be found even when applied to individual consumers (characterized by the high presence of noise in time series). As this effort becomes providential in the smart grids context, this article compares three different approaches: one based on Kernel Density Estimation, an alternative based on Artificial Neural Networks and a method using Support Vector Machines. The first two methods revealed unequivocal benefits when compared to a Naive method consisting of a simple reproduction of the last available day.

2019

Low Voltage Grid Data Visualisation with a Frame Representation and Cognitive Architecture

Authors
Pereira, M; Bessa, RJ; Gouveia, C;

Publication
2019 IEEE MILAN POWERTECH

Abstract
While the transmission system benefits from a high observability, the distribution system has a relatively low level of observability. This problem is already being addressed with the deployment of smart meters, in an effort to make the smart grid concept a reality. Nevertheless, as observability increases, so too does the volume of data, which makes the development of advanced software tools a very important subject. In this paper, the application of image analysis techniques to a low voltage grid is explored, by converting voltage data into an image format, using a cognitive network to evaluate and cluster grid operating modes. The proposed method is applied to a 33-bus low voltage grid to evaluate voltage profiles at each bus and the associated technical limits (voltage limits alarms).

2019

Data-driven predictive energy optimization in a wastewater pumping station

Authors
Filipe, J; Bessa, RJ; Reis, M; Alves, R; Povoa, P;

Publication
APPLIED ENERGY

Abstract
Urban wastewater sector is being pushed to optimize processes in order to reduce energy consumption without compromising its quality standards. Energy costs can represent a significant share of the global operational costs (between 50% and 60%) in an intensive energy consumer. Pumping is the largest consumer of electrical energy in a wastewater treatment plant. Thus, the optimal control of pump units can help the utilities to decrease operational costs. This work describes an innovative predictive control policy for wastewater variable-frequency pumps that minimize electrical energy consumption, considering uncertainty forecasts for wastewater intake rate and information collected by sensors accessible through the Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition system. The proposed control method combines statistical learning (regression and predictive models) and deep reinforcement learning (Proximal Policy Optimization). The following main original contributions are produced: (i) model-free and data-driven predictive control; (ii) control philosophy focused on operating the tank with a variable wastewater set-point level; (iii) use of supervised learning to generate synthetic data for pre-training the reinforcement learning policy, without the need to physically interact with the system. The results for a real case-study during 90 days show a 16.7% decrease in electrical energy consumption while still achieving a 97% reduction in the number of alarms (tank level above 7.2 m) when compared with the current operating scenario (operating with a fixed set-point level). The numerical analysis showed that the proposed data-driven method is able to explore the trade-off between number of alarms and consumption minimization, offering different options to decision-makers.

2019

Business models for Peer-to-Peer Energy Markets

Authors
Rocha, R; Villar, J; Bessa, RJ;

Publication
2019 16TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET (EEM)

Abstract
The increasing penetration of Distributed Energy Resources is changing the energy system by empowering consumers with the capacity to generate the electrical energy they need and sell its excess. This trend follows the EU strategy towards increasing competition and flexibility on the electricity market, as well as pushing the role of customers, expanding their rights and their involvement in energy communities (ECMs). Peer-to-Peer (P2P) energy markets appear as one of the possible solutions to accomplish these goals by providing direct energy trading between peers. Although P2P are being extensively addressed in the literature (e.g., market structures and platforms, experimental projects), few works offer a broad perspective of the different aspects involved in the actual implementation of these structures, as well as the real benefits that this type of markets can have for the players and for the system itself. This paper reviews business models related with ECMs and P2P markets, and the system benefits and main regulatory issues.

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