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Publications

Publications by SYSTEM

2022

Traffic State Prediction Using One-Dimensional Convolution Neural Networks and Long Short-Term Memory

Authors
Reza, S; Ferreira, MC; Machado, JJM; Tavares, JMRS;

Publication
APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL

Abstract
Traffic prediction is a vitally important keystone of an intelligent transportation system (ITS). It aims to improve travel route selection, reduce overall carbon emissions, mitigate congestion, and enhance safety. However, efficiently modelling traffic flow is challenging due to its dynamic and non-linear behaviour. With the availability of a vast number of data samples, deep neural network-based models are best suited to solve these challenges. However, conventional network-based models lack robustness and accuracy because of their incapability to capture traffic's spatial and temporal correlations. Besides, they usually require data from adjacent roads to achieve accurate predictions. Hence, this article presents a one-dimensional (1D) convolution neural network (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM)-based traffic state prediction model, which was evaluated using the Zenodo and PeMS datasets. The model used three stacked layers of 1D CNN, and LSTM with a logarithmic hyperbolic cosine loss function. The 1D CNN layers extract the features from the data, and the goodness of the LSTM is used to remember the past events to leverage them for the learnt features for traffic state prediction. A comparative performance analysis of the proposed model against support vector regression, standard LSTM, gated recurrent units (GRUs), and CNN and GRU-based models under the same conditions is also presented. The results demonstrate very encouraging performance of the proposed model, improving the mean absolute error, root mean squared error, mean percentage absolute error, and coefficient of determination scores by a mean of 16.97%, 52.1%, 54.15%, and 7.87%, respectively, relative to the baselines under comparison.

2022

A multi-head attention-based transformer model for traffic flow forecasting with a comparative analysis to recurrent neural networks

Authors
Reza, S; Ferreira, MC; Machado, JJM; Tavares, JMRS;

Publication
EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS

Abstract
Traffic flow forecasting is an essential component of an intelligent transportation system to mitigate congestion. Recurrent neural networks, particularly gated recurrent units and long short-term memory, have been the stateof-the-art traffic flow forecasting models for the last few years. However, a more sophisticated and resilient model is necessary to effectively acquire long-range correlations in the time-series data sequence under analysis. The dominant performance of transformers by overcoming the drawbacks of recurrent neural networks in natural language processing might tackle this need and lead to successful time-series forecasting. This article presents a multi-head attention based transformer model for traffic flow forecasting with a comparative analysis between a gated recurrent unit and a long-short term memory-based model on PeMS dataset in this context. The model uses 5 heads with 5 identical layers of encoder and decoder and relies on Square Subsequent Masking techniques. The results demonstrate the promising performance of the transform-based model in predicting long-term traffic flow patterns effectively after feeding it with substantial amount of data. It also demonstrates its worthiness by increasing the mean squared errors and mean absolute percentage errors by (1.25 - 47.8)% and (32.4 - 83.8)%, respectively, concerning the current baselines.

2022

Supply Chain Resiliency in the Pharmaceutical Industry – a Simulation-Based Approach

Authors
da Silva, ACT; de Sousa, JP; Marques, CM;

Publication
Proceedings of the International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management

Abstract

2022

Real-Time Detection of Vehicle-Based Logistics Operations

Authors
Ribeiro, J; Tavares, J; Fontes, T;

Publication
INTELLIGENT TRANSPORT SYSTEMS (INTSYS 2021)

Abstract
Geolocation data is fundamental to businesses relying on vehicles such as logistics and transportation. With the advance of the technology, collecting geolocation data become increasingly accessible and affordable, which raised new opportunities for business intelligence. This paper addresses the application of geolocation data for monitoring logistics processes, namely for detecting vehicle-based operations in real time. A stream of geolocation entries is used for inferring stationary events. Data from an international logistics company is used as a case study, in which operations of loading/unloading of goods are not only identified but also quantified. The results of the case study demonstrate the effectiveness of the solution, showing that logistics operations can be inferred from geolocation data. Further meaningful information may be extracted from these inferred operations using process mining techniques.

2022

Detection of vehicle-based operations from geolocation data

Authors
Tavares, J; Ribeiro, J; Fontes, T;

Publication
Transportation Research Procedia

Abstract
Geolocation data identifies the geographic location of people or objects, which may unveil the performance of some activity or operation. A good example is, if a vehicle is in a gas station then one may assume that the vehicle is being refuelled. This work aims to obtain vehicle-based operations from geolocation data by analysing the stationary states of vehicles, which may identify some motionless event (e.g. bus line stops and traffic incidents). Ultimately, these operations may be analysed with Process Mining techniques in order to discover the most significant ones and extract process related information. In this work, we studied the application of diverse approaches for detecting vehicle-based operations and identified different operations related to the bus services. The operations were also characterized according the distribution of their events, allowing to identify specific operations characteristics. The public transport network of Rio de Janeiro is used as a case study, which is supported by a real-time data stream of buses geolocations.

2022

The impact of time windows constraints on metaheuristics implementation: a study for the Discrete and Dynamic Berth Allocation Problem

Authors
Barbosa, F; Rampazzo, PCB; de Azevedo, AT; Yamakami, A;

Publication
APPLIED INTELLIGENCE

Abstract
This paper describes the development of a mechanism to deal with time windows constraints. To the best of our knowledge, the time windows constraints are difficult to be fulfilled even for state-of-the-art methods. Therefore, the main contribution of this paper is to propose a new computational technique to deal with such constraints to ensure the algorithm convergence. We test such technique in two metaheuristics to solve the discrete and dynamic Berth Allocation Problem. A data set generator was created, resulting in a diversity of problems in terms of time windows constraints. A detailed computational analysis was carried out to compare the performance for each metaheuristic.

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