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Publications

Publications by HumanISE

2023

Rule-Based System for Intelligent Energy Management in Buildings

Authors
Jozi, A; Pinto, T; Gomes, L; Marreiros, G; Vale, Z;

Publication
PROGRESS IN ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, EPIA 2023, PT II

Abstract
The widespread of distributed renewable energy is leading to an increased need for advanced energy management solutions in buildings. The variability of generation needs to be balanced by consumer flexibility, which needs to be accomplished by keeping the consumption cost as low as possible, while guaranteeing consumer comfort. This paper proposes a rule-based system with the aim of generating recommendations for actions regarding the energy management of different energy consumption devices, namely lights and air conditioning. The proposed set of rules considers the forecasted values of building generation, consumption, user presence in different rooms and energy prices. In this way, building energy management systems are endowed with increased adaptability and reliability considering the lowering of energy costs and maintenance of user comfort. Results, using real data from an office building, demonstrate the appropriateness of the proposed model in generating recommendations that are in line with current context.

2023

Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence, Special Sessions I, 20th International Conference, Guimaraes, Portugal, 12-14 July 2023

Authors
Mehmood, R; Alves, V; Praça, I; Wikarek, J; Domínguez, JP; Loukanova, R; Miguel, Id; Pinto, T; Nunes, RR; Ricca, M;

Publication
DCAI (2)

Abstract

2023

Editorial: Explainability in knowledge-based systems and machine learning models for smart grids

Authors
Santos, G; Pinto, T; Ramos, C; Corchado, JM;

Publication
FRONTIERS IN ENERGY RESEARCH

Abstract
[No abstract available]

2023

Application of XAI-based framework for PV Energy Generation Forecasting

Authors
Teixeira, B; Carvalhais, L; Pinto, T; Vale, Z;

Publication
2023 IEEE CONFERENCE ON ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, CAI

Abstract
The structural changes in the energy sector caused by renewable sources and digitization have resulted in an increased use of Artificial Intelligence (AI), including Machine Learning (ML) models. However, these models' black-box nature and complexity can create issues with transparency and trust, thereby hindering their interpretability. The use of Explainable AI (XAI) can offer a solution to these challenges. This paper explores the application of an XAI-based framework to analyze and evaluate a photovoltaic energy generation forecasting problem and contribute to the trustworthiness of ML solutions.

2023

Automated energy management and learning

Authors
Santos, G; Teixeira, B; Pinto, T; Vale, Z;

Publication
2023 IEEE CONFERENCE ON ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, CAI

Abstract
Automatic energy management systems allow users' active participation in flexibility management while assuring their energy demands. We propose a transparent framework for automated energy management to increase trust and improve the learning process, combining machine learning, experts' knowledge, and semantic reasoning. A practical example of thermal comfort shows the advantages of the framework.

2023

Study of Forecasting Methods' Impact in Wholesale Electricity Market Participation

Authors
Teixeira, B; Faia, R; Pinto, T; Vale, Z;

Publication
DCAI (2)

Abstract
Renewable energy sources have transformed the electricity market, allowing virtual power players or aggregators to participate and benefit from selling surplus energy. However, meeting demand and ensuring energy production stability can be challenging due to the intermittent nature of renewable sources. Accurate forecasting of energy consumption, generation, and electricity prices is critical to address these issues. Moreover, the selection of the best algorithm for forecasting is usually based on the predictions’ accuracy, neglecting other factors such as the impact of errors on the real context. This paper presents a study on the economic risk of price forecasting errors on the electricity market’s trading. For this, a simulation model is proposed to analyze the deviations between actual and predicted prices and how these deviations can affect trading in the electricity market, where the main purpose is to maximize profit, depending on whether the player is buying or selling electricity. The economic risk analysis and the predictions scores are used to improve the forecasts, using an approach based on reinforcement learning to evaluating and selecting which models demonstrated better performance in past transactions. The study involved simulating an aggregator’s transactions in the Iberian electricity market for two consecutive days in October 2021. Real data from the market operator between 2020 and 2021 and seven forecasting models were used. The findings showed that errors have a significant impact on profit. Including the economic impact analysis and score evaluation of forecasting methods to determine which method can offer better results has proven to be a viable approach.

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