2024
Autores
Tuna, R; Baghoussi, Y; Soares, C; Mendes Moreira, J;
Publicação
ADVANCES IN INTELLIGENT DATA ANALYSIS XXII, PT II, IDA 2024
Abstract
Forecasting methods are affected by data quality issues in two ways: 1. they are hard to predict, and 2. they may affect the model negatively when it is updated with new data. The latter issue is usually addressed by pre-processing the data to remove those issues. An alternative approach has recently been proposed, Corrector LSTM (cLSTM), which is a Read & Write Machine Learning (RW-ML) algorithm that changes the data while learning to improve its predictions. Despite promising results being reported, cLSTM is computationally expensive, as it uses a meta-learner to monitor the hidden states of the LSTM. We propose a new RW-ML algorithm, Kernel Corrector LSTM (KcLSTM), that replaces the meta-learner of cLSTM with a simpler method: Kernel Smoothing. We empirically evaluate the forecasting accuracy and the training time of the new algorithm and compare it with cLSTM and LSTM. Results indicate that it is able to decrease the training time while maintaining a competitive forecasting accuracy.
2024
Autores
Schell, L; Cleto, B; Schlemmer, E;
Publicação
Academic Proceedings of the 10th International Conference of the Immersive Learning Research Network (iLRN2024)
Abstract
2024
Autores
Lysak, M; Silva, G; Almeida, C; Martins, A; Almeida, J;
Publicação
OCEANS 2024 - SINGAPORE
Abstract
The increasing development of Unmanned Surface Vehicles (USVs) for various applications in open and shallow waters has increased demand for more advanced USVs with improved safety and navigation systems. This article introduces a collision avoidance system for USVs that complies with the International Regulations for Preventing Collisions at Sea (COLREG) rules, particularly rules 13 to 18 from Part B - Steering and Sailing. The system utilizes a three-block architecture for risk assessment, situation identification, and path replanning. Practical testing and validation were conducted using the Stonefish simulator, demonstrating the system's effectiveness in ensuring compliance with COLREG rules and facilitating safe navigation of USVs.
2024
Autores
Fernandes, G; Fontes, H; Campos, R;
Publicação
CoRR
Abstract
2024
Autores
Teixeira, M; Oliveira, JM; Ramos, P;
Publicação
MACHINE LEARNING AND KNOWLEDGE EXTRACTION
Abstract
Retailers depend on accurate sales forecasts to effectively plan operations and manage supply chains. These forecasts are needed across various levels of aggregation, making hierarchical forecasting methods essential for the retail industry. As competition intensifies, the use of promotions has become a widespread strategy, significantly impacting consumer purchasing behavior. This study seeks to improve forecast accuracy by incorporating promotional data into hierarchical forecasting models. Using a sales dataset from a major Portuguese retailer, base forecasts are generated for different hierarchical levels using ARIMA models and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) neural networks. Reconciliation methods including bottom-up, top-down, and optimal reconciliation with OLS and WLS (struct) estimators are employed. The results show that MLPs outperform ARIMA models for forecast horizons longer than one day. While the addition of regressors enhances ARIMA's accuracy, it does not yield similar improvements for MLP. MLPs present a compelling balance of simplicity and efficiency, outperforming ARIMA in flexibility while offering faster training times and lower computational demands compared to more complex deep learning models, making them highly suitable for practical retail forecasting applications.
2024
Autores
Soares, AL; Gomes, J; Zimmermann, R; Rhodes, D; Dorner, V;
Publicação
NAVIGATING UNPREDICTABILITY: COLLABORATIVE NETWORKS IN NON-LINEAR WORLDS, PRO-VE 2024, PT I
Abstract
For decades, the collaborative networks community has studied supply chains, focusing on trust, visibility, collaboration, and innovation, with emergent technologies being a key area of research. The rise of digital technologies has led to extensive studies on supply chain digital transformation. With the surge of AI-based technologies, there is an increasing body of research on AI's human and social impact on Supply Chain Management (SCM). However, while Socio-Technical Systems (STS) thinking has been applied to digital transformations, it has not yet addressed AI-induced changes in supply chains. This paper synthesises recent research on AI integration in SCM and the use of STS thinking in AI systems design. We propose a mapping approach for profiling AI-induced supply chain transformations for strategic design. We also present the Supply Chain Socio-Technical AI (SC-STAI) profiling tool in practice, demonstrating how it maps supply chain participants' current and desired states regarding AI integration.
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