2009
Autores
Vale, ZA; Ramos, C; Ramos, S; Pinto, T;
Publicação
T& D ASIA: 2009 TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION CONFERENCE & EXPOSITION: ASIA AND PACIFIC
Abstract
Presently power system operation produces huge volumes of data that is still treated in a very limited way. Knowledge discovery and machine learning can make use of these data resulting in relevant knowledge with very positive impact. In the context of competitive electricity markets these data is of even higher value making clear the trend to make data mining techniques application in power systems more relevant. This paper presents two cases based on real data, showing the importance of the use of data mining for supporting demand response and for supporting player strategic behavior.
2011
Autores
Vale, Z; Pinto, T; Morais, H; Praca, I; Faria, P;
Publicação
2011 IEEE POWER AND ENERGY SOCIETY GENERAL MEETING
Abstract
The increase of distributed generation (DG) has brought about new challenges in electrical networks electricity markets and in DG units operation and management. Several approaches are being developed to manage the emerging potential of DG, such as Virtual Power Players (VPPs), which aggregate DG plants; and Smart Grids, an approach that views generation and associated loads as a subsystem. This paper presents a multi-level negotiation mechanism for Smart Grids optimal operation and negotiation in the electricity markets, considering the advantages of VPPs' management. The proposed methodology is implemented and tested in MASCEM - a multiagent electricity market simulator, developed to allow deep studies of the interactions between the players that take part in the electricity market negotiations.
2011
Autores
Vale, Z; Pinto, T; Praca, I; Morais, H;
Publicação
IEEE INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS
Abstract
Electricity markets are complex environments, involving numerous entities trying to obtain the best advantages and profits while limited by power-network characteristics and constraints. This article proposes a new methodology integrated in MASCEM for bid definition in electricity markets. This methodology uses reinforcement learning algorithms to let players perceive changes in the environment, thus helping them react to the dynamic environment and adapt their bids accordingly. The system operator is usually responsible for managing the transmission grid and all the involved technical constraints. The market operator must assure that the economical dispatch accounts for the specified conditions, which might imply removing entities that have presented competitive bids but whose complex conditions were not satisfied. This result demonstrates that several algorithms can be combined with distinct characteristics.
2012
Autores
Sousa, T; Pinto, T; Morais, H; Vale, Z;
Publicação
2012 3RD IEEE PES INNOVATIVE SMART GRID TECHNOLOGIES EUROPE (ISGT EUROPE)
Abstract
The smart grid concept appears as a suitable solution to guarantee the power system operation in the new electricity paradigm with electricity markets and integration of large amounts of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs). Virtual Power Player (VPP) will have a significant importance in the management of a smart grid. In the context of this new paradigm, Electric Vehicles (EVs) rise as a good available resource to be used as a DER by a VPP. This paper presents the application of the Simulated Annealing (SA) technique to solve the Energy Resource Management (ERM) of a VPP. It is also presented a new heuristic approach to intelligently handle the charge and discharge of the EVs. This heuristic process is incorporated in the SA technique, in order to improve the results of the ERM. The case study shows the results of the ERM for a 33-bus distribution network with three different EVs penetration levels, i.e., with 1000, 2000 and 3000 EVs. The results of the proposed adaptation of the SA technique are compared with a previous SA version and a deterministic technique.
2012
Autores
Sousa, TM; Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Praca, I; Morais, H;
Publicação
HIGHLIGHTS ON PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS OF AGENTS AND MULTI-AGENT SYSTEMS
Abstract
Electricity markets are complex environments, involving a large number of different entities, playing in a dynamic scene to obtain the best advantages and profits. MASCEM is a multi-agent electricity market simulator to model market players and simulate their operation in the market. Market players are entities with specific characteristics and objectives, making their decisions and interacting with other players. MASCEM provides several dynamic strategies for agents' behaviour. This paper presents a method that aims to provide market players strategic bidding capabilities, allowing them to obtain the higher possible gains out of the market. This method uses an auxiliary forecasting tool, e.g. an Artificial Neural Network, to predict the electricity market prices, and analyses its forecasting error patterns. Through the recognition of such patterns occurrence, the method predicts the expected error for the next forecast, and uses it to adapt the actual forecast. The goal is to approximate the forecast to the real value, reducing the forecasting error.
2012
Autores
Pinto, T; Sousa, TM; Vale, Z; Praca, I; Morais, H;
Publicação
HIGHLIGHTS ON PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS OF AGENTS AND MULTI-AGENT SYSTEMS
Abstract
Metalearning is a subfield of machine learning with special propensity for dynamic and complex environments, from which it is difficult to extract predictable knowledge. The field of study of this work is the electricity market, which due to the restructuring that recently took place, became an especially complex and unpredictable environment, involving a large number of different entities, playing in a dynamic scene to obtain the best advantages and profits. This paper presents the development of a metalearner, applied to the decision support of electricity markets' negotiation entities. The proposed metalearner takes advantage on several learning algorithms implemented in ALBidS, an adaptive learning system that provides decision support to electricity markets' participating players. Using the outputs of each different strategy as inputs, the metalearner creates its own output, considering each strategy with a different weight, depending on its individual quality of performance. The results of the proposed method are studied and analyzed using MASCEM - a multi-agent electricity market simulator that models market players and simulates their operation in the market. This simulator provides the chance to test the metalearner in scenarios based on real electricity markets' data.
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