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Publicações

Publicações por João Gama

2012

Predicting Ramp Events with a Stream-Based HMM Framework

Autores
Ferreira, CA; Gama, J; Costa, VS; Miranda, V; Botterud, A;

Publicação
Discovery Science - 15th International Conference, DS 2012, Lyon, France, October 29-31, 2012. Proceedings

Abstract
The motivation for this work is the study and prediction of wind ramp events occurring in a large-scale wind farm located in the US Midwest. In this paper we introduce the SHRED framework, a stream-based model that continuously learns a discrete HMM model from wind power and wind speed measurements. We use a supervised learning algorithm to learn HMM parameters from discretized data, where ramp events are HMM states and discretized wind speed data are HMM observations. The discretization of the historical data is obtained by running the SAX algorithm over the first order variations in the original signal. SHRED updates the HMM using the most recent historical data and includes a forgetting mechanism to model natural time dependence in wind patterns. To forecast ramp events we use recent wind speed forecasts and the Viterbi algorithm, that incrementally finds the most probable ramp event to occur. We compare SHRED framework against Persistence baseline in predicting ramp events occurring in short-time horizons, ranging from 30 minutes to 90 minutes. SHRED consistently exhibits more accurate and cost-effective results than the baseline. © 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.

2008

Wind Power Forecasting With Entropy-Based Criteria Algorithms

Autores
Bessa, R; Miranda, V; Gama, J;

Publicação
2008 10TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON PROBABILISTIC METHODS APPLIED TO POWER SYSTEMS

Abstract
This paper reports new results in adopting entropy concepts to the training of mappers such as neural networks to perform wind power prediction as a function of wind characteristics (mainly speed and direction) in wind parks connected to a power grid. Renyi's Entropy is combined with a Parzen Windows estimation of the error pdf to form the basis of three criteria (MEE, MCC and MEEF) under which neural networks are trained. The results are favourably compared with the traditional minimum square error (MSE) criterion. Real case examples for two distinct wind parks are presented.

2023

Explainable Predictive Maintenance

Autores
Pashami, S; Nowaczyk, S; Fan, Y; Jakubowski, J; Paiva, N; Davari, N; Bobek, S; Jamshidi, S; Sarmadi, H; Alabdallah, A; Ribeiro, RP; Veloso, B; Mouchaweh, MS; Rajaoarisoa, LH; Nalepa, GJ; Gama, J;

Publicação
CoRR

Abstract

2025

Modeling events and interactions through temporal processes: A survey

Autores
Liguori, A; Caroprese, L; Minici, M; Veloso, B; Spinnato, F; Nanni, M; Manco, G; Gama, J;

Publicação
NEUROCOMPUTING

Abstract
In real-world scenarios, numerous phenomena generate a series of events that occur in continuous time. Point processes provide a natural mathematical framework for modeling these event sequences. In this comprehensive survey, we aim to explore probabilistic models that capture the dynamics of event sequences through temporal processes. We revise the notion of event modeling and provide the mathematical foundations that underpin the existing literature on this topic. To structure our survey effectively, we introduce an ontology that categorizes the existing approaches considering three horizontal axes: modeling, inference and estimation, and application. We conduct a systematic review of the existing approaches, with a particular focus on those leveraging deep learning techniques. Finally, we delve into the practical applications where these proposed techniques can be harnessed to address real-world problems related to event modeling. Additionally, we provide a selection of benchmark datasets that can be employed to validate the approaches for point processes. © 2025 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.

2023

Towards federated learning: An overview of methods and applications

Autores
Silva, PR; Vinagre, J; Gama, J;

Publicação
WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-DATA MINING AND KNOWLEDGE DISCOVERY

Abstract
Federated learning (FL) is a collaborative, decentralized privacy-preserving method to attach the challenges of storing data and data privacy. Artificial intelligence, machine learning, smart devices, and deep learning have strongly marked the last years. Two challenges arose in data science as a result. First, the regulation protected the data by creating the General Data Protection Regulation, in which organizations are not allowed to keep or transfer data without the owner's authorization. Another challenge is the large volume of data generated in the era of big data, and keeping that data in one only server becomes increasingly tricky. Therefore, the data is allocated into different locations or generated by devices, creating the need to build models or perform calculations without transferring data to a single location. The new term FL emerged as a sub-area of machine learning that aims to solve the challenge of making distributed models with privacy considerations. This survey starts by describing relevant concepts, definitions, and methods, followed by an in-depth investigation of federated model evaluation. Finally, we discuss three promising applications for further research: anomaly detection, distributed data streams, and graph representation.This article is categorized under:Technologies > Machine LearningTechnologies > Artificial Intelligence

2022

Contextualization for the Organization of Text Documents Streams

Autores
Sarmento, RP; Cardoso, DdO; Gama, J; Brazdil, P;

Publicação
CoRR

Abstract

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