Abstract
The European Union (EU) energy strategy towards decarbonization led EU countries to elaborate their corresponding National Energy and Climate Plans (NECP) for the period 2021 to 2030. This paper analyzes the Portuguese and Spanish NECPs concerning their power systems. CEVESA, a model for the long-term planning and operation of the Iberian electricity system, is used. The analysis is based on simulating the reference NECP scenario, as well as other alternative scenarios with different solar and wind generation shares, CO2 prices and fuel costs. Results provide insights on the MIBEL electricity market evolution under the current decarbonization national strategies. © 2020 IEEE.

Abstract
The green hydrogen (H-2) technology has an important role to play in the European Union energy strategy towards decarbonization. Apart from traditional H-2 industrial usages, there is an increasing attention to its use in the heavy transport sector, in other energy-intensive industries, and in heating applications. Green H-2 production is planned to be based on renewable electricity generation and its production at an industrial scale may have a significant impact on the electricity markets. This research assesses the electricity cost of producing H-2 and its impact on the Iberian electricity market. Different evolution scenarios including a partially flexible H-2 demand, based on the Spanish and Portuguese energy and climate plans, have been considered for this assessment.

Abstract
Fundamental electricity market models tend to underestimate the real market prices because they do not properly represent the real variable production cost of the generation units, nor the strategic markup that generation companies add to their costs to price the offered energy. This markup can increase bid prices above the marginal cost of the generation units, which may leave bids out of the market, decreasing the total cleared production, but increasing the final market price. This paper proposes a simple procedure, based on the real market outcomes, to estimate these markups and improve CEVESA MIBEL market model by reducing the gap between the simulated and the real market prices.

Abstract
The recent updates of the National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) for Portugal and Spain have some significant changes compared to the previous 2019 versions, especially for the Portuguese side where a greater demand and renewable generation capacity are foreseen. This work assesses the impact of these new plans on the Iberian electricity market (MIBEL) main outcomes using CEVESA market model. Simulation results allow the analysis of the expected generation mix and prices, CO2 emissions, system cost, system adequacy, interconnections capacity usage, H2 demand impact and its contribution to provide balancing flexibility, under different simulation scenarios.

Abstract
The mobility sector is expected to significantly impact the power system by deploying battery electric vehicles (BEV) and fuel cell vehicles (FCEV). This work improves CEVESA, a market model for the long-term planning and operation of the Iberian Electricity Market, by modelling FCEV as an alternative to BEV and internal combustion vehicles (ICEV), and its impact on the H-2 demand and storage. The mobility and H-2 economy models interact with the power system through the electricity needs and price. CEVESA is then applied to estimate potential expansion paths of ICEV, BEV and FCEV mobility alternatives considering the total system costs and the EU decarbonization strategy. The findings suggest that if FCEVs technology matures, it could rival BEVs, offering greater system flexibility via electrolyzers and extended driving ranges for users.

Abstract
Portugal's electricity generation relies heavily on renewable sources, which accounted for over half of the country's production in recent years. The Portuguese government has set ambitious renewable energy targets for 2030. The R3EA project (https://r3ea.web.ua.pt/pt/projeto) evaluates the impact of new investments in solar and wind energy capacity in the Centro Region of Portugal, focusing on the costs and benefits of externalities. This study examines Portugal's electricity market outcomes in terms of prices, generation mix, and emissions for different wind and solar capacities, using the National Energy and Climate Plans (NECP) of Portugal and Spain as the reference scenario. The electricity markets of both countries are modelled together, reflecting the integrated Iberian market with significant interconnections. The NECP scenario results in lower market prices and emissions, but less significantly than scenarios with lower demand and higher renewable energy share. In all scenarios, increasing renewable energy sources drives market prices down from over 200/MWh in 2022 to under 100/MWh during peak hours in 2030. Demand is the main driver of emissions, as higher demand leads to more reliance on fossil fuel plants. Lower demand scenarios in 2030 show 20 % fewer CO2 emissions per TWh than higher demand ones.