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Publicações

Publicações por Carlos Manuel Soares

2012

Comparing state-of-the-art regression methods for long term travel time prediction

Autores
Mendes Moreira, J; Jorge, AM; de Sousa, JF; Soares, C;

Publicação
INTELLIGENT DATA ANALYSIS

Abstract
Long-term travel time prediction (TTP) can be an important planning tool for both freight transport and public transport companies. In both cases it is expected that the use of long-term TTP can improve the quality of the planned services by reducing the error between the actual and the planned travel times. However, for reasons that we try to stretch out along this paper, long-term TTP is almost not mentioned in the scientific literature. In this paper we discuss the relevance of this study and compare three non-parametric state-of-the-art regression methods: Projection Pursuit Regression (PPR), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Random Forests (RF). For each one of these methods we study the best combination of input parameters. We also study the impact of different methods for the pre-processing tasks (feature selection, example selection and domain values definition) in the accuracy of those algorithms. We use bus travel time's data from a bus dispatch system. From an off-the-shelf point-of-view, our experiments show that RF is the most promising approach from the three we have tested. However, it is possible to obtain more accurate results using PPR but with extra pre-processing work, namely on example selection and domain values definition.

2011

Exploiting Additional Dimensions as Virtual Items on Top-N Recommender Systems

Autores
Domingues, MA; Jorge, AM; Soares, C;

Publicação
Proceedings of the 2011 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Web Intelligence, WI 2011, Campus Scientifique de la Doua, Lyon, France, August 22-27, 2011

Abstract
Traditionally, recommender systems for the web deal with applications that have two dimensions, users and items. Based on access data that relate these dimensions, a recommendation model can be built and used to identify a set of N items that will be of interest to a certain user. In this paper we propose a multidimensional approach, called DaVI (Dimensions as Virtual Items), that enables the use of common two-dimensional top-N recommender algorithms for the generation of recommendations using additional dimensions (e.g., contextual or background information). We empirically evaluate our approach with two different top-N recommender algorithms, Item-based Collaborative Filtering and Association Rules based, on two real world data sets. The empirical results demonstrate that DaVI enables the application of existing two-dimensional recommendation algorithms to exploit the useful information in multidimensional data. © 2011 IEEE.

2012

Ensemble Approaches for Regression: A Survey

Autores
Mendes Moreira, J; Soares, C; Jorge, AM; De Sousa, JF;

Publicação
ACM COMPUTING SURVEYS

Abstract
The goal of ensemble regression is to combine several models in order to improve the prediction accuracy in learning problems with a numerical target variable. The process of ensemble learning can be divided into three phases: the generation phase, the pruning phase, and the integration phase. We discuss different approaches to each of these phases that are able to deal with the regression problem, categorizing them in terms of their relevant characteristics and linking them to contributions from different fields. Furthermore, this work makes it possible to identify interesting areas for future research.

2009

Ensemble Learning: A Study on Different Variants of the Dynamic Selection Approach

Autores
Mendes Moreira, J; Jorge, AM; Soares, C; de Sousa, JF;

Publicação
MACHINE LEARNING AND DATA MINING IN PATTERN RECOGNITION

Abstract
Integration methods for ensemble learning can use two different approaches: combination or selection. The combination approach (also called fusion) consists on the combination of the predictions obtained by different models in the ensemble to obtain the final ensemble predication. The selection approach selects one (or more) models from the ensemble according to the prediction performance of these models on similar data from the validation set. Usually, the method to select similar data is the k-nearest neighbors with the Euclidean distance. In this paper we discuss other approaches to obtain similar data for the regression problem. We show that using similarity measures according to the target values improves results. We also show that selecting dynamically several models for the prediction task increases prediction accuracy comparing to the selection of just one model.

2011

Mining Association Rules for Label Ranking

Autores
de Sa, CR; Soares, C; Jorge, AM; Azevedo, P; Costa, J;

Publicação
ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE DISCOVERY AND DATA MINING, PT II: 15TH PACIFIC-ASIA CONFERENCE, PAKDD 2011

Abstract
Recently, a number of learning algorithms have been adapted for label ranking, including instance-based and tree-based methods. In this paper, we propose an adaptation of association rules for label ranking. The adaptation, which is illustrated in this work with APRIORI Algorithm, essentially consists of using variations of the support and confidence measures based on ranking similarity functions that are suitable for label ranking. We also adapt the method to make a prediction from the possibly conflicting consequents of the rules that apply to an example. Despite having made our adaptation from a very simple variant of association rules for classification, the results clearly show that the method is making valid predictions. Additionally, they show that it competes well with state-of-the-art label ranking algorithms.

2006

Improving SVM-linear predictions using CART for example selection

Autores
Moreira, JM; Jorge, AM; Soares, C; de Sousa, JF;

Publicação
FOUNDATIONS OF INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS, PROCEEDINGS

Abstract
This paper describes the study on example selection in regression problems using mu-SVM (Support Vector Machine) linear as prediction algorithm. The motivation case is a study done on real data for a problem of bus trip time prediction. In this study we use three different training sets: all the examples, examples from past days similar to the day where prediction is needed, and examples selected by a CART regression tree. Then, we verify if the CART based example selection approach is appropriate on different regression data sets. The experimental results obtained are promising.

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