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Publicações

Publicações por CPES

2022

Retail Electricity Tariffs for Electric Vehicles in Europe: A Multivariate Analysis in 4 European Countries

Autores
Bairrão, DR; Soares, J; Canizes, B; Lezama, F; Vale, Z;

Publicação
IFAC-PapersOnLine

Abstract
During the past few years the transport matrix received many policies to push for the sector decarbonization. The electric vehicles and charging infrastructure increased a lot motivated by European Union directives and countries legislations, becoming national policies framework. Considering the electricity market dynamics, the electrification of transport created a new challenge going forward. In this context, this paper presents a multivariate analysis of electricity commercialization and charging infrastructure to evaluate the real state of electricity mobility and design future opportunities. The analysis uses tariffs, commercialization models, charging services and economic indicators of four countries. A comprehensive simulation model estimates the total electric mobility bill per country and the portion of the average salary spent with the car charging. Even considering the best scenario, consumers from Portugal commit almost four percent of its average wage while Norway commit only one percent. The results reveal that long-term commitment with energy planning, generation and energy matrix expansion, implies on lower energy costs; better economic actions also imply on lower energy expenditure for costumer. The hourly tariffs are important alternatives to reduce energy costs and manage demand helping network operators to plan and manage the energy system. © 2022 Elsevier B.V.. All rights reserved.

2022

Determination of the Appropriate Number of Photovoltaic Panels for Microgeneration and Self-supply of Final Consumers by Energy Production Estimation via Fuzzy Logic

Autores
Chávez, C; Ramírez, JD; Trujillo L., MF; Otero, P; Taco-Vásquez, S; Tibanlombo, V;

Publicação
International Journal on Advanced Science, Engineering and Information Technology

Abstract
A method is presented to determine the appropriate number of photovoltaic panels that should be installed in an end-user photovoltaic installation to guarantee the supply of energy to the load during the hours of solar radiation, according to factors such as the installation area and global solar radiation. Solar radiation is predicted by approximating the daily distribution of global irradiance through a Gaussian function, which is subsequently corrected using a heuristic approach. Meteorological parameters are used as input data such as the daily solar insolation and the maximum global irradiance for each day; this last parameter is obtained through an expert system based on fuzzy logic that was programmed and trained with the data of ambient temperature and relative humidity that were obtained in the processing stage. Output from this expert system is the predicted values of maximum radiation obtained for each day for a selectable time interval. With the predicted solar radiation, the generation of electrical energy from the photovoltaic panels is calculated. The load is randomly modeled from a pattern of the energy demand of the building to be powered by the photovoltaic system. The number of photovoltaic panels needed is found with the information acquired in the previous stages and the information of the energy demand of the load and the installation area. The results are the number of solar panels that would be needed at all hours of the day from which the radiation prediction was made.

2021

Forecasting Energy Technology Diffusion in Space and Time: Model Design, Parameter Choice and Calibration

Autores
Heymann, F; vom Scheidt, F; Soares, FJ; Duenas, P; Miranda, V;

Publicação
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SUSTAINABLE ENERGY

Abstract
New energy technologies such as Distributed Energy Resources (DER) will affect the spatial and temporal patterns of electricity consumption. Models that mimic technology diffusion processes over time are fundamental to support decisions in power system planning and policymaking. This paper shows that spatiotemporal technology diffusion forecasts consist typically of three main modules: 1) a global technology diffusion forecast, 2) the cellular module that is a spatial data substrate with cell states and transition rules, and 3) a spatial mapping module, commonly based on Geographic Information Systems. This work provides a review of previous spatiotemporal DER diffusion models and details their common building blocks. Analyzing 16 model variants of an exemplary spatial simulation model used to predict electric vehicle adoption patterns in Portugal, the analysis suggests that model performance is strongly affected by careful tuning of spatial and temporal granularities and chosen inference techniques. In general, model validation remains challenging, as early diffusion stages have typically few observations for model calibration.

2021

Simulating spatiotemporal energy technology adoption patterns under different policy designs

Autores
Heymann, F; Duenas, P; Soares, FJ; Miranda, V; Rudisuli, M;

Publicação
2021 IEEE MADRID POWERTECH

Abstract
Recent studies found that the adoption of distributed energy resources (DER) tends to cluster spatially and temporally which has significant implications for distribution network planning. Currently, residential DER adoption is mostly driven by public support schemes, also called incentive designs. Therefore, changes in those incentive designs will result in alternative spatiotemporal DER adoption patterns that affect distribution networks differently. Consequently, distribution network operators urgently need to understand the effects of energy policy changes on the spatial distribution of DER to guide network expansion based on realistic scenarios. The presented work and tool allow network operators to plan network expansion with robustness under future incentive design changes.

2021

An improved version of the Continuous Newton's method for efficiently solving the Power-Flow in Ill-conditioned systems

Autores
Tostado Veliz, M; Matos, MA; Lopes, JAP; Jurado, F;

Publicação
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL POWER & ENERGY SYSTEMS

Abstract
This paper tackles the efficient Power-Flow solution of ill-conditioned cases. In that sense, those methods based on the Continuous Newton's philosophy look very promising, however, these methodologies still present some issues mainly related with the computational efficiency or the robustness properties. In order to overcome these drawbacks, we suggest several modifications about the standard structure of the Continuous Newton's method. Thus, the standard Continuous Newton's paradigm is firstly modified with a frozen Jacobian scheme for reducing its computational burden; secondly, it is extended for being used with High-order Newton-like method for achieving higher convergence rate and, finally, a regularization scheme is introduced for improving its robustness features. On the basis of the suggested improvements, a Power-Flow solution paradigm is developed. As example, a novel Power-Flow solver based on the introduced solution framework and the 4th order Runge-Kutta formula is developed. The novel technique is validated in several realistic large-scale ill-conditioned systems. Results show that the suggested modifications allow to overcome the drawbacks presented by those methodologies based on the Continuous Newton's method. On the light of the results obtained it can be also claimed, that the developed solution paradigm constitutes a promising framework for developing robust and efficient Power-Flow solution techniques.

2021

Operational Management of Medium Voltage and Low Voltage Networks under a Smart Grid Environment

Autores
Teixeira, H; Lopes, JAP; Matos, MA;

Publicação
2021 IEEE MADRID POWERTECH

Abstract
Electrification of society and economy is crucial to fight against climate changes assuming simultaneously a large-scale integration of electricity generation exploiting Renewable Energy Sources (RES). The increasing presence of RES and Electric Vehicles (EV) in Low Voltage (LV) networks, and the emergence of the Smart Grid paradigm will require relevant changes in the operational management of both LV and Medium Voltage (MV) networks. In this paper, two different strategies (separated and coordinated management) for the operational management of MV and LV networks are compared regarding their ability to integrate large amounts of RES and to accept increased electrification of consumption, including EV. Each management strategy is modeled through optimization problems, being then applied to an electrical distribution system consisting of MV and LV networks. Results show that a coordinated operational management outperforms the separated strategy, by allowing the integration of much higher volumes of RES and EV.

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